Result
2:0
12/02/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 3
- Referee: Fernandes de Lima F. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Peru | Liga 1 Max |
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 1.23 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (379/458) | 79% (231/293) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 1.23 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 1.01 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 24 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (379/458) | 79% (231/293) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 60% (36/60) | 45% (22/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (54/83) | 58% (45/77) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (3/10) | 10% (1/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 0.26 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 27 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 24 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (8/10) | 57% (8/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.01 | 1.30 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.01 | -0.70 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 23', Matheus Bidu 🟨,
- 28', Lucas Barbosa 🟨,
- 41', Gustavo Henrique 🟨,
- 45+3', Gabriel 🟨,
- 45+4', Cleiton 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 47', 1 - 0, Gabriel Paulista ⚽, Garro R. (A),
- 59', Pitta I. (Penalty Awarded),
- 60', Gabriel ↓, Eric Ramires ↑,
- 68', Gustavo Neves ↓, Herrera J. ↑,
- 69', Pereira M. ↓, Allan ↑,
- 69', Carrillo A. ↓, Charles Rigon ↑,
- 75', 2 - 0, Matheus Bidu ⚽,
- 83', Fabinho ↓, Sosa I. ↑,
- 83', Mosquera H. ↓, Vinicinho ↑,
- 83', Pitta I. ↓, Fernando Santos ↑,
- 86', Juninho Capixaba 🟨,
- 86', Garro R. ↓, Vitinho ↑,
- 86', Depay M. ↓, Kayke ↑,
- 87', Allan 🟨,
- 87', Raniele 🟨,
- 90', Yuri Alberto ↓, Gui Negao ↑,
Chances of winning
Corinthians
46.1% | Draw
30.5% | Red Bull Bragantino
23.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Corinthians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)Red Bull Bragantino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)The ML Model estimate for Corinthians aligns with the current prediction.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Corinthians - Red Bull Bragantino Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.05 ↓
(2.06) |
3.1 ↑
(3.02) |
4.02 ↑
(3.97) |
5.8%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Corinthians - Red Bull Bragantino?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Corinthians will win (votes: 7 - 50%). RB Bragantino will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Corinthians: 23.8% – 76.2%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.5 - Corinthians (2.05) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75 - Corinthians (2.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Corinthians (3.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - RB Bragantino (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Corinthians will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Corinthians (votes: 5 - 71.4%). RB Bragantino (votes: 2 - 28.6%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Corinthians won 1.
- Corinthians has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- RB Bragantino is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Corinthians may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Corinthians could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Corinthians: Hugo
(Injury)
Kaio Cesar
(Injury)
Martinez J.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in RB Bragantino: Rodriguez G.
(Knee Injury)
Vanderlan
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in RB Bragantino: Alix Vinicius
(Injury)
Rodriguinho
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Corinthians won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 17:22. (average 0.9:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Corinthians won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 0.9:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Corinthians won against Red Bull Bragantino?
Corinthians has won 3 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Red Bull Bragantino won against Corinthians?
Red Bull Bragantino has won 7 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Corinthians - Red Bull Bragantino were as follows:
15.01.2026
Red Bull Bragantino
-
Corinthians
3:0
05.11.2025
Red Bull Bragantino
-
Corinthians
2:1
13.07.2025
Corinthians
-
Red Bull Bragantino
1:2
16.01.2025
Red Bull Bragantino
-
Corinthians
1:2
20.08.2024
Corinthians
-
Red Bull Bragantino
2:2
Latest results of Corinthians
Latest results of Red Bull Bragantino
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17:8 | 9 | 19 |
| 2 | Sao Paulo | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 10:5 | 5 | 16 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 16 |
| 4 | Flamengo RJ | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:5 | 8 | 14 |
| 5 | Bahia | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 14 |
| 6 | Athletico-PR | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 13 |
| 7 | Coritiba | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9:8 | 1 | 13 |
| 8 | Gremio | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 11 |
| 9 | Vasco | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 | Vitoria | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 10 |
| 11 | Corinthians | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 10 |
| 12 | Internacional | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:9 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 | Atletico-MG | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 8 |
| 14 | Bragantino | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 8 |
| 15 | Chapecoense-SC | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9:11 | -2 | 7 |
| 16 | Santos | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10:13 | -3 | 7 |
| 17 | Botafogo RJ | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 6 |
| 18 | Mirassol | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 6 |
| 19 | Remo | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10:15 | -5 | 6 |
| 20 | Cruzeiro | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 8:16 | -8 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
