Crawley Town vs Newport County – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
09/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 2
  • Referee: Oldham J. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.991.48
Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
187
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
63
Passes
77% (318/415)67% (177/263)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
0.991.48
xG on target (xGOT)
0.992.07
Total shots
187
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
60
Blocked Shots
64
Shots inside the Box
126
Shots outside the Box
61
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
2313
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1711
Passes
77% (318/415)67% (177/263)
Long passes
36% (24/66)27% (17/64)
Passes in final third
54% (69/128)42% (35/84)
Crosses
44% (7/16)0% (0/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.560.49
Throw-ins
2426
Fouls
1118
Tackles
73% (8/11)35% (6/17)
Duels won
6056
Clearances
4040
Interceptions
68
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
15
xGOT faced
2.070.99
Goals prevented
0.07-0.01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Thomas J. , Ogunneye H. ,
  • 47', Jenkins L. 🟨,
  • 55', Garner G. , Kamwa B. ,
  • 60', Whitmore K. 🟨,
  • 62', Antwi C. , Evans C. ,
  • 68', 0 - 1, Whitmore K. , Smith M. (A),
  • 70', 0 - 2, Shephard L. , Baker M. (A),
  • 75', Brown R. , Roles J. ,
  • 77', Holohan G. , Watson L. ,
  • 79', 🟨,
  • 82', Reindorf M. , Baker-Richardson C. ,
  • 86', Adeyemo A. , Flower L. ,
  • 86', Williams J. , Anderson M. ,
  • 90+6', 1 - 2, Anderson M. , Flower L. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Crawley Town
56.8%
Draw
24.1%
Newport County
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.8% 23.5% 18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.1% 24.4% 17.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Crawley Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • Newport County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • Crawley Town - Newport County Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.65
    (1.62)
    3.88
    (3.97)
    4.87
    (5.02)
    7%
    (6.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Crawley Town - Newport County?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1 - Newport (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Newport (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crawley won 4.
    • Crawley has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Newport is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Newport may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Newport has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Crawley is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Newport: Brennan C. (Inactive) Spellman M. (Inactive) Warner J. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Crawley: Forster H. (Injury)
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Crawley won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 33:20. (average 1.8:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Crawley won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:11. (average 2.2:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Crawley Town - Newport County were as follows:
    01.04.2024 Newport County - Crawley Town 0:4
    09.09.2023 Crawley Town - Newport County 4:1
    02.01.2023 Newport County - Crawley Town 2:2
    15.10.2022 Crawley Town - Newport County 2:1
    Latest results of Crawley Town
    Latest results of Newport County
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley351912458:352369
    2Cambridge Utd341810649:272264
    3MK Dons341711663:342962
    4Swindon351951157:411662
    5Notts Co34187952:331961
    6Chesterfield351414755:441156
    7Crewe351681152:411156
    8Grimsby341510949:381155
    9Salford341741347:46155
    10Barnet3514111044:37753
    11Walsall341581142:37553
    12Colchester3413101148:381049
    13Fleetwood341391244:42248
    14Oldham331113936:30646
    15Accrington341371437:36146
    16Gillingham3311111141:41044
    17Shrewsbury351081734:54-2038
    18Cheltenham331061734:55-2136
    19Tranmere35981847:62-1535
    20Bristol Rovers34942133:57-2431
    21Crawley356101933:56-2328
    22Newport35772135:61-2628
    23Barrow33762033:51-1827
    24Harrogate35692025:52-2727

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League