Result
1:0
28/02/2026 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Paulista - Play Offs - Semi-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Caze TV, Claro TV+, HBO Max, Sky+, TNT Sports, TV Record, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 0.57 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 32% | 68% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (156/236) | 83% (418/501) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 0.57 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 0.44 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 6 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 22 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (156/236) | 83% (418/501) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (26/68) | 51% (39/76) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 46% (31/68) | 63% (51/81) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (4/13) | 42% (8/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.32 | 0.55 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 22 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (11/15) | 75% (6/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.44 | 0.58 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.44 | -0.42 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 20', Matheuzinho 🟨,
- 33', Matheus Bianqui 🟨,
- 43', Allan 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Matheus Bianqui ↓, Castrillon N. ↑,
- 61', Raniele ↓, Vitinho ↑,
- 63', Breno Bidon 🟨,
- 64', Dantas 🟨,
- 69', Castrillon N. 🟨,
- 74', 1 - 0, Mayk ⚽, Robson (A),
- 81', Vinicius Paiva ↓, Tavinho ↑,
- 82', Breno Bidon ↓, Pedro Raul ↑,
- 82', Garro R. ↓, Dieguinho ↑,
- 86', Andre 🟨,
- 89', Andre ↓, Carrillo A. ↑,
- 89', Allan ↓, Gui Negao ↑,
- 90', Romulo ↓, Juninho ↑,
- 90', Mayk ↓, Eduardo Brock ↑,
- 90+7', 🟨,
- 90+8', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Grêmio Novorizontino
25.6% | Draw
31.3% | Corinthians
43.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grêmio Novorizontino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)Corinthians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Grêmio Novorizontino - Corinthians Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.59 ↑
(3.18) |
2.96 ↑
(2.96) |
2.16 ↓
(2.23) |
7.9%
(10.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Grêmio Novorizontino - Corinthians?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Corinthians (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Novorizontino is Qualified for Paulista (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Novorizontino won 1.
- Novorizontino is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Corinthians is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Corinthians may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Corinthians has had a series of away games.
- Corinthians could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Novorizontino: Helio Borges
(Inactive)
Marlon
(Inactive)
Renato Palm
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Corinthians: Hugo
(Injury)
Kaio Cesar
(Injury)
Pereira M.
(Injury)
Yuri Alberto
(Inactive)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Novorizontino won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 0.5:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Novorizontino won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.3:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio Novorizontino won against Corinthians?
Grêmio Novorizontino has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Corinthians won against Grêmio Novorizontino?
Corinthians has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Grêmio Novorizontino - Corinthians were as follows:
21.05.2025
Corinthians
-
Grêmio Novorizontino
1:0
30.04.2025
Grêmio Novorizontino
-
Corinthians
0:1
03.02.2025
Grêmio Novorizontino
-
Corinthians
0:1
04.02.2024
Corinthians
-
Grêmio Novorizontino
1:3
Latest results of Grêmio Novorizontino
Latest results of Corinthians
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Novorizontino (1) | Santos (8) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Portuguesa (4) | Corinthians (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Palmeiras (2) | Capivariano (7) | 4 : 0 |
| 4 | Bragantino (3) | Sao Paulo (6) | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Novorizontino (1) | Corinthians (5) | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Palmeiras (2) | Sao Paulo (6) | 2 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Novorizontino (1) | Palmeiras (2) | |
