Result
2:3
24/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 21
- Referee: Pereira R. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globo Internacional TV, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go |
 Ecuador | El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 3 |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 2.05 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (428/485) | 76% (232/305) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 2.05 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 3.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (428/485) | 76% (232/305) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (14/29) | 48% (32/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (45/66) | 60% (51/85) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (2/14) | 32% (6/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.47 | 1.16 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 20 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 36% (5/14) | 65% (15/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.00 | 1.16 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | -0.84 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 21', 0 - 1, Maycon ⚽, Matheus Bidu (A),
- 25', David 🟨,
- 40', Matheus Bidu 🟨,
- 45', Tche Tche ↓, Vegetti P. ↑,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 59', 1 - 1, Vegetti P. (Pen),
- 63', Kayke ↓, Vitinho ↑,
- 63', Charles Rigon ↓, Garro R. ↑,
- 63', Maycon ↓, Ryan ↑,
- 67', Rayan 🟨,
- 69', 1 - 2, Gui Negao ⚽, Matheuzinho (A),
- 74', David ↓, Cauan Barros ↑,
- 74', Jair ↓, Gomez C. A. ↑,
- 77', Raniele 🟨,
- 82', Moreira N. ↓, GB ↑,
- 83', Lucas Piton 🟨,
- 84', Matheuzinho ↓, Torres F. ↑,
- 85', 1 - 3, Gustavo Henrique ⚽, Garro R. (A),
- 88', Gui Negao ↓, Angel Romero ↑,
- 90+6', 2 - 3, Rayan ⚽, Gomez C. A. (A),
Chances of winning
Vasco da Gama
43.2% | Draw
30.3% | Corinthians
26.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vasco da Gama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vasco da Gama's performance.Corinthians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Corinthians might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (-4.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Corinthians could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Vasco da Gama - Corinthians Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.21 ↓
(2.51) |
3.11 ↓
(3.13) |
3.56 ↑
(2.88) |
5.5%
(6.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Vasco da Gama - Corinthians?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Vasco will win (votes: 13 - 72.2%). Corinthians will win (votes: 1 - 5.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vasco: 51.5% – 92.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Vasco (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Corinthians (votes: 2 - 28.6%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 16 and 14)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vasco won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Corinthians may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Vasco could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Vasco: Adson
(Broken Leg)
Alex Teixeira
(Inactive)
Mateus Carvalho
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Corinthians: Carrillo A.
(Ankle Injury)
Depay M.
(Muscle Injury)
Hugo
(Hernia)
Yuri Alberto
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vasco won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 14:38. (average 0.7:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vasco won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:22. (average 1.2:2.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Vasco da Gama won against Corinthians?
Vasco da Gama has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Corinthians won against Vasco da Gama?
Corinthians has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vasco da Gama - Corinthians were as follows:
05.04.2025
Corinthians
-
Vasco da Gama
3:0
24.11.2024
Corinthians
-
Vasco da Gama
3:1
10.07.2024
Vasco da Gama
-
Corinthians
2:0
28.11.2023
Vasco da Gama
-
Corinthians
2:4
29.07.2023
Corinthians
-
Vasco da Gama
3:1
Latest results of Vasco da Gama
Latest results of Corinthians
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 45:10 | 35 | 47 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 35:15 | 20 | 44 |
| 3 | Palmeiras | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 28:16 | 12 | 43 |
| 4 | Bahia | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 28:22 | 6 | 36 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 30:13 | 17 | 35 |
| 6 | Mirassol | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 35:20 | 15 | 35 |
| 7 | Sao Paulo | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 26:23 | 3 | 32 |
| 8 | Bragantino | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 27:32 | -5 | 30 |
| 9 | Fluminense | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 25:28 | -3 | 28 |
| 10 | Internacional | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 25:29 | -4 | 27 |
| 11 | Ceara | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 19:20 | -1 | 26 |
| 12 | Corinthians | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 26 |
| 13 | Gremio | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 20:26 | -6 | 25 |
| 14 | Atletico-MG | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 20:24 | -4 | 24 |
| 15 | Vasco | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 30:31 | -1 | 22 |
| 16 | Santos | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 20:31 | -11 | 22 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 22 | 4 | 10 | 8 | 19:32 | -13 | 22 |
| 18 | Juventude | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 19:41 | -22 | 21 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 20:34 | -14 | 15 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 14:33 | -19 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
