Result
0:1
24/05/2025 at 10:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 11 - Play Offs - Semi-finals
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 4', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Constancia
45.3% | Draw
31.4% | Penya Independent
23.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Constancia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Constancia's form might have worsened.Penya Independent has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Penya Independent's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Constancia than the current prediction. (+25.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Constancia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Penya Independent than the current prediction. (-11.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Penya Independent, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Constancia - Penya Independent Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.02 ↑
(1.39) |
2.91 ↓
(4.23) |
3.93 ↓
(7.27) |
9.4%
(9.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 1-1. 2nd leg.
- Constancia has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Penya Independent's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Constancia is considered a favorite.
- We predict that Constancia will win today's game, with odds of 1.59.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Constancia won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 0.8:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Constancia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Constancia won against Penya Independent?
Constancia has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Penya Independent won against Constancia?
Penya Independent has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Constancia - Penya Independent were as follows:
17.05.2025
Penya Independent
-
Constancia
1:1
08.03.2025
Constancia
-
Penya Independent
1:0
26.10.2024
Penya Independent
-
Constancia
3:1
15.01.2023
Penya Independent
-
Constancia
0:1
10.09.2022
Constancia
-
Penya Independent
0:2
Latest results of Constancia
Latest results of Penya Independent
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Mallorca B | 27 | 22 | 3 | 2 | 78:16 | 62 | 69 |
| 2 | Manacor | 27 | 21 | 4 | 2 | 59:27 | 32 | 67 |
| 3 | Pena Deportiva | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 51:23 | 28 | 57 |
| 4 | Llosetense | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 48:32 | 16 | 49 |
| 5 | Constancia | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 40:23 | 17 | 43 |
| 6 | Mercadal | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 23:23 | 0 | 40 |
| 7 | Inter Ibiza | 27 | 12 | 4 | 11 | 34:36 | -2 | 40 |
| 8 | Formentera | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 30:22 | 8 | 38 |
| 9 | Cardassar | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 29:45 | -16 | 34 |
| 10 | Santanyi | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 33:48 | -15 | 33 |
| 11 | Alcudia | 27 | 10 | 3 | 14 | 26:47 | -21 | 33 |
| 12 | Platges de Calvia | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 31:33 | -2 | 32 |
| 13 | Binissalem | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 20:27 | -7 | 32 |
| 14 | Son Cladera | 27 | 8 | 4 | 15 | 31:44 | -13 | 28 |
| 15 | Portmany | 27 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 19:37 | -18 | 25 |
| 16 | Felanitx | 27 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 25:41 | -16 | 22 |
| 17 | Collerense | 27 | 2 | 10 | 15 | 27:50 | -23 | 16 |
| 18 | Rotlet Molinar | 27 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 24:54 | -30 | 15 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 11 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
