Result
0:2
03/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 41
- Referee: Busby J. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 0.80 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (280/389) | 69% (193/281) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 0.80 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 0.54 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (280/389) | 69% (193/281) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (23/69) | 30% (24/81) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (85/139) | 48% (50/104) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 16% (4/25) | 31% (4/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 0.77 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 32 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 81% (17/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 65 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 45 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.54 | 0.51 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.46 | 0.51 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 12', Lloyd B. 🟨,
- 28', Richards L. 🟨,
- 37', Evans C. 🟨,
- 39', McKirdy H. 🟨,
- 40', Adeyemo T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 54', Copley L. ↓, Anderson M. ↑,
- 54', Richards T. ↓, Pereira D. ↑,
- 57', 0 - 1, McKirdy H. ⚽, Adeyemo A. (A),
- 59', 0 - 2, McKirdy H. ⚽, Forster H. (A),
- 66', Davies T. ↓, Brennan C. ↑,
- 66', Crole J. ↓, Baker-Richardson C. ↑,
- 66', Evans C. ↓, Opoku N. ↑,
- 72', Adeyemo A. ↓, Odimayo A. ↑,
- 74', Baker-Richardson C. 🟨,
- 79', Richards L. ↓, Russell J. ↑,
- 79', McKirdy H. ↓, Watson L. ↑,
- 82', Lloyd B. ↓, Garner G. ↑,
Chances of winning
Newport County
37.9% | Draw
28.8% | Crawley Town
33.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Newport County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)Crawley Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Crawley Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Crawley Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Newport County - Crawley Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.49 ↓
(2.7) |
3.25 ↓
(3.52) |
2.82 ↑
(2.37) |
6.4%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Newport County - Crawley Town?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Newport will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Crawley will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Newport: 11.9% – 76.9%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Newport (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 22 and 21).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newport won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Crawley: Vassell T.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Newport: Jenkins L.
(Injury)
Spellman M.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Crawley: Bajrami G.
(Inactive)
Loft R.
(Injury)
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Newport won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 22:34. (average 1.2:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Newport won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 1:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Newport County won against Crawley Town?
Newport County has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Crawley Town won against Newport County?
Crawley Town has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Newport County - Crawley Town were as follows:
09.08.2025
Crawley Town
-
Newport County
1:2
01.04.2024
Newport County
-
Crawley Town
0:4
09.09.2023
Crawley Town
-
Newport County
4:1
02.01.2023
Newport County
-
Crawley Town
2:2
15.10.2022
Crawley Town
-
Newport County
2:1
Latest results of Newport County
Latest results of Crawley Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 43 | 23 | 14 | 6 | 68:43 | 25 | 83 |
| 2 | MK Dons | 43 | 22 | 13 | 8 | 79:43 | 36 | 79 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 42 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 62:31 | 31 | 77 |
| 4 | Notts Co | 43 | 23 | 7 | 13 | 71:49 | 22 | 76 |
| 5 | Swindon | 43 | 22 | 8 | 13 | 67:51 | 16 | 74 |
| 6 | Salford | 43 | 23 | 5 | 15 | 57:50 | 7 | 74 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 42 | 18 | 15 | 9 | 64:53 | 11 | 69 |
| 8 | Grimsby | 41 | 19 | 11 | 11 | 62:45 | 17 | 68 |
| 9 | Barnet | 43 | 18 | 13 | 12 | 60:49 | 11 | 67 |
| 10 | Crewe | 43 | 19 | 9 | 15 | 63:53 | 10 | 66 |
| 11 | Oldham | 42 | 17 | 14 | 11 | 52:36 | 16 | 65 |
| 12 | Walsall | 43 | 17 | 11 | 15 | 52:50 | 2 | 62 |
| 13 | Colchester | 42 | 16 | 12 | 14 | 56:45 | 11 | 60 |
| 14 | Fleetwood | 43 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 53:54 | -1 | 58 |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 43 | 17 | 4 | 22 | 49:63 | -14 | 55 |
| 16 | Accrington | 42 | 14 | 9 | 19 | 41:48 | -7 | 51 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 42 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 48:60 | -12 | 50 |
| 18 | Shrewsbury | 43 | 13 | 8 | 22 | 40:66 | -26 | 47 |
| 19 | Cheltenham | 41 | 12 | 10 | 19 | 48:67 | -19 | 46 |
| 20 | Tranmere | 42 | 9 | 10 | 23 | 49:72 | -23 | 37 |
| 21 | Crawley | 43 | 8 | 13 | 22 | 41:65 | -24 | 37 |
| 22 | Newport | 43 | 10 | 7 | 26 | 43:73 | -30 | 37 |
| 23 | Barrow | 42 | 8 | 9 | 25 | 40:68 | -28 | 33 |
| 24 | Harrogate | 43 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 35:66 | -31 | 33 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
