Constancia vs Penya Independent – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11 Constancia - Penya Independent
Result
0:1
24/05/2025 at 10:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 11 - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 4', 0 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Constancia
45.3%
Draw
31.4%
Penya Independent
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.9% 21.6% 12.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.6% 20.2% 11.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Constancia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Constancia's form might have worsened.
  • Penya Independent has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Penya Independent's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Constancia than the current prediction. (+25.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Constancia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Penya Independent than the current prediction. (-11.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Penya Independent, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Constancia - Penya Independent Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.02
    (1.39)
    2.91
    (4.23)
    3.93
    (7.27)
    9.4%
    (9.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 1-1. 2nd leg.
    • Constancia has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Penya Independent's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Constancia is considered a favorite.
    • We predict that Constancia will win today's game, with odds of 1.59.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Constancia won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 0.8:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Constancia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Constancia - Penya Independent were as follows:
    17.05.2025 Penya Independent - Constancia 1:1
    08.03.2025 Constancia - Penya Independent 1:0
    26.10.2024 Penya Independent - Constancia 3:1
    15.01.2023 Penya Independent - Constancia 0:1
    10.09.2022 Constancia - Penya Independent 0:2
    Latest results of Constancia
    11.05.2025 PE Sant Jordi - Constancia 1:2
    03.05.2025 Constancia - Alcúdia 4:2
    26.04.2025 Santanyí - Constancia 2:3
    16.04.2025 Constancia - Campos 3:0
    Latest results of Penya Independent
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Final
    1SocuellamosCayon2 : 0, 1 : 1
    2CastellonenseBurgos CF B0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3CortesBeasain0 : 2, 1 : 2
    4Girona BSan Fernando2 : 0, 1 : 0
    5PulpilenoSarriana2 : 3, 0 : 0
    6LlerenenseLealtad1 : 3, 1 : 0
    7Atletico CentralJaen1 : 2, 0 : 1
    8PorreresAtletico Monzon2 : 0, 0 : 1
    9VareaRayo Vallecano B0 : 3, 1 : 2