Result
0:1
25/01/2026 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Paulista - Round 5
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Caze TV, Claro TV+, HBO Max, Sky+, TV Record, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 0.76 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 32% | 68% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (159/218) | 84% (408/483) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 0.76 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.01 | 0.80 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (159/218) | 84% (408/483) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (19/55) | 51% (28/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (43/65) | 71% (79/112) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 39% (7/18) | 20% (4/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 0.42 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (16/20) | 73% (19/26) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 65 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.80 | 0.01 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.20 | 0.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 4', Luiz Otavio 🟨,
- 35', Rodrigo Alves 🟨,
- 41', Gui Negao 🟨,
- 45+4', Ynaia 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 55', Islan 🟨,
- 57', Daniel Amorim ↓, Jhoninha ↑,
- 70', Pereira M. ↓, Yuri Alberto ↑,
- 70', Milans P. ↓, Matheuzinho ↑,
- 70', Charles Rigon ↓, Raniele ↑,
- 71', Luiz Otavio ↓, Karl ↑,
- 71', Sillas ↓, Adriano Jr ↑,
- 77', Mateus Norton 🟨,
- 81', Karl 🟨,
- 82', Gui Negao ↓, Pedro Raul ↑,
- 82', Garro R. ↓, Breno Bidon ↑,
- 83', Mateus Norton ↓, Rodrigo ↑,
- 83', Rodrigo Alves ↓, Ruan ↑,
- 90+1', 0 - 1, Yuri Alberto ⚽,
- 90+3', Yuri Alberto 🟨,
- 90+4', Breno Bidon 🟨,
Chances of winning
Velo Clube
18.4% | Draw
30.7% | Corinthians
50.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Velo Clube has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)Corinthians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
Velo Clube - Corinthians Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.02 ↑
(4.64) |
3.06 ↓
(3.19) |
1.84 ↑
(1.78) |
7.1%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Velo Clube - Corinthians?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Corinthians (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Corinthians has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Velo Clube may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Corinthians is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Velo Clube: Lucas Duni
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Corinthians: Depay M.
(Inactive)
Martinez J.
(Inactive)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Velo Clube won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Velo Clube won against Corinthians?
Velo Clube has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Corinthians won against Velo Clube?
Corinthians has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Velo Clube - Corinthians were as follows:
19.01.2025
Corinthians
-
Velo Clube
2:1
Latest results of Velo Clube
Latest results of Corinthians
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Novorizontino (1) | Santos (8) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Portuguesa (4) | Corinthians (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Palmeiras (2) | Capivariano (7) | 4 : 0 |
| 4 | Bragantino (3) | Sao Paulo (6) | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Novorizontino (1) | Corinthians (5) | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Palmeiras (2) | Sao Paulo (6) | 2 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Novorizontino (1) | Palmeiras (2) | |
