Result
1:4
15/04/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 11 - Round 26
Chances of winning
Mercadal
29.9% | Draw
31.1% | Constancia
39% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mercadal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Constancia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mercadal than the current prediction. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Constancia than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Mercadal - Constancia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.04 ↑
(3.01) |
2.93 ↑
(2.91) |
2.33 ↑
(2.32) |
10%
(10.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 11 (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mercadal won 1.
- Mercadal is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Constancia is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Constancia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Mercadal won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 0.7:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mercadal won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 0.8:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Mercadal won against Constancia?
Mercadal has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Constancia won against Mercadal?
Constancia has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mercadal - Constancia were as follows:
02.11.2025
Constancia
-
Mercadal
0:2
15.03.2025
Mercadal
-
Constancia
0:1
20.11.2024
Constancia
-
Mercadal
2:1
24.02.2024
Constancia
-
Mercadal
1:0
08.10.2023
Mercadal
-
Constancia
1:1
Latest results of Mercadal
Latest results of Constancia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Mallorca B | 30 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 87:20 | 67 | 74 |
| 2 | Manacor | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 64:31 | 33 | 73 |
| 3 | Pena Deportiva | 30 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 57:26 | 31 | 61 |
| 4 | Constancia | 29 | 15 | 4 | 10 | 47:26 | 21 | 49 |
| 5 | Llosetense | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 48:35 | 13 | 49 |
| 6 | Inter Ibiza | 30 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 39:37 | 2 | 47 |
| 7 | Formentera | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 34:23 | 11 | 45 |
| 8 | Mercadal | 28 | 13 | 4 | 11 | 25:25 | 0 | 43 |
| 9 | Cardassar | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 32:50 | -18 | 37 |
| 10 | Binissalem | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 23:31 | -8 | 36 |
| 11 | Santanyi | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 37:52 | -15 | 36 |
| 12 | Platges de Calvia | 29 | 10 | 5 | 14 | 33:37 | -4 | 35 |
| 13 | Son Cladera | 30 | 10 | 4 | 16 | 36:50 | -14 | 34 |
| 14 | Alcudia | 30 | 10 | 3 | 17 | 30:56 | -26 | 33 |
| 15 | Portmany | 30 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 22:45 | -23 | 28 |
| 16 | Felanitx | 29 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 26:44 | -18 | 23 |
| 17 | Collerense | 30 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 34:55 | -21 | 22 |
| 18 | Rotlet Molinar | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 28:59 | -31 | 19 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 11 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
