Leicester City vs Oxford United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
24/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 29
  • Referee: Linington J. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.591.94
Ball possession
77%23%
Total shots
138
Shots on target
42
Big chances
03
Corner kicks
124
Passes
84% (488/581)48% (84/175)
Yellow cards
03
Expected goals (xG)
0.591.94
xG on target (xGOT)
0.811.71
Total shots
138
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
63
Blocked shots
33
Shots inside the box
65
Shots outside the box
73
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
03
Corner kicks
124
Touches in opposition box
1612
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free kicks
1113
Passes
84% (488/581)48% (84/175)
Long passes
35% (19/54)24% (14/59)
Passes in final third
72% (117/163)36% (25/70)
Crosses
13% (4/30)13% (1/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.920.66
Throw ins
3018
Fouls
1311
Tackles
60% (9/15)64% (16/25)
Duels won
4462
Clearances
3042
Interceptions
713
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
03
xGOT faced
1.710.81
Goals prevented
-0.29-0.19

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 4', 0 - 1, Long S. , Brown C. (A),
  • 44', Brannagan C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Nelson B. , Thomas L. ,
  • 59', Currie J. 🟨,
  • 67', Currie J. , Leigh G. ,
  • 67', Mills S. , De Keersmaecker B. ,
  • 68', Choudhury H. , Daka P. ,
  • 68', Ayew J. , Monga J. ,
  • 72', 0 - 2, Harris M. , De Keersmaecker B. (A),
  • 75', Peart-Harris M. , Phillips M. ,
  • 83', De Cordova-Reid B. , Thomas S. ,
  • 84', 1 - 2, Fatawu I. , Thomas L. (A),
  • 86', Phillips M. 🟨,
  • 87', Brannagan C. , Vaulks W. ,
  • 88', Harris M. , Lankshear W. ,
  • 90', Page L. , Soumare B. ,

Chances of winning


Leicester City
51.8%
Draw
27.5%
Oxford United
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.6% 24.4% 20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7% 23.5% 19.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Leicester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • Oxford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leicester City than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leicester City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • Leicester City - Oxford United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.84
    (1.7)
    3.47
    (3.88)
    4.61
    (4.71)
    4.8%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Leicester City - Oxford United?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Leicester (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Oxford (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH 0 - Oxford (2.83) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -0.75 - Leicester (2.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Oxford (4.26) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -0.5 - Oxford (1.99) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Leicester City will win (29 of 35 users predict this - 82.86%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 70.37%95.35%.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Leicester (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Oxford (votes: 9 - 64.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 14 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Leicester may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Leicester has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Leicester is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Leicester: Kristiansen V. (Knock) Ramsey A. (Injury) Souttar H. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There will not play in Oxford: Donley J. (Injury) Goodrham T. (Injury) Placheta P. (Calf Injury) Prelec N. (Groin Injury) ter Avest H. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Leicester: James J. (Injury) Skipp O. (Injury) Winks H. (Injury)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Leicester won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Leicester City - Oxford United were as follows:
    13.09.2025 Oxford United - Leicester City 2:2
    Latest results of Leicester City
    Latest results of Oxford United
    English League Championship Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry462811797:455295
    2Ipswich462315880:473384
    3Millwall4624111164:491583
    4Southampton4622141082:562680
    5Middlesbrough4622141072:472580
    6Hull4621101570:66473
    7Wrexham4619141369:65471
    8Derby462091767:59869
    9Norwich461981963:56765
    10Birmingham4617131657:56164
    11Swansea4618101857:59-264
    12Bristol City4617111859:59062
    13Sheffield Utd461862266:66060
    14Preston4615151655:62-760
    15QPR4616102061:73-1258
    16Watford4614151753:65-1257
    17Stoke4615102151:56-555
    18Portsmouth4614131949:64-1555
    19Charlton4613141944:58-1453
    20Blackburn4613132042:56-1452
    21West Brom4613141948:58-1051
    22Oxford Utd4611142145:59-1447
    23Leicester4612161858:68-1046
    24Sheffield Wed462123229:89-600

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One