Result
3:1
05/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 41
- Referee: Oldham S. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 0.65 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 31% | 69% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 57% (129/225) | 84% (436/519) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 0.65 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 0.93 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 57% (129/225) | 84% (436/519) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 26% (14/53) | 39% (22/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (49/89) | 70% (81/115) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (2/10) | 17% (2/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 0.62 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (12/19) | 86% (6/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 43 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 25 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.84 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.07 | -2.16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 20', 1 - 0, White H. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 50', Goode C. 🟨,
- 63', Camara P. ↓, Roles J. ↑,
- 63', List E. ↓, Roberts J. ↑,
- 64', Appere L. ↓, Hanlan B. ↑,
- 70', 1 - 1, Ibrahim B. ⚽, Roles J. (A),
- 76', White H. ↓, Reid J. ↑,
- 76', Phillips D. ↓, King E. ↑,
- 77', Fraser L. ↓, John-Jules T. ↑,
- 85', Ibrahim B. 🟨,
- 88', Mullarkey T. ↓, Radcliffe B. ↑,
- 88', Doyle K. ↓, Holohan G. ↑,
- 89', 2 - 1, Reid J. ⚽,
- 90+2', 3 - 1, Kemp D. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Stevenage Borough
47.6% | Draw
27.6% | Crawley Town
24.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stevenage Borough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stevenage Borough's form might have worsened.Crawley Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Crawley Town's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stevenage Borough, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (-6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Crawley Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Stevenage Borough - Crawley Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.97 ↑
(1.6) |
3.44 ↓
(3.6) |
3.81 ↓
(5.25) |
6.1%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Stevenage Borough - Crawley Town?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Stevenage will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Crawley will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Crawley (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.5 - Crawley (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Crawley (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 13 and 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Stevenage won 3.
- Stevenage is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Crawley is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Crawley could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Recently Stevenage have a series of guest games.
- In this match Stevenage is a favorite.
- There will not play in Stevenage: Forster-Caskey J.
(Knee Injury)
Smith K.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Crawley: Mukena J.
(Inactive)
Sandford R.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Stevenage: Freeman N.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Crawley: Forster H.
(Injury)
Showunmi T.
(Inactive)
Watson L.
(Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Stevenage won 9 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 29:24 (average 1.5:1.2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Stevenage won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15:9 (average 1.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Stevenage Borough won against Crawley Town?
Stevenage Borough has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Crawley Town won against Stevenage Borough?
Crawley Town has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Stevenage Borough - Crawley Town were as follows:
11.02.2025
Crawley Town
-
Stevenage Borough
3:1
30.12.2022
Stevenage Borough
-
Crawley Town
3:1
01.10.2022
Crawley Town
-
Stevenage Borough
1:2
Latest results of Stevenage Borough
Latest results of Crawley Town
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln | 39 | 25 | 9 | 5 | 74:34 | 40 | 84 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 39 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 73:41 | 32 | 77 |
| 3 | Bolton | 39 | 17 | 15 | 7 | 55:39 | 16 | 66 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 39 | 19 | 8 | 12 | 49:44 | 5 | 65 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 51:48 | 3 | 60 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 41:38 | 3 | 60 |
| 7 | Plymouth | 39 | 18 | 5 | 16 | 60:54 | 6 | 59 |
| 8 | Reading | 39 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 57:51 | 6 | 58 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 39 | 16 | 9 | 14 | 59:51 | 8 | 57 |
| 10 | Wycombe | 39 | 15 | 11 | 13 | 55:43 | 12 | 56 |
| 11 | Luton | 39 | 15 | 10 | 14 | 52:49 | 3 | 55 |
| 12 | Peterborough | 38 | 15 | 5 | 18 | 57:52 | 5 | 50 |
| 13 | Barnsley | 37 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 59:60 | -1 | 50 |
| 14 | AFC Wimbledon | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 49:55 | -6 | 50 |
| 15 | Mansfield | 37 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 47:41 | 6 | 49 |
| 16 | Leyton Orient | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 55:62 | -7 | 48 |
| 17 | Doncaster | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 41:59 | -18 | 47 |
| 18 | Burton | 39 | 12 | 10 | 17 | 44:54 | -10 | 46 |
| 19 | Wigan | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | -10 | 45 |
| 20 | Exeter | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 42:52 | -10 | 42 |
| 21 | Blackpool | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 46:63 | -17 | 42 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 35:58 | -23 | 36 |
| 23 | Northampton | 39 | 9 | 8 | 22 | 33:56 | -23 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 29:49 | -20 | 31 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
