Result
3:1
18/05/2025 at 08:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 33
- Referee: Sylwestrzak D. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Ukraine | Kyivstar TV |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.03 | 1.00 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (270/343) | 82% (357/435) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.03 | 1.00 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.80 | 1.11 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (270/343) | 82% (357/435) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (22/53) | 48% (21/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (75/106) | 66% (81/122) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (6/24) | 29% (4/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 0.63 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 59% (13/22) | 63% (5/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.11 | 1.80 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.11 | -1.20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 19', 1 - 0, Rozga F. ⚽,
- 21', 1 - 1, Shkurin I. ⚽,
- 34', Ziolkowski J. 🟨,
- 35', Kallman B. (Pen),
- 42', Perkovic M. 🟨,
- 45+2', Oyedele M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 55', 2 - 1, Kallman B. ⚽,
- 58', Oyedele M. ↓, Augustyniak R. ↑,
- 58', Szczepaniak M. ↓, Jedrzejczyk A. ↑,
- 65', Kallman B. 🟨,
- 69', 3 - 1, Henriksson G. ⚽,
- 70', Elitim J. ↓, Mozie P. ↑,
- 70', Vinagre R. ↓, Urbanski W. ↑,
- 70', Jedrzejczyk A. 🟨,
- 84', Kapuadi S. 🟨,
- 85', Pankov R. ↓, Olewinski O. ↑,
- 86', Rozga F. ↓, Smiglewski K. ↑,
- 89', Hasic A. ↓, Biedrzycki B. ↑,
- 90+2', Kallman B. ↓, Lachowicz O. ↑,
- 90+2', Al Ammari A. ↓, Sokolowski P. ↑,
Chances of winning
Cracovia
33.8% | Draw
26.7% | Legia Warsaw
39.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cracovia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cracovia's performance.Legia Warsaw has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Legia Warsaw might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cracovia than the current prediction. (-8.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cracovia that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (+9.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Legia Warsaw could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Cracovia - Legia Warsaw Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.77 ↓
(3.49) |
3.53 ↑
(3.48) |
2.38 ↑
(2) |
6.4%
(7.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Cracovia - Legia Warsaw?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Cracovia will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Legia will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Legia: 23.1% – 88.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cracovia will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 5).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cracovia won 2.
- Cracovia is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Legia is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Cracovia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Legia could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Cracovia: Glik K.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Legia: Kapustka B.
(Knee Injury)
Leszczynski J.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cracovia won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 19:21. (average 1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cracovia won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:5. (average 1.2:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Cracovia won against Legia Warsaw?
Cracovia has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Legia Warsaw won against Cracovia?
Legia Warsaw has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cracovia - Legia Warsaw were as follows:
23.11.2024
Legia Warsaw
-
Cracovia
3:2
20.12.2023
Cracovia
-
Legia Warsaw
2:0
17.12.2023
Legia Warsaw
-
Cracovia
2:0
12.02.2023
Legia Warsaw
-
Cracovia
2:2
Latest results of Cracovia
Latest results of Legia Warsaw
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Wisla Plock | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8:2 | 6 | 13 |
| 2 | Cracovia | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11:8 | 3 | 10 |
| 3 | Gornik Zabrze | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7:4 | 3 | 9 |
| 4 | Jagiellonia | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10:9 | 1 | 9 |
| 5 | Radomiak Radom | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 8 |
| 6 | Termalica B-B | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 8 |
| 7 | Legia | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 7 |
| 8 | Widzew Lodz | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:7 | 1 | 7 |
| 9 | Lech Poznan | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:9 | -1 | 7 |
| 10 | Pogon Szczecin | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:13 | -4 | 7 |
| 11 | Rakow | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 6 |
| 12 | Zaglebie | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9:6 | 3 | 5 |
| 13 | Korona Kielce | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 | Motor Lublin | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:7 | -2 | 5 |
| 15 | Arka Gdynia | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 5 |
| 16 | GKS Katowice | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 4 |
| 17 | Piast Gliwice | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:3 | -3 | 1 |
| 18 | Lechia Gdansk | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 11:17 | -6 | -3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
