Result
3:5
16/08/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 2
- Referee: Backhouse A. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
 Usa | CBS Sports Network, Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.48 | 3.26 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (239/307) | 79% (281/354) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.48 | 3.26 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.08 | 4.77 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 14 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 36 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (239/307) | 79% (281/354) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (25/48) | 36% (21/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (55/91) | 63% (71/112) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (5/22) | 20% (4/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.31 | 1.06 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (12/17) | 60% (9/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 44 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 4.77 | 2.08 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.23 | -0.92 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 7', 0 - 1, Thomas B. ⚽,
- 12', 1 - 1, Elder C. ⚽,
- 25', 1 - 2, Wright H. (Pen),
- 45+1', Clarke M. 🟨,
- 45+1', Thomas-Asante B. 🟨,
- 45+2', 2 - 2, Morris C. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 50', 3 - 2, Adams E. ⚽,
- 55', Grimes M. 🟨,
- 62', Nyambe R. 🟨,
- 72', 3 - 3, Thomas-Asante B. ⚽,
- 75', 3 - 4, Mason-Clark E. ⚽, van Ewijk M. (A),
- 76', Wright H. 🟨,
- 79', 3 - 5, Torp V. ⚽, van Ewijk M. (A),
- 81', Batth D. ↓, Clark B. ↑,
- 81', Ozoh D. ↓, Ward J. ↑,
- 81', Jackson K. ↓, Weimann A. ↑,
- 83', van Ewijk M. 🟨,
- 84', Thompson L. ↓, Goudmijn K. ↑,
- 89', Nyambe R. ↓, Brown D. ↑,
- 90+1', Mason-Clark E. ↓, Kesler-Hayden K. ↑,
- 90+1', Wright H. ↓, Simms E. ↑,
- 90+5', Torp V. ↓, Allen J. ↑,
- 90+7', Thomas-Asante B. ↓, Borges Rodrigues R. ↑,
- 90+9', Rushworth C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Derby County
21.6% | Draw
30.1% | Coventry City
48.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Derby County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Derby County's form might have worsened.Coventry City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Coventry City's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (+10.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Derby County, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coventry City than the current prediction. (-9.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Coventry City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Derby County - Coventry City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.94 ↑
(2.79) |
3.43 ↑
(3.24) |
2.11 ↓
(2.61) |
-3.2%
(5.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Derby County - Coventry City?
Users Predictions:
24 users predict this event. Derby will win (votes: 10 - 41.7%). Coventry will win (votes: 10 - 41.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Derby: 22% – 61.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Derby (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Coventry (votes: 5 - 62.5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Derby won 2.
- In recent matches, Derby has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Coventry is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Derby has had a series of away games.
- Recently, Coventry has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Derby: Agyemang P.
(Hernia)
Langas S.
(Knee Injury)
Nelson C.
(Knee Injury)
Salvesen L.
(Knee Injury)
Wilson K.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Coventry: Dovin O.
(Knee Injury)
Sheaf B.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Derby: Beck O.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Blackett-Taylor C.
(Hamstring Injury)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Derby won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 1:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Derby won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Derby County won against Coventry City?
Derby County has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Coventry City won against Derby County?
Coventry City has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Derby County - Coventry City were as follows:
11.03.2025
Derby County
-
Coventry City
2:0
06.11.2024
Coventry City
-
Derby County
1:2
Latest results of Derby County
Latest results of Coventry City
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Stoke | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:2 | 6 | 9 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 9 |
| 3 | Coventry | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12:4 | 8 | 7 |
| 4 | West Brom | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Birmingham | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 7 |
| 6 | Preston | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 7 |
| 7 | Leicester | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 6 |
| 8 | Millwall | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 6 |
| 9 | Bristol City | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 5 |
| 10 | Southampton | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | Portsmouth | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Watford | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 13 | Swansea | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 14 | Charlton | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 4 |
| 15 | Hull | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 4 |
| 16 | Blackburn | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:3 | 1 | 3 |
| 17 | Norwich | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 3 |
| 18 | Ipswich | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 2 |
| 19 | Wrexham | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 1 |
| 20 | Derby | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5:9 | -4 | 1 |
| 21 | Sheffield Wed | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 1 |
| 22 | QPR | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:10 | -7 | 1 |
| 23 | Oxford Utd | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 0 |
| 24 | Sheffield Utd | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
