Crawley Town vs AFC Wimbledon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English EFL Trophy Crawley Town - AFC Wimbledon
Result
3:4
08/10/2024 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: EFL Trophy
  • Referee: Young A. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
67%33%
Goal Attempts
1921
Shots on Goal
812
Shots off Goal
67
Blocked Shots
52
Corner Kicks
72
Goalkeeper Saves
85
Fouls
811
Yellow Cards
02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 18', Ball J. 🟨,
  • 44', 0 - 1, Maycock C. , Biler H. (A),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 3)
  • 55', 0 - 2, Stevens M. , Williams M. (A),
  • 57', 0 - 3, Tilley J. , Maycock C. (A),
  • 57', Khaleel R. , Kelly J. ,
  • 58', Holohan G. , Darcy R. ,
  • 58', Sasu A. , Neufville J. ,
  • 63', Barker C. , Ibrahim B. ,
  • 67', Stevens M. 🟨,
  • 68', Showunmi T. , Swan W. ,
  • 68', Roles J. , Quitirna A. ,
  • 71', 1 - 3, Darcy R. (Pen),
  • 75', Kelly J. , Pigott J. ,
  • 75', Tilley J. , Smith A. ,
  • 80', 2 - 3, Hepburn-Murphy R. , Darcy R. (A),
  • 87', 3 - 3, Flint J. , Kelly J. (A),
  • 88', Furlong J. , Harbottle R. ,
  • 90+6', 3 - 4, Pigott J. ,

Chances of winning


Crawley Town
33.7%
Draw
27.2%
AFC Wimbledon
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.9% 26.4% 32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3% 26.6% 32.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Crawley Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Crawley Town's form might have worsened.
  • AFC Wimbledon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting AFC Wimbledon's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Crawley Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for AFC Wimbledon, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Crawley Town - AFC Wimbledon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.73
    (2.24)
    3.38
    (3.46)
    2.35
    (2.8)
    8.7%
    (9.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Crawley Town - AFC Wimbledon?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Wimbledon will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Wimbledon: 45%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Crawley won 2.
    • Crawley has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Wimbledon is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Wimbledon could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • Last 9 head-to-head matches Crawley won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 8:11 (average 0.9:1.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Crawley won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2:6 (average 0.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Crawley Town - AFC Wimbledon were as follows:
    20.02.2024 AFC Wimbledon - Crawley Town 0:1
    22.12.2023 Crawley Town - AFC Wimbledon 1:2
    18.03.2023 AFC Wimbledon - Crawley Town 0:1
    20.09.2022 AFC Wimbledon - Crawley Town 3:2
    Latest results of Crawley Town
    Latest results of AFC Wimbledon
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1CharltonLeyton Orient0 : 2
    2BurtonStevenage0 : 4
    3WycombeSwindon1 : 2
    4ExeterBirmingham1 : 2
    5ChesterfieldWigan3 : 2
    6RotherhamTranmere3 : 2
    7BlackpoolAston Villa U211 : 2
    8Stockport CountyBradford City2 : 3
    9PeterboroughNorthampton3 : 0
    10WalsallReading2 : 1
    11CheltenhamCambridge Utd2 : 1
    12ColchesterAFC Wimbledon2 : 0
    13DoncasterPort Vale0 : 1
    14WrexhamCrewe1 : 0
    15MorecambeLincoln0 : 1
    16BoltonHuddersfield3 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Leyton OrientStevenage0 : 1
    2SwindonBirmingham1 : 2
    3ChesterfieldRotherham0 : 1
    4Aston Villa U21Bradford City1 : 3
    5PeterboroughWalsall4 : 2
    6CheltenhamColchester2 : 1
    7Port ValeWrexham1 : 4
    8LincolnBolton0 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1StevenageBirmingham0 : 1
    2RotherhamBradford City0 : 1
    3PeterboroughCheltenham3 : 2
    4WrexhamBolton1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1BirminghamBradford City2 : 1
    2PeterboroughWrexham3 : 2

    Final
    1BirminghamPeterborough0 : 2