Result
1:3
22/02/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 23
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 23', 0 - 1, Toquero ⚽,
- 34', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 55', 1 - 2, ⚽,
- 67', 1 - 3, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Praviano
11.1% | Draw
24.5% | Covadonga
64.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Praviano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)Covadonga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Praviano than the current prediction. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Covadonga than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Praviano - Covadonga Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
8.16 ↑
(6.03) |
3.7 ↑
(3.6) |
1.41 ↓
(1.51) |
10.1%
(10.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 2 (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Praviano won 0.
- Praviano has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Covadonga is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In this match, Covadonga is the clear favorite.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Praviano won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:13. (average 0.6:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Praviano won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Praviano won against Covadonga?
Praviano has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Covadonga won against Praviano?
Covadonga has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Praviano - Covadonga were as follows:
11.10.2025
Covadonga
-
Praviano
2:1
16.02.2025
Covadonga
-
Praviano
1:0
12.03.2023
Praviano
-
Covadonga
2:2
06.11.2022
Covadonga
-
Praviano
2:0
Latest results of Praviano
Latest results of Covadonga
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Llanera | 24 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 50:17 | 33 | 61 |
| 2 | Covadonga | 24 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 58:14 | 44 | 59 |
| 3 | Gijon B | 24 | 13 | 9 | 2 | 54:19 | 35 | 48 |
| 4 | Caudal Deportivo | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 42:29 | 13 | 45 |
| 5 | Mosconia | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 38:18 | 20 | 42 |
| 6 | L'Entregu | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 28:27 | 1 | 36 |
| 7 | CD Colunga | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 29:35 | -6 | 34 |
| 8 | Union Club Ceares | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 25:20 | 5 | 33 |
| 9 | EI San Martin | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 26:28 | -2 | 32 |
| 10 | Club Siero | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 32:32 | 0 | 31 |
| 11 | Llanes | 24 | 6 | 12 | 6 | 32:31 | 1 | 30 |
| 12 | Praviano | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 23:31 | -8 | 28 |
| 13 | Aviles Stadium | 24 | 4 | 11 | 9 | 14:29 | -15 | 23 |
| 14 | SD Navarro CF | 24 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 26:40 | -14 | 19 |
| 15 | Gijon Industrial | 24 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 19:42 | -23 | 17 |
| 16 | Lenense | 24 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 18:42 | -24 | 15 |
| 17 | Tuilla | 24 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 18:45 | -27 | 14 |
| 18 | Real Titanico | 24 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 15:48 | -33 | 11 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 2 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
