Lenense vs Covadonga – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2 Lenense - Covadonga
Result
0:3
09/03/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 25

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 45+1', 0 - 1, Secades M. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 47', 0 - 2, Alvarez V. ,
  • 76', 0 - 3, Secades M. ,

Chances of winning


Lenense
18.7%
Draw
24.4%
Covadonga
56.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
11.3% 20.4% 68.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11% 19.9% 70.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lenense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lenense's performance.
  • Covadonga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Covadonga might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lenense than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lenense that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Covadonga than the current prediction. (+13.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Covadonga could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Lenense - Covadonga Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.93
    (8)
    3.78
    (4.45)
    1.63
    (1.33)
    8.3%
    (10.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 2 (Play Offs: )).
    • Recent matches Lenense is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Covadonga is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Lenense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Covadonga is absolute favorite.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Lenense won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:12 (average 0.8:2.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Lenense won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lenense - Covadonga were as follows:
    27.10.2024 Covadonga - Lenense 3:0
    Latest results of Lenense
    01.03.2025 LEntregu - Lenense 1:1
    16.02.2025 Lenense - Avilés Stadium 1:2
    09.02.2025 Mosconia - Lenense 1:0
    02.02.2025 Lenense - Praviano 1:0
    25.01.2025 Roces - Lenense 1:1
    Latest results of Covadonga
    23.02.2025 Mosconia - Covadonga 1:2
    16.02.2025 Covadonga - Praviano 1:0
    08.02.2025 Roces - Covadonga 1:4
    02.02.2025 Covadonga - Lealtad 1:0
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Final
    1SocuellamosCayon2 : 0, 1 : 1
    2CastellonenseBurgos CF B0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3CortesBeasain0 : 2, 1 : 2
    4Girona BSan Fernando2 : 0, 1 : 0
    5PulpilenoSarriana2 : 3, 0 : 0
    6LlerenenseLealtad1 : 3, 1 : 0
    7Atletico CentralJaen1 : 2, 0 : 1
    8PorreresAtletico Monzon2 : 0, 0 : 1
    9VareaRayo Vallecano B0 : 3, 1 : 2