Penafiel vs Covilhã – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Portuguese Liga 2 Penafiel - Covilhã
Result
1:1
18/02/2023 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 21
  • Referee: Brazao M. (Por)

Highlights

Chances of winning


Penafiel
55.2%
Draw
26.6%
Covilhã
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.7% 25.1% 14.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.1% 24.1% 13.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Penafiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Penafiel's form might have worsened.
  • Covilhã has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penafiel than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Penafiel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Covilhã than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
  • Penafiel - Covilhã Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.67
    (1.49)
    3.45
    (3.6)
    5.05
    (6.38)
    8.8%
    (10.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Penafiel - Covilhã?
  • Users Predictions: Covilhã will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 9 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Penafiel won 3.
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • In this match Penafiel is a favorite.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Penafiel won 7 matches, drawn 9 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 19-16.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Penafiel won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-8.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Penafiel - Covilhã were as follows:
    27.08.2022 Covilhã - Penafiel 0:2
    Latest results of Penafiel
    13.02.2023 BSAD - Penafiel 2:2
    05.02.2023 Penafiel - Mafra 1:0
    29.01.2023 Leixões - Penafiel 2:1
    14.01.2023 Penafiel - Torreense 0:0
    Latest results of Covilhã
    11.02.2023 Covilhã - Tondela 1:0
    06.02.2023 Feirense - Covilhã 0:2
    29.01.2023 Covilhã - Porto B 1:2
    22.01.2023 Covilhã - Moreirense 0:0
    14.01.2023 Trofense - Covilhã 2:0
    Portuguese Liga 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Leixoes00000:000
    2Feirense00000:000
    3Penafiel00000:000
    4Portimonense00000:000
    5Vizela00000:000
    6Chaves00000:000
    7Oliveirense00000:000
    8Torreense00000:000
    9Maritimo00000:000
    10Pacos Ferreira00000:000
    11Leiria00000:000
    12Academico Viseu00000:000
    13Lusitania FC00000:000
    14SC Farense00000:000
    15Felgueiras00000:000
    16FC Porto B00000:000
    17Sporting CP B00000:000
    18Benfica B00000:000

          Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
          Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
          Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Liga 3