Result
1:0
08/03/2026 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 24
- Referee: Gryckiewicz P. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go |
 Czech-republic | Strike, Strike |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Poland | CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Poland, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV, TVP Sport |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.50 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (265/360) | 81% (424/526) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.50 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.76 | 0.52 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (265/360) | 81% (424/526) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 27% (15/56) | 31% (17/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (60/101) | 70% (105/150) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (3/15) | 37% (7/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.77 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (16/24) | 59% (10/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 66 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.52 | 1.76 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.52 | 0.76 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 24', Colak A. ↓, Rajovic M. ↑,
- 31', 1 - 0, Rajovic M. ⚽,
- 40', Wojcik O. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Henriksson G. ↓, Sutalo B. ↑,
- 57', Minchev M. 🟨,
- 58', Kapustka B. ↓, Szymanski D. ↑,
- 58', Bichakhchyan V. ↓, Adamski R. ↑,
- 59', Urbanski K. ↓, Krasniqi E. ↑,
- 59', Al Ammari A. ↓, Selan B. ↑,
- 59', Minchev M. ↓, Sans P. ↑,
- 65', Klich M. 🟨,
- 73', Zahiroleslam K. ↓, Kameri D. ↑,
- 75', Augustyniak R. 🟨,
- 80', Elitim J. ↓, Jedrzejczyk A. ↑,
- 83', Traore B. ↓, Hasic A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Legia Warsaw
50.6% | Draw
27.6% | Cracovia
21.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Legia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)Cracovia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cracovia than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
Legia Warsaw - Cracovia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.86 ↓
(1.93) |
3.4 ↑
(3.16) |
4.24 ↑
(3.5) |
6.8%
(12%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Legia Warsaw - Cracovia?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Legia (1.24) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Legia Warsaw will win
(14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.23% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Legia Warsaw will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Legia (votes: 4 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Legia won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Legia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Legia is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Legia: Vinagre R.
(Injury)
Wszolek P.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Cracovia: Bogacz W.
(Inactive)
Charpentier G.
(Inactive)
Kakabadze O.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Legia won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 20:23. (average 1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Legia won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:8. (average 1.5:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Legia Warsaw won against Cracovia?
Legia Warsaw has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cracovia won against Legia Warsaw?
Cracovia has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Legia Warsaw - Cracovia were as follows:
31.08.2025
Cracovia
-
Legia Warsaw
2:1
18.05.2025
Cracovia
-
Legia Warsaw
3:1
23.11.2024
Legia Warsaw
-
Cracovia
3:2
20.12.2023
Cracovia
-
Legia Warsaw
2:0
17.12.2023
Legia Warsaw
-
Cracovia
2:0
Latest results of Legia Warsaw
Latest results of Cracovia
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lech Poznan | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 46:37 | 9 | 44 |
| 2 | Zaglebie | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 40:30 | 10 | 41 |
| 3 | Jagiellonia | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43:34 | 9 | 41 |
| 4 | Gornik Zabrze | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 36:32 | 4 | 39 |
| 5 | Wisla Plock | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 28:25 | 3 | 39 |
| 6 | Rakow | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 35:33 | 2 | 38 |
| 7 | Motor Lublin | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 35:38 | -3 | 37 |
| 8 | Korona Kielce | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 33:29 | 4 | 36 |
| 9 | Cracovia | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 31:28 | 3 | 36 |
| 10 | GKS Katowice | 26 | 11 | 3 | 12 | 35:35 | 0 | 36 |
| 11 | Piast Gliwice | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 32:33 | -1 | 35 |
| 12 | Lechia Gdansk | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 51:48 | 3 | 34 |
| 13 | Pogon Szczecin | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 36:40 | -4 | 34 |
| 14 | Radomiak Radom | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 42:40 | 2 | 33 |
| 15 | Legia | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 30:31 | -1 | 30 |
| 16 | Arka Gdynia | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 25:44 | -19 | 30 |
| 17 | Widzew Lodz | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 31:34 | -3 | 29 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 30:48 | -18 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
