Result
0:2
11/03/2026 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 5
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Peru | Liga 1 Max |
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 0.56 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 73% | 27% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 91% (505/552) | 75% (156/207) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 0.56 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 0.97 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 91% (505/552) | 75% (156/207) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 75% (38/51) | 50% (25/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 84% (178/212) | 62% (48/77) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (8/42) | 15% (2/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 0.75 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 50% (7/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 43 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.97 | 0.45 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.03 | 0.45 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 37', 0 - 1, Jacy ⚽, Josue (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 53', 0 - 2, Lucas Ronier ⚽, Josue (A),
- 57', Gui Negao ↓, Pedro Raul ↑,
- 58', Garro R. ↓, Vitinho ↑,
- 58', Allan ↓, Carrillo A. ↑,
- 58', Breno Bidon ↓, Dieguinho ↑,
- 69', Jacy ↓, Tiago Coser ↑,
- 77', Breno Lopes ↓, Lavega J. ↑,
- 78', Lucas Ronier 🟨,
- 79', Matheus Bidu ↓, Angileri F. ↑,
- 81', Depay M. ↓, Labyad Z. ↑,
- 84', Hugo Souza 🟨,
- 87', Pedro Rocha ↓, Fabinho ↑,
- 89', Carrillo A. 🟨,
- 90+5', Joao Pedro Chermont ↓, Thiago Santos ↑,
- 90+5', Josue ↓, Vini Paulista ↑,
- 90+8', Fabinho 🟨,
Chances of winning
Corinthians
57.5% | Draw
25.2% | Coritiba
17.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Corinthians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)Coritiba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coritiba than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Corinthians - Coritiba Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.65 ↑
(1.54) |
3.74 ↓
(3.88) |
5.57 ↓
(5.92) |
5.5%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Corinthians - Coritiba?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 0.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Coritiba (4.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Corinthians will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Coritiba (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Corinthians won 4.
- Corinthians is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Coritiba has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Corinthians may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Corinthians has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Corinthians is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Corinthians: Felipe Longo
(Inactive)
Hugo
(Injury)
Labyad Z.
(Inactive)
Pereira M.
(Injury)
Yuri Alberto
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Coritiba: Benassi
(Inactive)
Gomez S.
(Inactive)
Rodrigo Rodrigues
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Corinthians: Kaio Cesar
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Coritiba: Lucas Crepaldi
(Inactive)
Pedro Morisco
(Injury)
Tiago Coser
(Inactive)
Tinga
(Injury)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Corinthians won 12 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 34:14. (average 1.9:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Corinthians won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 24:9. (average 2.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Corinthians won against Coritiba?
Corinthians has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Coritiba won against Corinthians?
Coritiba has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Corinthians - Coritiba were as follows:
06.12.2023
Coritiba
-
Corinthians
0:2
13.08.2023
Corinthians
-
Coritiba
3:1
09.11.2022
Coritiba
-
Corinthians
2:2
Latest results of Corinthians
Latest results of Coritiba
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 24:11 | 13 | 33 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 26:12 | 14 | 27 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 23:18 | 5 | 26 |
| 4 | Sao Paulo | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 19:13 | 6 | 24 |
| 5 | Athletico-PR | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 20:15 | 5 | 23 |
| 6 | Bahia | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 19:16 | 3 | 22 |
| 7 | Bragantino | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 17:16 | 1 | 20 |
| 8 | Coritiba | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 19 |
| 9 | Vitoria | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16:18 | -2 | 18 |
| 10 | Botafogo RJ | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 25:26 | -1 | 17 |
| 11 | Atletico-MG | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 17:20 | -3 | 17 |
| 12 | Internacional | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 14:14 | 0 | 17 |
| 13 | Vasco | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 20:21 | -1 | 17 |
| 14 | Gremio | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 15:16 | -1 | 17 |
| 15 | Cruzeiro | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 18:24 | -6 | 16 |
| 16 | Santos | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 19:22 | -3 | 15 |
| 17 | Corinthians | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 10:13 | -3 | 15 |
| 18 | Mirassol | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15:19 | -4 | 12 |
| 19 | Remo | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 15:24 | -9 | 11 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-SC | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13:26 | -13 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B
