Result
3:0
05/04/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 2
- Referee: Daronco A. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video |
 China | K-Ball |
 Turkey | S Sport 2, S Sport+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 0.58 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (423/475) | 87% (361/413) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 0.58 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 0.72 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (423/475) | 87% (361/413) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 66% (25/38) | 46% (17/37) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 81% (95/117) | 83% (86/104) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (3/10) | 21% (4/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 0.69 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 45% (5/11) | 76% (16/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 31 | 54 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.72 | 1.58 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.72 | -0.42 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 5', Jair 🟨,
- 12', Raniele 🟨,
- 12', 1 - 0, Yuri Alberto ⚽, Depay M. (A),
- 27', 2 - 0, Depay M. ⚽, Yuri Alberto (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Carrillo A. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
- 48', Martinez J. 🟨,
- 50', Joao Victor 🟨,
- 62', Tche Tche ↓, Vegetti P. ↑,
- 63', Jair ↓, Hugo Moura ↑,
- 66', Matheuzinho 🟨,
- 75', Raniele ↓, Maycon ↑,
- 75', Igor Coronado ↓, Angel Romero ↑,
- 76', Augusto L. ↓, Moreira N. ↑,
- 76', Rayan ↓, Adson ↑,
- 83', Diaz R. 🟥,
- 89', Mateus Carvalho ↓, Alex Teixeira ↑,
- 90', Yuri Alberto ↓, Hernandez H. ↑,
- 90+1', 3 - 0, Joao Victor (Own goal),
Chances of winning
Corinthians
56.2% | Draw
26.6% | Vasco da Gama
17.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Corinthians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)Vasco da Gama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Corinthians - Vasco da Gama Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.69 ↑
(1.65) |
3.53 ↓
(4) |
5.52 ↑
(5.26) |
5.7%
(4.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Corinthians - Vasco da Gama?
Users Predictions:
Corinthians will win
(12 of 12 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Corinthians will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Corinthians won 3.
- Both teams are now playing unstable.
- Vasco could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Corinthians is a favorite.
- There will not play in Corinthians: Garro R.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Vasco: David
(Knee Injury)
Guilherme Estrella
(Knee Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Corinthians won 13 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 35:14 (average 1.8:0.7).
- Including matches at home between the teams Corinthians won 8 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 13:2 (average 1.3:0.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Corinthians won against Vasco da Gama?
Corinthians has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vasco da Gama won against Corinthians?
Vasco da Gama has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Corinthians - Vasco da Gama were as follows:
24.11.2024
Corinthians
-
Vasco da Gama
3:1
10.07.2024
Vasco da Gama
-
Corinthians
2:0
28.11.2023
Vasco da Gama
-
Corinthians
2:4
29.07.2023
Corinthians
-
Vasco da Gama
3:1
Latest results of Corinthians
Latest results of Vasco da Gama
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cruzeiro | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 27:9 | 18 | 34 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 29:6 | 23 | 33 |
| 3 | Palmeiras | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 18:12 | 6 | 29 |
| 4 | Bragantino | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 19:17 | 2 | 27 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 17:7 | 10 | 25 |
| 6 | Bahia | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 17:13 | 4 | 25 |
| 7 | Mirassol | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 23:13 | 10 | 24 |
| 8 | Fluminense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 16:17 | -1 | 20 |
| 9 | Atletico-MG | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16:15 | 1 | 20 |
| 10 | Internacional | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16:19 | -3 | 20 |
| 11 | Corinthians | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 |
| 12 | Sao Paulo | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 15:18 | -3 | 19 |
| 13 | Ceara | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 14:15 | -1 | 18 |
| 14 | Gremio | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 14:20 | -6 | 17 |
| 15 | Vitoria | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13:17 | -4 | 16 |
| 16 | Vasco | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 15:19 | -4 | 14 |
| 17 | Santos | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 13:19 | -6 | 14 |
| 18 | Juventude | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 10:29 | -19 | 11 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 13:20 | -7 | 11 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 14 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 7:23 | -16 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
