Result
2:1
08/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 15
- Referee: Swabey L. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.65 | 0.88 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 73% | 27% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (473/555) | 55% (110/201) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.65 | 0.88 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 0.67 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (473/555) | 55% (110/201) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (19/48) | 31% (23/74) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (137/186) | 40% (34/86) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (8/23) | 38% (5/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 0.65 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 58% (11/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 63 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 42 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.67 | 1.43 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.33 | -0.57 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 4', Medley Z. 🟨,
- 10', Medley Z. 🟨,
- 16', Malone S. ↓, Forster H. ↑,
- 35', Graydon R. 🟨,
- 38', 1 - 0, Flower L. ⚽, Flint J. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Neal H. ↓, Mullarkey T. ↑,
- 50', Flint J. 🟨,
- 59', Adeyemo A. ↓, Pereira D. ↑,
- 65', 2 - 0, Forster H. ⚽,
- 68', Graydon R. ↓, Helm M. ↑,
- 75', Radcliffe B. 🟨,
- 78', Evans C. ↓, Coughlan R. ↑,
- 78', 2 - 1, Bolton J. ⚽,
- 84', Dixon K. ↓, Williams J. ↑,
- 84', Virtue-Thick M. ↓, Norwood J. ↑,
- 90+6', Bolton J. 🟨,
- 90+6', 🟨,
- 90+7', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Crawley Town
39.3% | Draw
27% | Fleetwood Town
33.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crawley Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)Fleetwood Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fleetwood Town than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Crawley Town - Fleetwood Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.38 ↑
(2.15) |
3.49 ↓
(3.55) |
2.82 ↓
(3.03) |
6.1%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Crawley Town - Fleetwood Town?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Crawley will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Fleetwood will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Fleetwood (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Fleetwood (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Fleetwood (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 10).
- Crawley is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Fleetwood is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Recently, Fleetwood has had a series of home games.
- Crawley will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Crawley: Adeyemo A.
(Injury)
Davies H.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Fleetwood: Potter F.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Fleetwood: Davies W.
(Injury)
Johnson W.
(Inactive)
Rooney S.
(Foot Injury)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Crawley won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Crawley won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Crawley Town won against Fleetwood Town?
Crawley Town has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fleetwood Town won against Crawley Town?
Fleetwood Town has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Crawley Town - Fleetwood Town were as follows:
Latest results of Crawley Town
Latest results of Fleetwood Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 58:35 | 23 | 68 |
| 2 | Cambridge Utd | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 49:27 | 22 | 64 |
| 3 | MK Dons | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 63:34 | 29 | 62 |
| 4 | Swindon | 35 | 19 | 5 | 11 | 57:41 | 16 | 62 |
| 5 | Notts Co | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 52:33 | 19 | 61 |
| 6 | Crewe | 35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 52:41 | 11 | 56 |
| 7 | Salford | 33 | 17 | 4 | 12 | 46:43 | 3 | 55 |
| 8 | Chesterfield | 34 | 13 | 14 | 7 | 52:44 | 8 | 53 |
| 9 | Barnet | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 44:37 | 7 | 53 |
| 10 | Walsall | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 42:36 | 6 | 53 |
| 11 | Grimsby | 33 | 14 | 10 | 9 | 46:37 | 9 | 52 |
| 12 | Colchester | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 48:35 | 13 | 49 |
| 13 | Accrington | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 37:36 | 1 | 46 |
| 14 | Oldham | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 36:30 | 6 | 45 |
| 15 | Fleetwood | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 43:42 | 1 | 45 |
| 16 | Gillingham | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 41:41 | 0 | 44 |
| 17 | Shrewsbury | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 34:54 | -20 | 38 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 34:55 | -21 | 36 |
| 19 | Tranmere | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 46:59 | -13 | 35 |
| 20 | Bristol Rovers | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 33:57 | -24 | 31 |
| 21 | Crawley | 35 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 33:56 | -23 | 28 |
| 22 | Barrow | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 33:51 | -18 | 27 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 35 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 25:52 | -27 | 27 |
| 24 | Newport | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 32:60 | -28 | 25 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
