Result
0:1
16/07/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 14
- Referee: Zanovelli P. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video |
 Ecuador | El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 0.94 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (287/356) | 82% (370/452) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 0.94 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.08 | 1.01 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (287/356) | 82% (370/452) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (12/28) | 53% (38/72) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (70/104) | 71% (69/97) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (6/26) | 8% (1/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.28 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (4/4) | 76% (13/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.01 | 0.08 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.01 | 0.08 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 32', Fernando Sobral 🟨,
- 39', Lucas Mugni 🟨,
- 45+1', Matheuzinho 🟨,
- 45+2', Diego 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 60', Gui Negao 🟨,
- 62', Lucas Mugni ↓, Lourenco ↑,
- 66', Breno Bidon ↓, Carrillo A. ↑,
- 66', Martinez J. ↓, Maycon ↑,
- 70', Fernandinho ↓, Bruno Tubarao ↑,
- 70', Aylon ↓, Guilherme Luiz ↑,
- 71', 0 - 1, Talles Magno ⚽,
- 80', Talles Magno ↓, Charles Rigon ↑,
- 80', Fernando Sobral ↓, Matheus Araujo ↑,
- 80', Galeano A. ↓, Romulo ↑,
- 83', Maycon ↓, Joao Pedro ↑,
- 84', Garro R. ↓, Angileri F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Ceará
37.9% | Draw
32.3% | Corinthians
29.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ceará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)Corinthians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (-2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Corinthians could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Ceará - Corinthians Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.5 ↓
(2.57) |
2.95 ↓
(3.24) |
3.16 ↑
(2.74) |
5.5%
(6.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Ceará - Corinthians?
Users Predictions:
77 users predict this event. Ceará will win (votes: 57 - 74%). Corinthians will win (votes: 7 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 16.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ceará: 64.2% – 83.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Ceará will win (13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ceará won 2.
- Ceará has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Corinthians is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Ceará may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Ceará has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Ceará: Luiz Otavio
(Knee Injury)
Pedro Henrique
(Yellow Cards)
Pedro Raul
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Corinthians: Angel Romero
(Yellow Cards)
Depay M.
(Yellow Cards)
Yuri Alberto
(Back Injury)
- There are questionable in Ceará: Gabriel Lacerda
(Inactive)
Richard
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Ceará won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:17. (average 1.3:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ceará won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.7:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Ceará won against Corinthians?
Ceará has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Corinthians won against Ceará?
Corinthians has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ceará - Corinthians were as follows:
05.11.2022
Corinthians
-
Ceará
1:0
Latest results of Corinthians
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 30:6 | 24 | 36 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 28:11 | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Palmeiras | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 32 |
| 4 | Bahia | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 20:13 | 7 | 28 |
| 5 | Bragantino | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 27 |
| 6 | Botafogo RJ | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 18:8 | 10 | 26 |
| 7 | Mirassol | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 24:14 | 10 | 25 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 22 |
| 9 | Ceara | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 16:16 | 0 | 21 |
| 10 | Internacional | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 21 |
| 11 | Corinthians | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 21 |
| 12 | Fluminense | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 17:20 | -3 | 20 |
| 13 | Atletico-MG | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16:16 | 0 | 20 |
| 14 | Gremio | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 16:22 | -6 | 20 |
| 15 | Vitoria | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 14:18 | -4 | 17 |
| 16 | Vasco | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 16:20 | -4 | 15 |
| 17 | Santos | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 15:21 | -6 | 15 |
| 18 | Fortaleza | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17:23 | -6 | 14 |
| 19 | Juventude | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10:32 | -22 | 11 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 15 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 9:25 | -16 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
