Result
0:2
06/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 42
- Referee: Madley R. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 1.77 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (189/291) | 73% (237/326) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 1.77 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.07 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 30 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (189/291) | 73% (237/326) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 29% (24/83) | 38% (24/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 48% (48/101) | 67% (95/142) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (6/20) | 27% (6/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 1.49 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 27 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 76% (13/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 64 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.07 | 0.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.93 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 23', 0 - 1, Kabia J. ⚽, Cook A. (A),
- 36', 0 - 2, Rodgers H. ⚽,
- 41', Richards T. ↓, Watson L. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 47', Williams J. 🟥,
- 60', Adeyemo A. ↓, Copley L. ↑,
- 66', Kabia J. 🟨,
- 67', Oduor C. ↓, Sweeney J. ↑,
- 68', Green K. ↓, Walker J. ↑,
- 71', McKirdy H. ↓, Pereira D. ↑,
- 71', Richards L. ↓, Russell J. ↑,
- 81', Cook A. ↓, Amaluzor J. ↑,
- 82', Staunton R. 🟨,
- 88', Kabia J. ↓, Svanthorsson J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Crawley Town
28.3% | Draw
27.3% | Grimsby Town
44.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crawley Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)Grimsby Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Crawley Town - Grimsby Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.26 ↑
(2.89) |
3.43 ↓
(3.55) |
2.11 ↓
(2.15) |
7.2%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Crawley Town - Grimsby Town?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Crawley (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Crawley Town will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crawley won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Crawley may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Grimsby has had a series of home games.
- Grimsby will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Crawley: Vassell T.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Grimsby: Khouri E.
(Inactive)
Sellars-Fleming T.
(Injury)
Tharme D.
(Injury)
Vernam C.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Crawley: Bajrami G.
(Inactive)
Loft R.
(Injury)
Orsi-Dadomo D.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Grimsby: Gardner C.
(Hamstring Injury)
McEachran G.
(Inactive)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Crawley won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:21. (average 1.4:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Crawley won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 15:8. (average 2.1:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Crawley Town won against Grimsby Town?
Crawley Town has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Grimsby Town won against Crawley Town?
Grimsby Town has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Crawley Town - Grimsby Town were as follows:
02.08.2025
Grimsby Town
-
Crawley Town
3:0
27.04.2024
Crawley Town
-
Grimsby Town
2:0
23.09.2023
Grimsby Town
-
Crawley Town
2:3
28.03.2023
Crawley Town
-
Grimsby Town
1:1
08.10.2022
Grimsby Town
-
Crawley Town
3:0
Latest results of Crawley Town
Latest results of Grimsby Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 43 | 23 | 14 | 6 | 68:43 | 25 | 83 |
| 2 | MK Dons | 43 | 22 | 13 | 8 | 79:43 | 36 | 79 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 42 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 62:31 | 31 | 77 |
| 4 | Notts Co | 43 | 23 | 7 | 13 | 71:49 | 22 | 76 |
| 5 | Swindon | 43 | 22 | 8 | 13 | 67:51 | 16 | 74 |
| 6 | Salford | 43 | 23 | 5 | 15 | 57:50 | 7 | 74 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 42 | 18 | 15 | 9 | 64:53 | 11 | 69 |
| 8 | Grimsby | 41 | 19 | 11 | 11 | 62:45 | 17 | 68 |
| 9 | Barnet | 43 | 18 | 13 | 12 | 60:49 | 11 | 67 |
| 10 | Crewe | 43 | 19 | 9 | 15 | 63:53 | 10 | 66 |
| 11 | Oldham | 42 | 17 | 14 | 11 | 52:36 | 16 | 65 |
| 12 | Walsall | 43 | 17 | 11 | 15 | 52:50 | 2 | 62 |
| 13 | Colchester | 42 | 16 | 12 | 14 | 56:45 | 11 | 60 |
| 14 | Fleetwood | 43 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 53:54 | -1 | 58 |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 43 | 17 | 4 | 22 | 49:63 | -14 | 55 |
| 16 | Accrington | 42 | 14 | 9 | 19 | 41:48 | -7 | 51 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 42 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 48:60 | -12 | 50 |
| 18 | Shrewsbury | 43 | 13 | 8 | 22 | 40:66 | -26 | 47 |
| 19 | Cheltenham | 41 | 12 | 10 | 19 | 48:67 | -19 | 46 |
| 20 | Tranmere | 42 | 9 | 10 | 23 | 49:72 | -23 | 37 |
| 21 | Crawley | 43 | 8 | 13 | 22 | 41:65 | -24 | 37 |
| 22 | Newport | 43 | 10 | 7 | 26 | 43:73 | -30 | 37 |
| 23 | Barrow | 42 | 8 | 9 | 25 | 40:68 | -28 | 33 |
| 24 | Harrogate | 43 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 35:66 | -31 | 33 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
