Result
2:2
30/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 4
- Referee: Ricardo R. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.16 | 1.75 |
Ball Possession |
---|
36% | 64% |
Total shots |
---|
14 | 15 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 6 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
0 | 5 |
Passes |
---|
67% (190/285) | 81% (402/496) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.16 | 1.75 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.38 | 0.81 |
Total shots |
---|
14 | 15 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 6 |
Shots off target |
---|
10 | 7 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
1 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
9 | 10 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
5 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
0 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
20 | 40 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
5 | 4 |
Free Kicks |
---|
10 | 13 |
Passes |
---|
67% (190/285) | 81% (402/496) |
Long passes |
---|
38% (23/61) | 41% (23/56) |
Passes in final third |
---|
59% (55/93) | 66% (117/177) |
Crosses |
---|
40% (4/10) | 13% (3/23) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.48 | 1.17 |
Throw-ins |
---|
15 | 23 |
Fouls |
---|
13 | 10 |
Tackles |
---|
65% (11/17) | 86% (6/7) |
Duels won |
---|
51 | 44 |
Clearances |
---|
37 | 16 |
Interceptions |
---|
10 | 11 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
1 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
4 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.81 | 0.38 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-1.19 | -1.62 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 12', 0 - 1, Wright H. ⚽,
- 19', 1 - 1, Lankshear W. ⚽,
- 37', 1 - 2, Torp V. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 49', Thomas B. 🟨,
- 55', Brannagan C. 🟨,
- 72', Goodrham T. ↓, Dembele S. ↑,
- 72', Phillips M. ↓, Prelec N. ↑,
- 72', Placheta P. ↓, Mills S. ↑,
- 75', 2 - 2, Brannagan C. ⚽,
- 87', Thomas-Asante B. ↓, Sakamoto T. ↑,
- 87', Lankshear W. ↓, Harris L. ↑,
- 88', Torp V. 🟨,
- 90', De Keersmaecker B. ↓, Vaulks W. ↑,
Chances of winning
Oxford United 17.4% | Draw 23.2% | Coventry City 59.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oxford United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)Coventry City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Coventry City's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coventry City than the current prediction. (-5.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Coventry City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Oxford United - Coventry City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
5.82 ↑ (4.38) |
4.31 ↑ (3.72) |
1.63 ↓ (1.79) |
1.7% (5.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Oxford United - Coventry City?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Oxford will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). Coventry will win (votes: 14 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Coventry: 58.6% – 97%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Coventry (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oxford won 0.
- Oxford is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Coventry is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Coventry may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Coventry is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Oxford: Brown C.
(Knee Injury)
Johnson J.
(Inactive)
ter Haar Romeny O.
(Foot Injury)
- There will not play in Coventry: Latibeaudiere J.
(Inactive)
Sakamoto T.
(Groin Injury)
Sheaf B.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Oxford: Spencer B.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Coventry: Dovin O.
(Knee Injury)
Eccles J.
(Injury)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Oxford won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 19:25. (average 1.5:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Oxford won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 2:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Oxford United won against Coventry City?
Oxford United has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Coventry City won against Oxford United?
Coventry City has won 4 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Oxford United - Coventry City were as follows:
01.03.2025
Oxford United
-
Coventry City
2:3
27.08.2024
Coventry City
-
Oxford United
1:0
16.08.2024
Coventry City
-
Oxford United
3:2
06.01.2024
Coventry City
-
Oxford United
6:2
Latest results of Oxford United
Latest results of Coventry City
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Middlesbrough | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7:1 | 6 | 12 |
2 | West Brom | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 10 |
3 | Stoke | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:3 | 5 | 9 |
4 | Leicester | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 9 |
5 | Coventry | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 14:6 | 8 | 8 |
6 | Bristol City | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 8 |
7 | Swansea | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 7 |
8 | Portsmouth | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 7 |
9 | Preston | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 7 |
10 | Birmingham | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 7 |
11 | Norwich | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 6 |
12 | Millwall | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 6 |
13 | Southampton | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 5 |
14 | Watford | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 5 |
15 | Wrexham | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 4 |
16 | Charlton | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 4 |
17 | Hull | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:9 | -4 | 4 |
18 | QPR | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:11 | -5 | 4 |
19 | Blackburn | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:5 | -1 | 3 |
20 | Ipswich | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 3 |
21 | Derby | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7:11 | -4 | 2 |
22 | Oxford Utd | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 1 |
23 | Sheffield Wed | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:9 | -6 | 1 |
24 | Sheffield Utd | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1:7 | -6 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One