Nacional vs Covilhã – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
05/03/2023 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 23
  • Referee: Bessa J. (Por)

Highlights

Chances of winning


Nacional
46.6%
Draw
27.6%
Covilhã
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.5% 25.6% 23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7% 26.7% 22.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • Covilhã has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nacional, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Covilhã than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
  • Nacional - Covilhã Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.97
    (1.86)
    3.34
    (3.67)
    3.59
    (3.92)
    8.7%
    (6.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Nacional - Covilhã?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Nacional will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Covilhã will win (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Nacional won 3.
    • Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.
    • Covilhã could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Nacional will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Last 7 head-to-head matches Nacional won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-5.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Nacional won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional - Covilhã were as follows:
    14.12.2022 Covilhã - Nacional 1:2
    11.09.2022 Covilhã - Nacional 1:2
    Latest results of Nacional
    26.02.2023 BSAD - Nacional 0:1
    19.02.2023 Nacional - Leixões 1:2
    13.02.2023 Mafra - Nacional 3:3
    09.02.2023 Casa Pia - Nacional 2:5
    04.02.2023 Nacional - Torreense 3:1
    Latest results of Covilhã
    26.02.2023 Covilhã - Farense 1:0
    18.02.2023 Penafiel - Covilhã 1:1
    11.02.2023 Covilhã - Tondela 1:0
    06.02.2023 Feirense - Covilhã 0:2
    29.01.2023 Covilhã - Porto B 1:2
    Portuguese Liga 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Maritimo23145437:162147
    2Academico Viseu23125641:251641
    3Sporting CP B23122937:221538
    4Torreense23113928:24436
    5Lusitania FC2397732:35-334
    6FC Porto B23104928:31-334
    7Leiria2288633:31232
    8Vizela2388727:26132
    9Feirense2387828:27131
    10Benfica B2379732:30230
    11Chaves2386925:21430
    12Leixoes23841126:40-1428
    13Felgueiras2377924:30-628
    14Penafiel23761020:22-227
    15Oliveirense23671026:33-725
    16Portimonense23661125:34-924
    17SC Farense23661120:30-1024
    18Pacos Ferreira2258920:32-1223

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