Result
1:0
21/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 39
- Referee: Woods M. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 0.78 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (221/319) | 73% (307/423) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 0.78 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 0.16 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (221/319) | 73% (307/423) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (23/71) | 33% (27/82) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (53/96) | 50% (68/137) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 53% (8/15) | 21% (6/28) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 0.71 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (9/16) | 64% (7/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 50 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.16 | 0.84 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.16 | -0.16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 13', Bajrami G. ↓, Odimayo A. ↑,
- 34', Helm M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 57', 1 - 0, Evans C. ⚽, Helm M. (A),
- 58', Lolos K. ↓, Darcy R. ↑,
- 58', Russell J. ↓, Adeyemo A. ↑,
- 69', Virtue-Thick M. ↓, Neal H. ↑,
- 73', Malone S. ↓, Richards L. ↑,
- 73', Pereira D. ↓, McKirdy H. ↑,
- 73', Powell J. ↓, Clark M. ↑,
- 79', Evans C. ↓, Norwood J. ↑,
- 79', Davies W. ↓, Osong D. E. ↑,
- 90+3', Neal H. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Fleetwood Town 51.3% | Draw 26.2% | Crawley Town 22.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fleetwood Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)Crawley Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fleetwood Town than the current prediction. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
Fleetwood Town - Crawley Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.81 ↓ (1.91) |
3.58 ↑ (3.53) |
4.16 ↑ (3.63) |
7.3% (8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Fleetwood Town - Crawley Town?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Fleetwood will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.5 - Crawley (4.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Crawley (2.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Crawley (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 21).
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Fleetwood may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Fleetwood is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Fleetwood: Hume D.
(Inactive)
McCann L.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Crawley: Anderson M.
(Injury)
Cashman D.
(Inactive)
Vassell T.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Fleetwood: Bolton J.
(Inactive)
Coughlan R.
(Inactive)
Mullarkey T.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Crawley: Loft R.
(Injury)
Richards L.
(Inactive)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Fleetwood won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Fleetwood won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Fleetwood Town won against Crawley Town?
Fleetwood Town has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Crawley Town won against Fleetwood Town?
Crawley Town has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fleetwood Town - Crawley Town were as follows:
08.11.2025
Crawley Town
-
Fleetwood Town
2:1
Latest results of Fleetwood Town
Latest results of Crawley Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 39 | 22 | 13 | 4 | 62:36 | 26 | 79 |
| 2 | MK Dons | 39 | 21 | 11 | 7 | 76:40 | 36 | 74 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 38 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 56:28 | 28 | 72 |
| 4 | Notts Co | 38 | 21 | 7 | 10 | 65:39 | 26 | 70 |
| 5 | Swindon | 39 | 21 | 6 | 12 | 63:45 | 18 | 69 |
| 6 | Salford | 39 | 21 | 4 | 14 | 54:48 | 6 | 67 |
| 7 | Grimsby | 38 | 17 | 11 | 10 | 56:40 | 16 | 62 |
| 8 | Chesterfield | 39 | 16 | 14 | 9 | 61:52 | 9 | 62 |
| 9 | Crewe | 39 | 17 | 9 | 13 | 58:47 | 11 | 60 |
| 10 | Walsall | 39 | 17 | 9 | 13 | 48:41 | 7 | 60 |
| 11 | Oldham | 37 | 15 | 13 | 9 | 44:31 | 13 | 58 |
| 12 | Barnet | 39 | 15 | 12 | 12 | 49:43 | 6 | 57 |
| 13 | Fleetwood | 39 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 48:46 | 2 | 54 |
| 14 | Colchester | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 50:41 | 9 | 53 |
| 15 | Accrington | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 38:42 | -4 | 48 |
| 16 | Gillingham | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 44:56 | -12 | 45 |
| 17 | Bristol Rovers | 39 | 13 | 4 | 22 | 40:60 | -20 | 43 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 43:65 | -22 | 42 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury | 39 | 11 | 8 | 20 | 37:63 | -26 | 41 |
| 20 | Tranmere | 39 | 9 | 9 | 21 | 48:69 | -21 | 36 |
| 21 | Crawley | 39 | 6 | 13 | 20 | 36:60 | -24 | 31 |
| 22 | Newport | 39 | 8 | 7 | 24 | 39:67 | -28 | 31 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 39 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 29:58 | -29 | 30 |
| 24 | Barrow | 38 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 36:63 | -27 | 29 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League