Corinthians vs Botafogo RJ – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
30/11/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 36
  • Referee: Pinheiro J. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball
colombiaColombiaWin Sports
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+
turkeyTurkeySpor Smart 1
united-arab-emiratesUnited-arab-emiratesDubai Sports 1
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomPremier Sports Player
usaUsaFanatiz
worldWorldTV Globo Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.260.67
Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
148
Shots on target
62
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
84
Passes
85% (382/450)82% (238/289)
Yellow Cards
33
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.260.67
xG on target (xGOT)
2.151.14
Total shots
148
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
55
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
117
Shots outside the Box
31
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
84
Touches in opposition box
1716
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1813
Passes
85% (382/450)82% (238/289)
Long passes
61% (30/49)55% (22/40)
Passes in final third
70% (55/79)59% (38/64)
Crosses
43% (9/21)23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.930.63
Throw-ins
2216
Fouls
1318
Tackles
72% (13/18)69% (11/16)
Duels won
4942
Clearances
1220
Interceptions
79
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
03
xGOT faced
1.142.15
Goals prevented
-0.860.15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 7', 1 - 0, Raniele , Dieguinho (A),
  • 32', Savarino J. , Montoro A. ,
  • 33', Ponte M. 🟨,
  • 41', Newton 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Newton , Allan ,
  • 46', Correa J. , Barrera J. ,
  • 56', Raniele 🟨,
  • 57', Barria K. , Arthur Cabral ,
  • 60', 1 - 1, Cuiabano , Montoro A. (A),
  • 62', Carrillo A. , Maycon ,
  • 62', Breno Bidon , Andre ,
  • 66', 1 - 2, Barrera J. ,
  • 70', Montoro A. , Rodriguez S. ,
  • 74', Garro R. , Vitinho ,
  • 75', Dieguinho , Gui Negao ,
  • 75', Matheus Bidu , Angileri F. ,
  • 82', 2 - 2, Gustavo Henrique , Vitinho (A),
  • 86', Allan 🟨,
  • 90', Matheuzinho 🟨,
  • 90+3', Jeffinho 🟥,
  • 90+5', Maycon 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Corinthians
43.9%
Draw
29.5%
Botafogo RJ
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.7% 31.4% 29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7% 33.1% 28.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Corinthians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Corinthians's performance.
  • Botafogo RJ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • Corinthians - Botafogo RJ Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.2
    (2.43)
    3.23
    (3)
    3.57
    (3.15)
    4.5%
    (6.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Corinthians - Botafogo RJ?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Corinthians will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Botafogo will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Corinthians: 40%93.4%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -1 - Corinthians (4.06) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -0.75 - Corinthians (2.93) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -0.5 - Corinthians (2.44) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • EH -1 - Corinthians (4.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Corinthians will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Corinthians (votes: 12 - 92.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Corinthians won 1.
    • Corinthians has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Botafogo is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Botafogo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Corinthians is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Corinthians: Depay M. (Inactive) Hugo Souza (Leg Injury) Martinez J. (Red Card) Matheus Bidu (Inactive) Maycon (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Botafogo: Bastos (Knee Injury) Kaio (Knee Injury) Matheus Martins (Muscle Injury) Nathan Fernandes (Thigh Injury) Neto (Thigh Injury) Ramos C. (Injury) Rodriguez S. (Muscle Injury) Vitinho (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Botafogo: Danilo (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Corinthians won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 21:20. (average 1.1:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Corinthians won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:5. (average 1.4:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Corinthians - Botafogo RJ were as follows:
    26.07.2025 Botafogo RJ - Corinthians 1:1
    14.09.2024 Botafogo RJ - Corinthians 2:1
    01.06.2024 Corinthians - Botafogo RJ 0:1
    22.09.2023 Corinthians - Botafogo RJ 1:0
    11.05.2023 Botafogo RJ - Corinthians 3:0
    Latest results of Corinthians
    23.11.2025 Cruzeiro - Corinthians 3:0
    20.11.2025 Corinthians - São Paulo 3:1
    09.11.2025 Corinthians - Ceará 0:1
    02.11.2025 Corinthians - Grêmio 2:0
    Latest results of Botafogo RJ
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Palmeiras1182121:101126
    2Flamengo RJ1062218:10820
    3Sao Paulo1162315:9620
    4Fluminense1162318:13520
    5Bahia1062215:10520
    6Athletico-PR1161417:13419
    7Coritiba1144313:12116
    8Atletico-MG1142514:13114
    9Bragantino1142511:12-114
    10Vitoria1042411:14-314
    11Botafogo RJ1041518:21-313
    12Gremio1134414:14013
    13Vasco1134416:17-113
    14Internacional113449:10-113
    15Santos1134414:16-213
    16Corinthians112548:11-311
    17Cruzeiro1124514:21-710
    18Remo1115511:18-78
    19Chapecoense-SC1015410:18-88
    20Mirassol1013611:16-56

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B