Result
1:1
28/02/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 35
- Referee: Rock D. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 0.64 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (192/290) | 79% (327/416) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 0.64 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.99 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (192/290) | 79% (327/416) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 29% (21/73) | 39% (22/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (72/134) | 53% (49/93) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (6/22) | 25% (3/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 0.91 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 41% (7/17) | 53% (8/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 46 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.99 | 0.59 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.01 | -0.41 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 41', Evans J. 🟨,
- 44', 1 - 0, Eaves T. ⚽, Fornah T. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 52', 1 - 1, Morgan J. ⚽, Lisbie K. (A),
- 60', Frith D. 🟨,
- 64', Morgan J. 🟨,
- 69', Frith D. ↓, Hayes C. ↑,
- 71', Eaves T. ↓, List E. ↑,
- 84', Hoskins S. ↓, Swyer K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Northampton Town
36.2% | Draw
25.5% | Peterborough United
38.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Northampton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)Peterborough United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (-4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peterborough United than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
Northampton Town - Peterborough United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.58 ↓
(2.88) |
3.66 ↑
(3.41) |
2.45 ↑
(2.32) |
6.9%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Northampton Town - Peterborough United?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Northampton will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Peterborough will win (votes: 6 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Peterborough: 21.7% – 78.3%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Peterborough United will win (2 of 3 users predict this - 66.67%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Northampton won 2.
- Northampton is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Peterborough has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Peterborough may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Northampton: Edwards K.
(Injury)
Guthrie J.
(Inactive)
Shaw L.
(Knee Injury)
Wormleighton J.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Peterborough: Adebisi R.
(Knee Injury)
Garbett M.
(Inactive)
Lees T.
(Inactive)
Mendy J.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Peterborough: Hughes S.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Mills H.
(Inactive)
Woods B.
(Inactive)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Northampton won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 13:30. (average 0.9:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Northampton won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:11. (average 0.6:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Northampton Town won against Peterborough United?
Northampton Town has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Peterborough United won against Northampton Town?
Peterborough United has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Northampton Town - Peterborough United were as follows:
13.12.2025
Peterborough United
-
Northampton Town
2:1
05.04.2025
Peterborough United
-
Northampton Town
0:4
17.12.2024
Peterborough United
-
Northampton Town
3:0
09.12.2024
Northampton Town
-
Peterborough United
2:1
05.03.2024
Peterborough United
-
Northampton Town
5:1
Latest results of Northampton Town
Latest results of Peterborough United
English League One Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln ✔ | 46 | 31 | 10 | 5 | 89:41 | 48 | 103 |
| 2 | Cardiff ✔ | 46 | 27 | 10 | 9 | 90:50 | 40 | 91 |
| 3 | Stockport County | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 71:58 | 13 | 77 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 58:51 | 7 | 77 |
| 5 | Bolton ✔ | 46 | 19 | 18 | 9 | 70:52 | 18 | 75 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 49:46 | 3 | 75 |
| 7 | Luton | 46 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 68:56 | 12 | 74 |
| 8 | Plymouth | 46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 75:63 | 12 | 73 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 46 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 74:64 | 10 | 67 |
| 10 | Mansfield | 46 | 16 | 17 | 13 | 62:50 | 12 | 65 |
| 11 | Wycombe | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 69:58 | 11 | 63 |
| 12 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 64:60 | 4 | 63 |
| 13 | Blackpool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 54:65 | -11 | 60 |
| 14 | Doncaster | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 50:69 | -19 | 60 |
| 15 | Barnsley | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 68:73 | -5 | 59 |
| 16 | Wigan | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 49:58 | -9 | 56 |
| 17 | Burton | 46 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 50:60 | -10 | 54 |
| 18 | Peterborough | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 64:68 | -4 | 53 |
| 19 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 51:72 | -21 | 53 |
| 20 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 59:71 | -12 | 52 |
| 21 | Exeter | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 52:61 | -9 | 49 |
| 22 | Port Vale ✔ | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 36:61 | -25 | 42 |
| 23 | Rotherham ✔ | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41:71 | -30 | 41 |
| 24 | Northampton ✔ | 46 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 39:74 | -35 | 35 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
Clinched Spots for Teams
Lincoln is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Championship
Cardiff is Qualified for Championship
Bolton is Qualified for League One (Play Offs )
Port Vale is Relegated to League Two
Rotherham is Relegated to League Two
Northampton is Relegated to League Two
