Result
2:0
02/11/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 31
- Referee: Lacerda D. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.93 | 0.83 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 91% (469/518) | 87% (330/379) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.93 | 0.83 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.84 | 0.18 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 91% (469/518) | 87% (330/379) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 68% (15/22) | 53% (19/36) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 80% (96/120) | 77% (83/108) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (5/15) | 32% (8/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.59 | 1.02 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 80% (12/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 24 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.18 | 1.84 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.18 | -0.16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 12', Carrillo A. 🟨,
- 16', 1 - 0, Gustavo Henrique ⚽, Garro R. (A),
- 45+4', Matheuzinho 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 52', Matheus Bidu 🟨,
- 64', Noriega E. 🟨,
- 67', Carrillo A. ↓, Ryan ↑,
- 67', Edenilson ↓, Cristaldo F. ↑,
- 67', Alysson ↓, Pavon C. ↑,
- 68', Dodi 🟨,
- 75', Amuzu F. ↓, Olivera C. ↑,
- 77', Yuri Alberto ↓, Gui Negao ↑,
- 80', 2 - 0, Depay M. (Pen),
- 81', Dodi ↓, Cuellar G. ↑,
- 81', Carlos Vinicius ↓, Andre Henrique ↑,
- 87', Matheuzinho ↓, Hugo ↑,
- 88', Maycon ↓, Charles Rigon ↑,
- 88', Garro R. ↓, Dieguinho ↑,
- 88', Pavon C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Corinthians
55.1% | Draw
26.1% | Grêmio
18.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Corinthians - Grêmio Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.74 ↓
(1.8) |
3.62 ↑
(3.5) |
4.96 ↑
(4.5) |
5.3%
(6.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Corinthians - Grêmio?
Users Predictions:
24 users predict this event. Corinthians will win (votes: 15 - 62.5%). Grêmio will win (votes: 2 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 29.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Corinthians: 43.1% – 81.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Corinthians (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Grêmio (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.5 - Grêmio (2.18) (votes: 3 - 75%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Corinthians won 2.
- Corinthians is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Grêmio has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Grêmio may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Corinthians is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Corinthians: Andre
(Injury)
Breno Bidon
(Red Card)
Hugo Souza
(Inactive)
Martinez J.
(Yellow Cards)
Raniele
(Yellow Cards)
Vitinho
(Injury)
- There will not play in Grêmio: Braithwaite M.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Fabian Balbuena
(Ankle Injury)
Joao Pedro
(Muscle Injury)
Rodrigo Ely
(Knee Injury)
Villasanti M.
(Knee Injury)
Willian
(Leg Injury)
- There are questionable in Grêmio: Marcos Rocha
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Corinthians won 6 matches, drew 11 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:14. (average 0.9:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Corinthians won 1 match, drew 8 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:9. (average 0.9:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Corinthians won against Grêmio?
Corinthians has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio won against Corinthians?
Grêmio has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Corinthians - Grêmio were as follows:
12.06.2025
Grêmio
-
Corinthians
1:1
08.12.2024
Grêmio
-
Corinthians
0:3
07.08.2024
Grêmio
-
Corinthians
0:1
31.07.2024
Corinthians
-
Grêmio
0:0
25.07.2024
Corinthians
-
Grêmio
2:2
Latest results of Corinthians
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras ✔ | 32 | 21 | 5 | 6 | 58:28 | 30 | 68 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ ✔ | 32 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 64:20 | 44 | 68 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 33 | 18 | 10 | 5 | 46:22 | 24 | 64 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 33 | 16 | 11 | 6 | 54:33 | 21 | 59 |
| 5 | Bahia | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 44:40 | 4 | 53 |
| 6 | Botafogo RJ | 33 | 14 | 10 | 9 | 44:28 | 16 | 52 |
| 7 | Fluminense | 33 | 15 | 6 | 12 | 38:37 | 1 | 51 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 37:36 | 1 | 45 |
| 9 | Atletico-MG | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 37:37 | 0 | 44 |
| 10 | Vasco | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 50:49 | 1 | 42 |
| 11 | Bragantino | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 38:50 | -12 | 42 |
| 12 | Ceara | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 31:30 | 1 | 42 |
| 13 | Corinthians | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 35:38 | -3 | 42 |
| 14 | Gremio | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 35:43 | -8 | 40 |
| 15 | Internacional | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 37:46 | -9 | 37 |
| 16 | Vitoria | 33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 29:47 | -18 | 35 |
| 17 | Santos | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 33:48 | -15 | 33 |
| 18 | Juventude | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 29:59 | -30 | 32 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 34:51 | -17 | 31 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 32 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 24:55 | -31 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
Clinched Spots for Teams
Palmeiras is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )
Flamengo RJ is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )
