Result
1:3
22/02/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 23
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 23', 0 - 1, Toquero ⚽,
- 34', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 55', 1 - 2, ⚽,
- 67', 1 - 3, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Praviano
11.1% | Draw
24.5% | Covadonga
64.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Praviano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)Covadonga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Praviano than the current prediction. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Covadonga than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Praviano - Covadonga Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
8.16 ↑
(6.03) |
3.7 ↑
(3.6) |
1.41 ↓
(1.51) |
10.1%
(10.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 2 (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Praviano won 0.
- Praviano has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Covadonga is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In this match, Covadonga is the clear favorite.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Praviano won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:13. (average 0.6:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Praviano won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Praviano won against Covadonga?
Praviano has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Covadonga won against Praviano?
Covadonga has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Praviano - Covadonga were as follows:
11.10.2025
Covadonga
-
Praviano
2:1
16.02.2025
Covadonga
-
Praviano
1:0
12.03.2023
Praviano
-
Covadonga
2:2
06.11.2022
Covadonga
-
Praviano
2:0
Latest results of Praviano
Latest results of Covadonga
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Llanera | 30 | 25 | 4 | 1 | 61:17 | 44 | 79 |
| 2 | Covadonga | 30 | 22 | 5 | 3 | 75:21 | 54 | 71 |
| 3 | Gijon B | 30 | 16 | 10 | 4 | 71:24 | 47 | 58 |
| 4 | Caudal Deportivo | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 50:35 | 15 | 57 |
| 5 | Mosconia | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 43:25 | 18 | 51 |
| 6 | L'Entregu | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 38:33 | 5 | 46 |
| 7 | EI San Martin | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 31:32 | -1 | 42 |
| 8 | CD Colunga | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 31:45 | -14 | 38 |
| 9 | Union Club Ceares | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 30:36 | -6 | 36 |
| 10 | Praviano | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 30:37 | -7 | 36 |
| 11 | Llanes | 30 | 7 | 13 | 10 | 42:45 | -3 | 34 |
| 12 | Club Siero | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 36:47 | -11 | 32 |
| 13 | Aviles Stadium | 30 | 6 | 14 | 10 | 18:30 | -12 | 32 |
| 14 | Lenense | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 30:51 | -21 | 28 |
| 15 | SD Navarro CF | 30 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 34:46 | -12 | 28 |
| 16 | Gijon Industrial | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 27:50 | -23 | 25 |
| 17 | Tuilla | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 26:52 | -26 | 24 |
| 18 | Real Titanico | 30 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 18:65 | -47 | 14 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 2 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
