Result
3:1
15/03/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 25
- Referee: Raczkowski P. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 6 |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go |
 Czech-republic | Strike, Strike |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Poland | CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Poland, CANAL+ Premium, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV, sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport |
 Ukraine | Sport 1 |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Tubi TV |
 World | Sport 1 Baltic |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 1.14 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (257/341) | 86% (377/436) |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 1.14 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.62 | 0.72 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (257/341) | 86% (377/436) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 31% (17/54) | 51% (19/37) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (77/114) | 74% (73/99) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 7% (1/14) | 26% (6/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.35 | 0.78 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (8/16) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.72 | 1.62 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.28 | -1.38 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 23', 1 - 0, Sadilek L. ⚽,
- 43', 2 - 0, Ambros L. ⚽, Janza E. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Ikia Dimi Y. ↓, Zmrzly O. ↑,
- 46', Lopez I. ↓, Makuch P. ↑,
- 46', Adriano ↓, Silva J. C. ↑,
- 46', Rocha L. ↓, Brunes J. ↑,
- 46', Bulat M. ↓, Struski K. ↑,
- 68', Josema ↓, Bochniewicz P. ↑,
- 72', Racovitan B. ↓, Dawidowicz P. ↑,
- 79', 2 - 1, Ameyaw M. ⚽, Struski K. (A),
- 88', 3 - 1, Sadilek L. ⚽, Khlan M. (A),
- 90', Liseth S. ↓, Sauer M. ↑,
- 90', Khlan M. ↓, Podolski L. ↑,
- 90+1', Hellebrand P. ↓, Donio B. ↑,
- 90+2', Podolski L. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Górnik Zabrze
37.3% | Draw
29.4% | Raków Częstochowa
33.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Górnik Zabrze has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)Raków Częstochowa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Górnik Zabrze than the current prediction. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raków Częstochowa than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
Górnik Zabrze - Raków Częstochowa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.5 ↓
(2.59) |
3.17 ↑
(3.11) |
2.78 ↑
(2.42) |
7.5%
(12.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Górnik Zabrze - Raków Częstochowa?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Górnik Zabrze will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Raków will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Górnik Zabrze: 11.9% – 76.9%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Górnik Zabrze (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Górnik Zabrze (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Górnik Zabrze won 3.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Górnik Zabrze may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Górnik Zabrze has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Górnik Zabrze: Lukoszek K.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Raków: Kochergin V.
(Knee Injury)
Otieno E.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There are questionable in Raków: Silva J. C.
(Injury)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Górnik Zabrze won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:16. (average 1.1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Górnik Zabrze won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:6. (average 1.4:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Górnik Zabrze won against Raków Częstochowa?
Górnik Zabrze has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Raków Częstochowa won against Górnik Zabrze?
Raków Częstochowa has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Górnik Zabrze - Raków Częstochowa were as follows:
15.09.2025
Raków Częstochowa
-
Górnik Zabrze
0:1
21.02.2025
Raków Częstochowa
-
Górnik Zabrze
1:0
18.08.2024
Górnik Zabrze
-
Raków Częstochowa
0:0
19.04.2024
Raków Częstochowa
-
Górnik Zabrze
0:1
22.10.2023
Górnik Zabrze
-
Raków Częstochowa
2:1
Latest results of Górnik Zabrze
Latest results of Raków Częstochowa
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lech Poznan | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 49:40 | 9 | 46 |
| 2 | Zaglebie | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 42:33 | 9 | 44 |
| 3 | Jagiellonia | 28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 44:35 | 9 | 43 |
| 4 | Gornik Zabrze | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 40:33 | 7 | 43 |
| 5 | Wisla Plock | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 29:26 | 3 | 42 |
| 6 | Rakow | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 37:35 | 2 | 40 |
| 7 | GKS Katowice | 28 | 12 | 4 | 12 | 39:38 | 1 | 40 |
| 8 | Motor Lublin | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 37:40 | -3 | 39 |
| 9 | Lechia Gdansk | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 55:51 | 4 | 37 |
| 10 | Korona Kielce | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 36:34 | 2 | 37 |
| 11 | Cracovia | 28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 33:33 | 0 | 37 |
| 12 | Pogon Szczecin | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 38:42 | -4 | 37 |
| 13 | Piast Gliwice | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 34:38 | -4 | 35 |
| 14 | Legia | 28 | 7 | 13 | 8 | 33:32 | 1 | 34 |
| 15 | Radomiak Radom | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 43:42 | 1 | 34 |
| 16 | Arka Gdynia | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 30:47 | -17 | 34 |
| 17 | Widzew Lodz | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 33:35 | -2 | 33 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 33:51 | -18 | 25 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
