Crawley Town vs Northampton Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

26/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

The Broadfield Stadium (Crawley).

League One - Round 45
Referee: Miles J. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.57	0.27
Ball Possession
64%	36%
Total shots
16	7
Shots on target
4	5
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
3	3
Passes
80% (366/455)	65% (168/259)
Yellow Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
2.57	0.27
xG on target (xGOT)
1.92	0.80
Total shots
16	7
Shots on target
4	5
Shots off target
8	1
Blocked Shots
4	1
Shots inside the Box
10	3
Shots outside the Box
6	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
3	3
Touches in opposition box
19	10
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
2	4
Free Kicks
17	9
Passes
80% (366/455)	65% (168/259)
Long passes
42% (25/60)	32% (26/81)
Passes in final third
61% (66/109)	44% (37/85)
Crosses
20% (3/15)	0% (0/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.74	0.17
Throw-ins
19	26
Fouls
9	17
Tackles
93% (13/14)	88% (7/8)
Duels won
54	25
Clearances
25	24
Interceptions
5	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
5	1
xGOT faced
0.80	1.92
Goals prevented
0.80	-1.08

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
39', 1 - 0, Hepburn-Murphy R. ⚽, Camara P. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Odimayo A. ↓, Mbete L. ↑,
66', 2 - 0, Kelly J. ⚽, Holohan G. (A),
67', Roberts T. ↓, Fosu T. ↑,
68', Taylor T. ↓, Wilson J. ↑,
74', Roles J. ↓, Quitirna A. ↑,
75', Camara P. ↓, Doyle K. ↑,
76', Guinness-Walker N. ↓, Hondermarck W. ↑,
83', Holohan G. ↓, Papadopoulos A. ↑,
83', Pinnock M. ↓, Brough P. ↑,
88', 3 - 0, Doyle K. ⚽, Fraser L. (A),
90+1', Fraser L. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Crawley Town
45.4%

Draw
27.3%

Northampton Town
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.2%

25.6%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

26%

25.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crawley Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Northampton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Crawley Town - Northampton Town Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (1.95)	3.46 ↓ (3.68)	3.46 ↓ (3.59)	6.1% (6.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Crawley Town - Northampton Town?

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Crawley will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Northampton will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Crawley: 39.2% – 89.4%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Crawley Town will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 18).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Crawley won 1.
Crawley is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Northampton is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Crawley will have a small advantage in this match.
There will not play in Crawley: Cox M. (Injury) Flint J. (Inactive) Ibrahim B. (Yellow Cards) Mukena J. (Inactive) Sandford R. (Inactive) Watson L. (Injury) Wollacott J. (Injury)
There will not play in Northampton: Eaves T. (Injury) Guthrie J. (Knee Injury) Morton C. (Knee Injury) Sowerby J. (Knee Injury) Willis J. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Crawley: Adeyemo A. (Inactive) Forster H. (Injury)
There are questionable in Northampton: Hoskins S. (Injury) Shaw L. (Knee Injury)
Last 12 head-to-head matches Crawley won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 11:14 (average 0.9:1.2).
Including matches at home between the teams Crawley won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7:6 (average 1.2:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Crawley Town won against Northampton Town?

Crawley Town has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Northampton Town won against Crawley Town?

Northampton Town has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Crawley Town - Northampton Town were as follows:

26.10.2024 Northampton Town - Crawley Town 3:0

04.03.2023 Northampton Town - Crawley Town 1:0

Latest results of Crawley Town

21.04.2025 Crawley Town - Exeter City 3:1 ✺

18.04.2025 Birmingham City - Crawley Town 0:0 ✺

12.04.2025 Crawley Town - Leyton Orient 1:3 ✺

05.04.2025 Stevenage Borough - Crawley Town 3:1 ✺

01.04.2025 Crawley Town - Peterborough United 3:4 ✺

Latest results of Northampton Town

21.04.2025 Northampton Town - Shrewsbury Town 4:1 ✺

18.04.2025 Charlton Athletic - Northampton Town 2:1 ✺

12.04.2025 Northampton Town - Reading 0:0 ✺

05.04.2025 Peterborough United - Northampton Town 0:4 ✺

01.04.2025 Northampton Town - Rotherham United 0:2 ✺

English League One Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lincoln	39	25	9	5	74:34	40	84
2	Cardiff	39	23	8	8	73:41	32	77
3	Bolton	39	17	15	7	55:39	16	66
4	Bradford City	39	19	8	12	49:44	5	65
5	Stockport County	37	17	9	11	51:48	3	60
6	Stevenage	38	17	9	12	41:38	3	60
7	Plymouth	39	18	5	16	60:54	6	59
8	Reading	39	15	13	11	57:51	6	58
9	Huddersfield	39	16	9	14	59:51	8	57
10	Wycombe	39	15	11	13	55:43	12	56
11	Luton	39	15	10	14	52:49	3	55
12	Peterborough	38	15	5	18	57:52	5	50
13	Barnsley	37	13	11	13	59:60	-1	50
14	AFC Wimbledon	38	14	8	16	49:55	-6	50
15	Mansfield	37	12	13	12	47:41	6	49
16	Leyton Orient	38	14	6	18	55:62	-7	48
17	Doncaster	38	13	8	17	41:59	-18	47
18	Burton	39	12	10	17	44:54	-10	46
19	Wigan	38	11	12	15	41:51	-10	45
20	Exeter	39	11	9	19	42:52	-10	42
21	Blackpool	39	11	9	19	46:63	-17	42
22	Rotherham	38	9	9	20	35:58	-23	36
23	Northampton	39	9	8	22	33:56	-23	35
24	Port Vale	36	7	10	19	29:49	-20	31

      Promotion ~ Championship
      Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
      Relegation ~ League Two