Result
2:0
02/11/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 31
- Referee: Torezin L. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2 |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 World | TV Globo Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 0.29 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (313/359) | 89% (411/464) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 0.29 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.07 | 0.52 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (313/359) | 89% (411/464) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 70% (33/47) | 48% (16/33) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (80/108) | 79% (83/105) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (2/16) | 13% (2/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 0.65 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (11/16) | 75% (6/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 32 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.52 | 2.07 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.52 | 0.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 38', 1 - 0, Galeano A. ⚽,
- 45+3', Vinicius Zanocelo 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Serna K. ↓, Keno ↑,
- 46', Hercules ↓, Nonato ↑,
- 46', Rene ↓, Fuentes G. ↑,
- 56', Pedro Henrique ↓, Fernandinho ↑,
- 59', Ignacio 🟥,
- 72', 2 - 0, Pedro Raul ⚽, Vina (A),
- 73', Pedro Raul 🟨,
- 74', John Kennedy ↓, Everaldo ↑,
- 78', Lima ↓, Thiago Santos ↑,
- 80', Vinicius Zanocelo ↓, Lourenco ↑,
- 80', Vina ↓, Lucas Mugni ↑,
- 84', Marcos Victor ↓, Marllon ↑,
- 85', Galeano A. ↓, Paulo Baya ↑,
- 86', Marllon 🟨,
Chances of winning
Ceará
31% | Draw
32.6% | Fluminense
36.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ceará has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)Fluminense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
Ceará - Fluminense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.06 ↑
(2.7) |
2.89 ↓
(3) |
2.6 ↓
(2.75) |
5.8%
(6.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
What is the prediction for Ceará - Fluminense?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Ceará will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). Fluminense will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fluminense: 21.5% – 71.9%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Fluminense will win (2 of 3 users predict this - 66.67%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 14 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ceará won 1.
- Ceará is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Fluminense has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Ceará: Diego
(Injury)
Marcos Victor
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Fluminense: Acosta L.
(Yellow Cards)
Bernal F.
(Yellow Cards)
Manoel
(Inactive)
PH Ganso
(Calf Injury)
- There are questionable in Fluminense: Canobbio A.
(Injury)
Nonato
(Injury)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Ceará won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 0.8:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ceará won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Ceará won against Fluminense?
Ceará has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fluminense won against Ceará?
Fluminense has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ceará - Fluminense were as follows:
29.10.2025
Fluminense
-
Ceará
1:0
31.10.2022
Ceará
-
Fluminense
0:1
Latest results of Fluminense
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 24:11 | 13 | 33 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 24:10 | 14 | 26 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 23:16 | 7 | 26 |
| 4 | Sao Paulo | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 17:11 | 6 | 23 |
| 5 | Athletico-PR | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 20:15 | 5 | 23 |
| 6 | Bahia | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 17:14 | 3 | 21 |
| 7 | Coritiba | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 19 |
| 8 | Vitoria | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16:18 | -2 | 18 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15:15 | 0 | 17 |
| 10 | Botafogo RJ | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 25:26 | -1 | 17 |
| 11 | Atletico-MG | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 17:20 | -3 | 17 |
| 12 | Gremio | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 15:16 | -1 | 17 |
| 13 | Vasco | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 16 |
| 14 | Cruzeiro | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 18:24 | -6 | 16 |
| 15 | Corinthians | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 15 |
| 16 | Santos | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 19:22 | -3 | 15 |
| 17 | Internacional | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12:14 | -2 | 14 |
| 18 | Remo | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 15:24 | -9 | 11 |
| 19 | Mirassol | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13:18 | -5 | 9 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-SC | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 12:24 | -12 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B
