Portmany vs Mercadal – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:0
18/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 11 - Round 22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Portmany
38.4%
Draw
30.5%
Mercadal
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.3% 30.7% 40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.2% 29.5% 42.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Portmany has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Portmany's performance.
  • Mercadal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mercadal might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portmany than the current prediction. (-11.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Portmany that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mercadal than the current prediction. (+11.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mercadal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Portmany - Mercadal Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.36
    (3.2)
    2.97
    (2.95)
    2.91
    (2.21)
    10.5%
    (10.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 11 (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portmany won 1.
    • Portmany has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Mercadal is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Mercadal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Portmany won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 0.9:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Portmany won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Portmany - Mercadal were as follows:
    04.10.2025 Mercadal - Portmany 2:0
    22.02.2025 Portmany - Mercadal 0:0
    16.03.2024 Mercadal - Portmany 2:1
    29.10.2023 Portmany - Mercadal 0:1
    02.04.2023 Portmany - Mercadal 2:0
    Latest results of Portmany
    14.03.2026 Portmany - Inter Ibiza 2:1
    07.03.2026 Llosetense - Portmany 3:0
    28.02.2026 Portmany - Cardassar 3:0
    21.02.2026 Manacor - Portmany 1:0
    07.02.2026 Binissalem - Portmany 1:2
    Latest results of Mercadal
    11.03.2026 Mercadal - Rotlet Molinar 2:2
    08.03.2026 Mercadal - Binissalem 0:0
    04.03.2026 Collerense - Mercadal 1:0
    28.02.2026 Felanitx - Mercadal 1:1
    22.02.2026 Mercadal - Peña Deportiva 0:1
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mallorca B30235287:206774
    2Manacor30234364:313373
    3Pena Deportiva30187557:263161
    4Constancia291541047:262149
    5Llosetense29147848:351349
    6Inter Ibiza301451139:37247
    7Formentera301112734:231145
    8Mercadal281341125:25043
    9Cardassar301071332:50-1837
    10Binissalem30991223:31-836
    11Santanyi301061437:52-1536
    12Platges de Calvia291051433:37-435
    13Son Cladera301041636:50-1434
    14Alcudia301031730:56-2633
    15Portmany30841822:45-2328
    16Felanitx294111426:44-1823
    17Collerense304101634:55-2122
    18Rotlet Molinar30471928:59-3119

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 11 (Play Offs: )
          Relegation