Result
1:1
27/09/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 10
- Referee: Gryckiewicz P. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 2 |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go |
 Poland | CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Ukraine | Sport 1, Sport 3 |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
 World | Sport 1 Baltic |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 1.76 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (531/598) | 83% (275/330) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 1.76 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 0.35 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (531/598) | 83% (275/330) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (20/35) | 55% (28/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (106/141) | 72% (50/69) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (5/21) | 28% (5/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 1.24 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (6/8) | 67% (8/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 29 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.35 | 1.53 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.65 | 0.53 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 61', Minchev M. ↓, Aleksic M. ↑,
- 66', Klich M. 🟨,
- 72', 0 - 1, Liseth S. ⚽,
- 77', Henriksson G. ↓, Zahiroleslam K. ↑,
- 77', Maigaard M. ↓, Kameri D. ↑,
- 80', Janza E. 🟨,
- 80', Ambros L. ↓, Goh Young-Jun ↑,
- 82', Kubicki J. 🟨,
- 88', Kmet M. ↓, Dziegielewski N. ↑,
- 89', 1 - 1, Zahiroleslam K. ⚽,
- 90+3', Hellebrand P. ↓, Pingot M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Cracovia
37.8% | Draw
29.8% | Górnik Zabrze
32.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cracovia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Górnik Zabrze has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cracovia than the current prediction. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Górnik Zabrze than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Cracovia - Górnik Zabrze Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.5 ↑
(2.42) |
3.18 ↓
(3.4) |
2.94 ↑
(2.75) |
5.5%
(7.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Cracovia - Górnik Zabrze?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Cracovia will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Górnik Zabrze will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cracovia: 40% – 93.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Cracovia (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cracovia won 4.
- Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
- Górnik Zabrze may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Cracovia: Glik K.
(Knee Injury)
Hasic A.
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Górnik Zabrze: Podolski L.
(Inactive)
Sacek M.
(Leg Injury)
- There are questionable in Cracovia: Sutalo B.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cracovia won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 37:20. (average 1.9:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cracovia won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 24:12. (average 2.2:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Cracovia won against Górnik Zabrze?
Cracovia has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Górnik Zabrze won against Cracovia?
Górnik Zabrze has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cracovia - Górnik Zabrze were as follows:
28.02.2025
Górnik Zabrze
-
Cracovia
0:1
24.08.2024
Cracovia
-
Górnik Zabrze
3:2
03.05.2024
Cracovia
-
Górnik Zabrze
5:0
06.11.2023
Górnik Zabrze
-
Cracovia
1:0
30.01.2023
Cracovia
-
Górnik Zabrze
2:0
Latest results of Cracovia
Latest results of Górnik Zabrze
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gornik Zabrze | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 18:9 | 9 | 22 |
| 2 | Jagiellonia | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 19:13 | 6 | 21 |
| 3 | Cracovia | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18:12 | 6 | 18 |
| 4 | Korona Kielce | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:10 | 5 | 18 |
| 5 | Wisla Plock | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12:7 | 5 | 18 |
| 6 | Lech Poznan | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18:16 | 2 | 18 |
| 7 | Legia | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13:9 | 4 | 15 |
| 8 | Radomiak Radom | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 20:19 | 1 | 15 |
| 9 | Rakow | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | Zaglebie | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 21:16 | 5 | 13 |
| 11 | Widzew Lodz | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 17:15 | 2 | 13 |
| 12 | Pogon Szczecin | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 13 |
| 13 | Arka Gdynia | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 7:15 | -8 | 12 |
| 14 | Motor Lublin | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 11:16 | -5 | 11 |
| 15 | Termalica B-B | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 15:21 | -6 | 9 |
| 16 | GKS Katowice | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11:22 | -11 | 8 |
| 17 | Piast Gliwice | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 7 |
| 18 | Lechia Gdansk | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 19:26 | -7 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
