Cracovia vs Górnik Zabrze – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
27/09/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ekstraklasa - Round 10
  • Referee: Gryckiewicz P. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 2
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
polandPolandCANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
ukraineUkraineSport 1, Sport 3
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz
worldWorldSport 1 Baltic

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.821.76
Ball Possession
64%36%
Total shots
1210
Shots on target
32
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
67
Passes
89% (531/598)83% (275/330)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
0.821.76
xG on target (xGOT)
1.530.35
Total shots
1210
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
64
Shots inside the Box
610
Shots outside the Box
60
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
67
Touches in opposition box
2121
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
104
Passes
89% (531/598)83% (275/330)
Long passes
57% (20/35)55% (28/51)
Passes in final third
75% (106/141)72% (50/69)
Crosses
24% (5/21)28% (5/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.791.24
Throw-ins
1718
Fouls
410
Tackles
75% (6/8)67% (8/12)
Duels won
2935
Clearances
1327
Interceptions
108
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.351.53
Goals prevented
-0.650.53

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 61', Minchev M. , Aleksic M. ,
  • 66', Klich M. 🟨,
  • 72', 0 - 1, Liseth S. ,
  • 77', Henriksson G. , Zahiroleslam K. ,
  • 77', Maigaard M. , Kameri D. ,
  • 80', Janza E. 🟨,
  • 80', Ambros L. , Goh Young-Jun ,
  • 82', Kubicki J. 🟨,
  • 88', Kmet M. , Dziegielewski N. ,
  • 89', 1 - 1, Zahiroleslam K. ,
  • 90+3', Hellebrand P. , Pingot M. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Cracovia
37.8%
Draw
29.8%
Górnik Zabrze
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.6% 27.5% 34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9% 27.3% 33.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cracovia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • Górnik Zabrze has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cracovia than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Górnik Zabrze than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • Cracovia - Górnik Zabrze Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.5
    (2.42)
    3.18
    (3.4)
    2.94
    (2.75)
    5.5%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Cracovia - Górnik Zabrze?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Cracovia will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Górnik Zabrze will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Cracovia: 40%93.4%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Cracovia (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cracovia will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Cracovia (votes: 4 - 80%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cracovia won 4.
    • Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
    • Górnik Zabrze may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Cracovia: Glik K. (Knee Injury) Hasic A. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Górnik Zabrze: Podolski L. (Inactive) Sacek M. (Leg Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cracovia: Sutalo B. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cracovia won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 37:20. (average 1.9:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cracovia won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 24:12. (average 2.2:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cracovia - Górnik Zabrze were as follows:
    28.02.2025 Górnik Zabrze - Cracovia 0:1
    24.08.2024 Cracovia - Górnik Zabrze 3:2
    03.05.2024 Cracovia - Górnik Zabrze 5:0
    06.11.2023 Górnik Zabrze - Cracovia 1:0
    30.01.2023 Cracovia - Górnik Zabrze 2:0
    Latest results of Cracovia
    19.09.2025 GKS Katowice - Cracovia 0:3
    04.09.2025 Cracovia - Polonia Bytom 0:0
    31.08.2025 Cracovia - Legia Warsaw 2:1
    24.08.2025 Piast Gliwice - Cracovia 0:0
    Latest results of Górnik Zabrze
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Jagiellonia22108439:261338
    2Zaglebie23108537:271038
    3Lech Poznan23108540:34638
    4Gornik Zabrze23104933:31234
    5Rakow23104931:29234
    6Cracovia2389629:25433
    7Wisla Plock2389624:20433
    8Pogon Szczecin23941033:35-231
    9Korona Kielce2386927:26130
    10GKS Katowice22931031:32-130
    11Motor Lublin2379732:37-530
    12Radomiak Radom2278737:34329
    13Piast Gliwice23851026:28-229
    14Lechia Gdansk2396846:45128
    15Arka Gdynia22751021:38-1726
    16Legia23510827:29-225
    17Widzew Lodz23731329:33-424
    18Termalica B-B23571127:40-1322

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1