Result
1:1
26/07/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 17
- Referee: Pereira R. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay |
China | K-Ball |
Ecuador | El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2, Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
Israel | Sport 2 |
Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones, #Vamos |
Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Turkey | Spor Smart 1 |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.78 | 0.74 |
Ball Possession |
---|
55% | 45% |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 2 |
Passes |
---|
87% (492/563) | 86% (391/456) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.78 | 0.74 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.54 | 1.39 |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
5 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
6 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 2 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
31 | 15 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 1 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
13 | 20 |
Passes |
---|
87% (492/563) | 86% (391/456) |
Long passes |
---|
59% (34/58) | 55% (18/33) |
Passes in final third |
---|
80% (149/186) | 73% (74/102) |
Crosses |
---|
23% (5/22) | 14% (2/14) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.50 | 0.82 |
Throw-ins |
---|
11 | 19 |
Fouls |
---|
20 | 13 |
Tackles |
---|
82% (14/17) | 53% (8/15) |
Duels won |
---|
48 | 45 |
Clearances |
---|
16 | 36 |
Interceptions |
---|
16 | 10 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
1 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.39 | 1.54 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.39 | 0.54 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 24', 1 - 0, Cabral A. ⚽, Nathan Fernandes (A),
- 45+2', Joao Pedro 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Charles Rigon ↓, Breno Bidon ↑,
- 46', Bahia ↓, Depay M. ↑,
- 46', Angel Romero ↓, Yuri Alberto ↑,
- 47', Leo Mana ↓, Matheuzinho ↑,
- 58', Barboza A. 🟨,
- 63', Nathan Fernandes ↓, Rodriguez S. ↑,
- 64', Correa J. ↓, Savarino J. ↑,
- 74', Ponte M. 🟨,
- 75', Talles Magno ↓, Matheus Bidu ↑,
- 77', Alex Telles ↓, Cuiabano ↑,
- 77', Ponte M. ↓, Vitinho ↑,
- 84', 1 - 1, Depay M. ⚽, Joao Pedro (A),
- 85', Angileri F. 🟨,
- 87', Montoro A. ↓, Barrera J. ↑,
- 90+4', Allan 🟨,
Chances of winning
Botafogo RJ 58.3% | Draw 26.3% | Corinthians 15.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Botafogo RJ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)Corinthians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Botafogo RJ - Corinthians Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.64 ↓ (1.69) |
3.6 ↑ (3.5) |
6.11 ↑ (5.85) |
5.3% (4.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Botafogo RJ - Corinthians?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.75 - Botafogo (votes: 3 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Botafogo RJ will win
(35 of 39 users predict this - 89.74%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.22% – 99.26%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Botafogo RJ will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: ) and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Botafogo won 3.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Corinthians may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Botafogo has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Botafogo is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Botafogo: Bastos
(Knee Injury)
Danilo Barbosa
(Inactive)
Matheus Martins
(Hamstring Injury)
Savarino J.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Corinthians: Garro R.
(Yellow Cards)
Hugo
(Hernia)
Martinez J.
(Yellow Cards)
Maycon
(Thigh Injury)
Yuri Alberto
(Back Injury)
- There are questionable in Botafogo: Allan
(Muscle Injury)
Artur
(Chest Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Botafogo won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 20:21. (average 1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Botafogo won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:7. (average 1.4:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Botafogo RJ won against Corinthians?
Botafogo RJ has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Corinthians won against Botafogo RJ?
Corinthians has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Botafogo RJ - Corinthians were as follows:
14.09.2024
Botafogo RJ
-
Corinthians
2:1
01.06.2024
Corinthians
-
Botafogo RJ
0:1
22.09.2023
Corinthians
-
Botafogo RJ
1:0
11.05.2023
Botafogo RJ
-
Corinthians
3:0
Latest results of Botafogo RJ
Latest results of Corinthians
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Flamengo RJ | 25 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 50:12 | 38 | 55 |
2 | Palmeiras | 24 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 39:19 | 20 | 52 |
3 | Cruzeiro | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 39:19 | 20 | 51 |
4 | Botafogo RJ | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 37:23 | 14 | 43 |
5 | Mirassol | 25 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 42:25 | 17 | 43 |
6 | Bahia | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 33:30 | 3 | 40 |
7 | Fluminense | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 33:31 | 2 | 38 |
8 | Sao Paulo | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 29:25 | 4 | 38 |
9 | Bragantino | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 33:38 | -5 | 36 |
10 | Gremio | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 28:33 | -5 | 33 |
11 | Internacional | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 32:38 | -6 | 32 |
12 | Ceara | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 23:24 | -1 | 31 |
13 | Vasco | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 38:38 | 0 | 30 |
14 | Corinthians | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 26:32 | -6 | 30 |
15 | Atletico-MG | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 22:29 | -7 | 29 |
16 | Santos | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 25:35 | -10 | 28 |
17 | Vitoria | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 21:38 | -17 | 25 |
18 | Juventude | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 20:46 | -26 | 23 |
19 | Fortaleza | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 24:40 | -16 | 21 |
20 | Sport Recife | 24 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 18:37 | -19 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet