Result
2:2
07/12/2025 at 08:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 18
- Referee: Sylwestrzak D. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Poland | CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Ukraine | Sport 1 |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.94 | 1.36 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (456/524) | 77% (256/331) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.94 | 1.36 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.79 | 1.54 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 38 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (456/524) | 77% (256/331) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 66% (29/44) | 40% (19/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 81% (171/212) | 64% (47/73) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (8/41) | 30% (3/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 0.25 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 88% (7/8) | 67% (6/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 42 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.54 | 1.79 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.46 | -0.21 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 16', Pila D. 🟨,
- 17', 0 - 1, Ishak M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 39', Rodriguez P. 🟨,
- 39', Rodriguez P. 🟨,
- 43', Palma L. ↓, Ouma T. ↑,
- 44', 1 - 1, Maigaard M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 58', Pila D. ↓, Minchev M. ↑,
- 63', Ismaheel T. ↓, Lisman K. ↑,
- 63', Ishak M. ↓, Agnero Y. ↑,
- 72', Al Ammari A. ↓, Praszelik M. ↑,
- 73', Maigaard M. 🟨,
- 76', Pereira J. ↓, Gumny R. ↑,
- 76', Bengtsson L. ↓, Gholizadeh A. ↑,
- 79', 2 - 1, Praszelik M. ⚽, Hasic A. (A),
- 81', 2 - 2, Gholizadeh A. ⚽, Gurgul M. (A),
- 84', Gurgul M. 🟨,
- 86', Ouma T. 🟨,
- 88', Sutalo B. ↓, Zahiroleslam K. ↑,
- 88', Maigaard M. ↓, Kameri D. ↑,
- 89', Hasic A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cracovia
35.2% | Draw
27.5% | Lech Poznań
37.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cracovia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cracovia's performance.Lech Poznań has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cracovia than the current prediction. (-7.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cracovia that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lech Poznań than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lech Poznań could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Cracovia - Lech Poznań Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.69 ↓
(3.19) |
3.42 ↑
(3) |
2.52 ↑
(2.12) |
6.1%
(11.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Cracovia - Lech Poznań?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Cracovia will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). Lech will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 57.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 31.2% – 83%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Lech (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cracovia won 1.
- Cracovia has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Lech is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Lech may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Cracovia: Glik K.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Lech: Hakans D.
(Ankle Injury)
Murawski R.
(Surgery)
Walemark P.
(Surgery)
- There are questionable in Cracovia: Charpentier G.
(Inactive)
Kakabadze O.
(Inactive)
Kameri D.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Lech: Douglas A.
(Inactive)
Milic A.
(Injury)
Thordarson G.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cracovia won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 20:26. (average 1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cracovia won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.1:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Cracovia won against Lech Poznań?
Cracovia has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lech Poznań won against Cracovia?
Lech Poznań has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cracovia - Lech Poznań were as follows:
18.07.2025
Lech Poznań
-
Cracovia
1:4
21.04.2025
Lech Poznań
-
Cracovia
2:1
19.10.2024
Cracovia
-
Lech Poznań
0:2
28.04.2024
Lech Poznań
-
Cracovia
0:0
28.10.2023
Cracovia
-
Lech Poznań
1:1
Latest results of Cracovia
Latest results of Lech Poznań
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lech Poznan | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 46:37 | 9 | 44 |
| 2 | Zaglebie | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 40:30 | 10 | 41 |
| 3 | Jagiellonia | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43:34 | 9 | 41 |
| 4 | Gornik Zabrze | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 36:32 | 4 | 39 |
| 5 | Wisla Plock | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 28:25 | 3 | 39 |
| 6 | Rakow | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 35:33 | 2 | 38 |
| 7 | Motor Lublin | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 35:38 | -3 | 37 |
| 8 | Korona Kielce | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 33:29 | 4 | 36 |
| 9 | Cracovia | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 31:28 | 3 | 36 |
| 10 | GKS Katowice | 26 | 11 | 3 | 12 | 35:35 | 0 | 36 |
| 11 | Piast Gliwice | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 32:33 | -1 | 35 |
| 12 | Lechia Gdansk | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 51:48 | 3 | 34 |
| 13 | Pogon Szczecin | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 36:40 | -4 | 34 |
| 14 | Radomiak Radom | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 42:40 | 2 | 33 |
| 15 | Legia | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 30:31 | -1 | 30 |
| 16 | Arka Gdynia | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 25:44 | -19 | 30 |
| 17 | Widzew Lodz | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 31:34 | -3 | 29 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 30:48 | -18 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
