Corinthians vs Red Bull Bragantino – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
12/02/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 3
  • Referee: Fernandes de Lima F. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
ecuadorEcuadorCanal del Futbol
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
peruPeruLiga 1 Max
portugalPortugalCanal 11
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.931.23
Ball possession
60%40%
Total shots
139
Shots on target
54
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
33
Passes
83% (379/458)79% (231/293)
Yellow cards
44
Expected goals (xG)
0.931.23
xG on target (xGOT)
1.301.01
Total shots
139
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
73
Blocked shots
12
Shots inside the box
93
Shots outside the box
46
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
10
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
33
Touches in opposition box
1710
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
41
Free kicks
2417
Passes
83% (379/458)79% (231/293)
Long passes
60% (36/60)45% (22/49)
Passes in final third
65% (54/83)58% (45/77)
Crosses
30% (3/10)10% (1/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.480.26
Throw ins
2722
Fouls
1724
Tackles
80% (8/10)57% (8/14)
Duels won
4840
Clearances
1216
Interceptions
108
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
43
xGOT faced
1.011.30
Goals prevented
1.01-0.70

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 23', Matheus Bidu 🟨,
  • 28', Lucas Barbosa 🟨,
  • 41', Gustavo Henrique 🟨,
  • 45+3', Gabriel 🟨,
  • 45+4', Cleiton 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 47', 1 - 0, Gabriel Paulista , Garro R. (A),
  • 59', Pitta I. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 60', Gabriel , Eric Ramires ,
  • 68', Gustavo Neves , Herrera J. ,
  • 69', Pereira M. , Allan ,
  • 69', Carrillo A. , Charles Rigon ,
  • 75', 2 - 0, Matheus Bidu ,
  • 83', Fabinho , Sosa I. ,
  • 83', Mosquera H. , Vinicinho ,
  • 83', Pitta I. , Fernando Santos ,
  • 86', Juninho Capixaba 🟨,
  • 86', Garro R. , Vitinho ,
  • 86', Depay M. , Kayke ,
  • 87', Allan 🟨,
  • 87', Raniele 🟨,
  • 90', Yuri Alberto , Gui Negao ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Corinthians
46.1%
Draw
30.5%
Red Bull Bragantino
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.5% 31% 23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1% 31.4% 23.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Corinthians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • Red Bull Bragantino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Corinthians aligns with the current prediction.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • Corinthians - Red Bull Bragantino Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.05
    (2.06)
    3.1
    (3.02)
    4.02
    (3.97)
    5.8%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Corinthians - Red Bull Bragantino?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Corinthians will win (votes: 7 - 50%). RB Bragantino will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Corinthians: 23.8%76.2%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -0.5 - Corinthians (2.05) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Corinthians (2.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Corinthians (3.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - RB Bragantino (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Corinthians will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Corinthians (votes: 5 - 71.4%). RB Bragantino (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Corinthians won 1.
    • Corinthians has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • RB Bragantino is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Corinthians may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Corinthians could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Corinthians: Hugo (Injury) Kaio Cesar (Injury) Martinez J. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in RB Bragantino: Rodriguez G. (Knee Injury) Vanderlan (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in RB Bragantino: Alix Vinicius (Injury) Rodriguinho (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Corinthians won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 17:22. (average 0.9:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Corinthians won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 0.9:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Corinthians - Red Bull Bragantino were as follows:
    15.01.2026 Red Bull Bragantino - Corinthians 3:0
    05.11.2025 Red Bull Bragantino - Corinthians 2:1
    13.07.2025 Corinthians - Red Bull Bragantino 1:2
    16.01.2025 Red Bull Bragantino - Corinthians 1:2
    20.08.2024 Corinthians - Red Bull Bragantino 2:2
    Latest results of Corinthians
    08.02.2026 Corinthians - Palmeiras 0:1
    05.02.2026 Corinthians - Capivariano 3:0
    01.02.2026 Flamengo - Corinthians 0:2
    28.01.2026 Corinthians - Bahia 1:2
    25.01.2026 Velo Clube - Corinthians 0:1
    Latest results of Red Bull Bragantino
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Palmeiras1182121:101126
    2Flamengo RJ1062218:10820
    3Sao Paulo1162315:9620
    4Fluminense1162318:13520
    5Bahia1062215:10520
    6Athletico-PR1161417:13419
    7Coritiba1144313:12116
    8Atletico-MG1142514:13114
    9Bragantino1142511:12-114
    10Vitoria1042411:14-314
    11Botafogo RJ1041518:21-313
    12Gremio1134414:14013
    13Vasco1134416:17-113
    14Internacional113449:10-113
    15Santos1134414:16-213
    16Corinthians112548:11-311
    17Cruzeiro1124514:21-710
    18Remo1115511:18-78
    19Chapecoense-SC1015410:18-88
    20Mirassol1013611:16-56

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