Result
1:1
12/06/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 12
- Referee: Lacerda D. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 0.56 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (284/357) | 87% (463/531) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 0.56 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 0.92 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (284/357) | 87% (463/531) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (27/58) | 47% (17/36) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (66/104) | 75% (80/107) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 41% (7/17) | 23% (3/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 0.41 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (18/22) | 71% (10/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.92 | 1.43 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.08 | 0.41 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 29', 1 - 0, Braithwaite M. ⚽, Alysson (A),
- 31', Breno Bidon 🟨,
- 36', 1 - 1, Breno Bidon ⚽,
- 41', Villasanti M. 🟨,
- 42', Olivera C. ↓, Pavon C. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 49', Caca 🟨,
- 55', Dodi 🟨,
- 57', Andre Ramalho 🟨,
- 62', Hernandez H. ↓, Angel Romero ↑,
- 66', Alysson ↓, Amuzu F. ↑,
- 66', Dodi ↓, Ronald ↑,
- 77', Cristaldo F. ↓, Freitas dos Santos R. ↑,
- 77', Braithwaite M. ↓, Andre Henrique ↑,
- 78', Breno Bidon ↓, Dieguinho ↑,
- 78', Talles Magno ↓, Kayke ↑,
- 87', Maycon ↓, Charles Rigon ↑,
Chances of winning
Grêmio
40.4% | Draw
31.9% | Corinthians
27.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grêmio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)Corinthians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
Grêmio - Corinthians Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.34 ↓
(2.42) |
2.96 ↓
(3.11) |
3.39 ↑
(3.15) |
5.9%
(5.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Grêmio - Corinthians?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Grêmio will win (votes: 6 - 30%). Corinthians will win (votes: 10 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Corinthians: 28.1% – 71.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Corinthians (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grêmio won 0.
- Grêmio is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Corinthians's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Corinthians may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Grêmio might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Grêmio: Cuellar G.
(Muscle Injury)
Edenilson
(Thigh Injury)
Igor Serrote
(Wrist Injury)
Joao Lucas
(Muscle Injury)
Joao Pedro
(Ankle Injury)
Monsalve M.
(Muscle Injury)
Rodrigo Ely
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Corinthians: Carrillo A.
(Rest)
Depay M.
(Rest)
Gustavo Henrique
(Groin Injury)
Martinez J.
(Rest)
Yuri Alberto
(Back Injury)
- There are questionable in Grêmio: Amuzu F.
(Injury)
Braithwaite M.
(Ankle Injury)
Mayk
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Corinthians: Raniele
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Grêmio won 3 matches, drew 11 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:17. (average 0.7:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Grêmio won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.4:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio won against Corinthians?
Grêmio has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Corinthians won against Grêmio?
Corinthians has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Grêmio - Corinthians were as follows:
08.12.2024
Grêmio
-
Corinthians
0:3
07.08.2024
Grêmio
-
Corinthians
0:1
31.07.2024
Corinthians
-
Grêmio
0:0
25.07.2024
Corinthians
-
Grêmio
2:2
12.11.2023
Grêmio
-
Corinthians
0:1
Latest results of Corinthians
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 30:6 | 24 | 36 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 28:11 | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Palmeiras | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 32 |
| 4 | Bahia | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 20:13 | 7 | 28 |
| 5 | Bragantino | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 27 |
| 6 | Botafogo RJ | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 18:8 | 10 | 26 |
| 7 | Mirassol | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 24:14 | 10 | 25 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 22 |
| 9 | Ceara | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 16:16 | 0 | 21 |
| 10 | Internacional | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 21 |
| 11 | Corinthians | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 21 |
| 12 | Fluminense | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 17:20 | -3 | 20 |
| 13 | Atletico-MG | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16:16 | 0 | 20 |
| 14 | Gremio | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 16:22 | -6 | 20 |
| 15 | Vitoria | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 14:18 | -4 | 17 |
| 16 | Vasco | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 16:20 | -4 | 15 |
| 17 | Santos | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 15:21 | -6 | 15 |
| 18 | Fortaleza | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17:23 | -6 | 14 |
| 19 | Juventude | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10:32 | -22 | 11 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 15 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 9:25 | -16 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
