Result
0:1
09/11/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 33
- Referee: Fernandes de Lima F. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Turkey | Spor Smart 2 |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 0.43 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 77% | 23% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (605/673) | 67% (130/195) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 0.43 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 0.93 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 6 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (605/673) | 67% (130/195) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 63% (12/19) | 31% (14/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 83% (171/207) | 60% (32/53) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (7/36) | 27% (4/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.43 | 0.39 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 20 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 88% (7/8) | 70% (14/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 47 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 0 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.88 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.07 | -0.12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 31', 0 - 1, Galeano A. ⚽, Pedro Henrique (A),
- 38', Fabiano 🟨,
- 45+5', Pedro Henrique 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 58', Vinicius Zanocelo 🟨,
- 63', Diego 🟨,
- 67', Pedro Henrique ↓, Fernandinho ↑,
- 71', Depay M. ↓, Gui Negao ↑,
- 71', Breno Bidon ↓, Angel Romero ↑,
- 75', Galeano A. ↓, Richardson ↑,
- 75', Diego ↓, Lourenco ↑,
- 75', Lucas Mugni ↓, Paulo Baya ↑,
- 75', Matheus Bahia ↓, Nicolas ↑,
- 82', Willian Machado 🟨,
- 83', Matheus Bidu ↓, Talles Magno ↑,
- 90+4', Ramos R. 🟨,
- 90+6', Lourenco 🟨,
- 90+7', Garro R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Corinthians
56.3% | Draw
27.3% | Ceará
16.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Corinthians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)Ceará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Corinthians - Ceará Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.69 ↑
(1.67) |
3.5 ↑
(3.25) |
5.75 ↓
(6) |
5.3%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Corinthians - Ceará?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Corinthians will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Ceará will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Corinthians: 50.6% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Corinthians (1.80) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -0.75 - Corinthians (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Corinthians (2.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.25 - Corinthians (2.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Corinthians will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Corinthians (votes: 9 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Corinthians won 3.
- Corinthians has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Ceará is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Ceará may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Corinthians is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Corinthians: Andre
(Injury)
Carrillo A.
(Yellow Cards)
Charles Rigon
(Red Card)
Hugo Souza
(Inactive)
Martinez J.
(Red Card)
Vitinho
(Injury)
- There will not play in Ceará: Vina
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Corinthians: Raniele
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Ceará: Fernando Sobral
(Injury)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Corinthians won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 18:16. (average 1.4:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Corinthians won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 1.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Corinthians won against Ceará?
Corinthians has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ceará won against Corinthians?
Ceará has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Corinthians - Ceará were as follows:
16.07.2025
Ceará
-
Corinthians
0:1
05.11.2022
Corinthians
-
Ceará
1:0
Latest results of Corinthians
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 21:10 | 11 | 26 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 18:10 | 8 | 20 |
| 3 | Sao Paulo | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15:9 | 6 | 20 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18:13 | 5 | 20 |
| 5 | Bahia | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15:10 | 5 | 20 |
| 6 | Athletico-PR | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 19 |
| 7 | Coritiba | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 16 |
| 8 | Atletico-MG | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 14:13 | 1 | 14 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11:12 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | Vitoria | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 14 |
| 11 | Botafogo RJ | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 13 |
| 12 | Gremio | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 13 |
| 13 | Vasco | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 13 |
| 14 | Internacional | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 13 |
| 15 | Santos | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14:16 | -2 | 13 |
| 16 | Corinthians | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 11 |
| 17 | Cruzeiro | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14:21 | -7 | 10 |
| 18 | Remo | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 11:18 | -7 | 8 |
| 19 | Chapecoense-SC | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 10:18 | -8 | 8 |
| 20 | Mirassol | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11:16 | -5 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
