Cracovia vs Legia Warsaw – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Ekstraklasa Cracovia - Legia Warsaw
Result
3:1
18/05/2025 at 08:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ekstraklasa - Round 33
  • Referee: Sylwestrzak D. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandCANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.031.00
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
1812
Shots on target
75
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
81
Passes
79% (270/343)82% (357/435)
Yellow Cards
24
Expected Goals (xG)
2.031.00
xG on target (xGOT)
1.801.11
Total shots
1812
Shots on target
75
Shots off target
72
Blocked Shots
45
Shots inside the Box
107
Shots outside the Box
85
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
81
Touches in opposition box
1927
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
168
Passes
79% (270/343)82% (357/435)
Long passes
42% (22/53)48% (21/44)
Passes in final third
71% (75/106)66% (81/122)
Crosses
25% (6/24)29% (4/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.650.63
Throw-ins
1322
Fouls
816
Tackles
59% (13/22)63% (5/8)
Duels won
5639
Clearances
2416
Interceptions
127
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
02
Goalkeeper Saves
44
xGOT faced
1.111.80
Goals prevented
0.11-1.20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 19', 1 - 0, Rozga F. ,
  • 21', 1 - 1, Shkurin I. ,
  • 34', Ziolkowski J. 🟨,
  • 35', Kallman B. (Pen),
  • 42', Perkovic M. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Oyedele M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 55', 2 - 1, Kallman B. ,
  • 58', Oyedele M. , Augustyniak R. ,
  • 58', Szczepaniak M. , Jedrzejczyk A. ,
  • 65', Kallman B. 🟨,
  • 69', 3 - 1, Henriksson G. ,
  • 70', Elitim J. , Mozie P. ,
  • 70', Vinagre R. , Urbanski W. ,
  • 70', Jedrzejczyk A. 🟨,
  • 84', Kapuadi S. 🟨,
  • 85', Pankov R. , Olewinski O. ,
  • 86', Rozga F. , Smiglewski K. ,
  • 89', Hasic A. , Biedrzycki B. ,
  • 90+2', Kallman B. , Lachowicz O. ,
  • 90+2', Al Ammari A. , Sokolowski P. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Cracovia
33.8%
Draw
26.7%
Legia Warsaw
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.7% 26.8% 46.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.4% 25.5% 48.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cracovia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cracovia's performance.
  • Legia Warsaw has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Legia Warsaw might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cracovia than the current prediction. (-8.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cracovia that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (+9.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Legia Warsaw could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Cracovia - Legia Warsaw Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.77
    (3.49)
    3.53
    (3.48)
    2.38
    (2)
    6.4%
    (7.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Cracovia - Legia Warsaw?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Cracovia will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Legia will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Legia: 23.1%88.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cracovia will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 5).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cracovia won 2.
    • Cracovia is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Legia is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Cracovia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Legia could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Cracovia: Glik K. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Legia: Kapustka B. (Knee Injury) Leszczynski J. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cracovia won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 19:21. (average 1:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cracovia won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:5. (average 1.2:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cracovia - Legia Warsaw were as follows:
    23.11.2024 Legia Warsaw - Cracovia 3:2
    20.12.2023 Cracovia - Legia Warsaw 2:0
    17.12.2023 Legia Warsaw - Cracovia 2:0
    12.02.2023 Legia Warsaw - Cracovia 2:2
    Latest results of Cracovia
    11.05.2025 GKS Katowice - Cracovia 2:1
    04.05.2025 Cracovia - Lechia Gdańsk 0:2
    26.04.2025 Motor Lublin - Cracovia 0:1
    21.04.2025 Lech Poznań - Cracovia 2:1
    Latest results of Legia Warsaw
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla Plock33006:159
    2Cracovia22006:156
    3Gornik Zabrze22003:126
    4Radomiak Radom21106:244
    5Termalica B-B21014:223
    6Legia11002:023
    7Widzew Lodz21013:303
    8Rakow21012:203
    9Pogon Szczecin21015:6-13
    10Lech Poznan21015:7-23
    11Motor Lublin21012:4-23
    12Jagiellonia21013:6-33
    13Zaglebie30213:4-12
    14GKS Katowice20112:3-11
    15Arka Gdynia20111:2-11
    16Korona Kielce30121:5-41
    17Piast Gliwice20020:3-30
    18Lechia Gdansk20024:6-2-5

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1