Result
3:0
26/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 45
- Referee: Miles J. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.57 | 0.27 |
Ball Possession |
---|
64% | 36% |
Total shots |
---|
16 | 7 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 5 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
80% (366/455) | 65% (168/259) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.57 | 0.27 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.92 | 0.80 |
Total shots |
---|
16 | 7 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 5 |
Shots off target |
---|
8 | 1 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
10 | 3 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
6 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
19 | 10 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 4 |
Free Kicks |
---|
17 | 9 |
Passes |
---|
80% (366/455) | 65% (168/259) |
Long passes |
---|
42% (25/60) | 32% (26/81) |
Passes in final third |
---|
61% (66/109) | 44% (37/85) |
Crosses |
---|
20% (3/15) | 0% (0/10) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.74 | 0.17 |
Throw-ins |
---|
19 | 26 |
Fouls |
---|
9 | 17 |
Tackles |
---|
93% (13/14) | 88% (7/8) |
Duels won |
---|
54 | 25 |
Clearances |
---|
25 | 24 |
Interceptions |
---|
5 | 7 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
5 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.80 | 1.92 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.80 | -1.08 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 39', 1 - 0, Hepburn-Murphy R. ⚽, Camara P. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Odimayo A. ↓, Mbete L. ↑,
- 66', 2 - 0, Kelly J. ⚽, Holohan G. (A),
- 67', Roberts T. ↓, Fosu T. ↑,
- 68', Taylor T. ↓, Wilson J. ↑,
- 74', Roles J. ↓, Quitirna A. ↑,
- 75', Camara P. ↓, Doyle K. ↑,
- 76', Guinness-Walker N. ↓, Hondermarck W. ↑,
- 83', Holohan G. ↓, Papadopoulos A. ↑,
- 83', Pinnock M. ↓, Brough P. ↑,
- 88', 3 - 0, Doyle K. ⚽, Fraser L. (A),
- 90+1', Fraser L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Crawley Town 45.4% | Draw 27.3% | Northampton Town 27.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crawley Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)Northampton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Crawley Town - Northampton Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.07 ↑ (1.95) |
3.46 ↓ (3.68) |
3.46 ↓ (3.59) |
6.1% (6.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Crawley Town - Northampton Town?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Crawley will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Northampton will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Crawley: 39.2% – 89.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Crawley (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 18).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Crawley won 1.
- Crawley is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Northampton is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Crawley will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Crawley: Cox M.
(Injury)
Flint J.
(Inactive)
Ibrahim B.
(Yellow Cards)
Mukena J.
(Inactive)
Sandford R.
(Inactive)
Watson L.
(Injury)
Wollacott J.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Northampton: Eaves T.
(Injury)
Guthrie J.
(Knee Injury)
Morton C.
(Knee Injury)
Sowerby J.
(Knee Injury)
Willis J.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Crawley: Adeyemo A.
(Inactive)
Forster H.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Northampton: Hoskins S.
(Injury)
Shaw L.
(Knee Injury)
- Last 12 head-to-head matches Crawley won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 11:14 (average 0.9:1.2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Crawley won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7:6 (average 1.2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Crawley Town won against Northampton Town?
Crawley Town has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Northampton Town won against Crawley Town?
Northampton Town has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Crawley Town - Northampton Town were as follows:
26.10.2024
Northampton Town
-
Crawley Town
3:0
04.03.2023
Northampton Town
-
Crawley Town
1:0
Latest results of Crawley Town
Latest results of Northampton Town
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Luton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
2 | Stockport County | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Bolton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Reading | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Wigan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Barnsley | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Blackpool | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Cardiff | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Plymouth | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Doncaster | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Huddersfield | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Leyton Orient | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Northampton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Port Vale | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Wycombe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Bradford City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Lincoln | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Mansfield | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
19 | Peterborough | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
20 | Rotherham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
21 | Burton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
22 | Exeter | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
23 | Stevenage | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
24 | AFC Wimbledon | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two