Result
1:0
21/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 39
- Referee: Oldham S. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 0.19 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 60% (212/355) | 56% (154/277) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 0.19 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 60% (212/355) | 56% (154/277) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 28% (28/101) | 27% (29/106) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 44% (71/161) | 34% (27/79) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (6/22) | 11% (1/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 0.10 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 30 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (10/16) | 50% (8/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 76 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 35 | 49 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 17 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.98 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | -0.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 15', Reid J. 🟨,
- 35', Williams R. ↓, Lane P. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 55', Dorsett A. J. R. 🟨,
- 68', Keane W. ↓, Young K. ↑,
- 68', Doyle K. ↓, Ritchie M. ↑,
- 68', Dorsett A. J. R. ↓, Burns F. ↑,
- 69', Thompson L. ↓, Kemp D. ↑,
- 70', O'Connor P. 🟨,
- 85', 1 - 0, Kemp D. ⚽,
- 89', Nyambe R. ↓, Yiadom A. ↑,
- 90+4', Phillips D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Stevenage Borough
47.9% | Draw
30% | Reading
22.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stevenage Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)Reading has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reading than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
Stevenage Borough - Reading Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.97 ↓
(2.06) |
3.12 ↓
(3.24) |
4.2 ↑
(3.62) |
6.7%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Stevenage Borough - Reading?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Stevenage will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Reading will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29% – 96%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 8 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stevenage won 0.
- Stevenage has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Reading is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Stevenage is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Stevenage: Simpson T.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Reading: Elliott B.
(Inactive)
Kyerewaa D.
(Inactive)
O'Mahony M.
(Inactive)
Roberts H.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Stevenage: Cornick H.
(Injury)
Earley S.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Reading: Nyambe R.
(Inactive)
Rinomhota A.
(Inactive)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Stevenage won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 0.4:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Stevenage won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Stevenage Borough won against Reading?
Stevenage Borough has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Reading won against Stevenage Borough?
Reading has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Stevenage Borough - Reading were as follows:
06.11.2025
Reading
-
Stevenage Borough
1:0
15.03.2025
Reading
-
Stevenage Borough
1:1
09.11.2024
Stevenage Borough
-
Reading
1:1
06.02.2024
Stevenage Borough
-
Reading
0:1
19.08.2023
Reading
-
Stevenage Borough
2:0
Latest results of Stevenage Borough
Latest results of Reading
English League One Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln ✔ | 46 | 31 | 10 | 5 | 89:41 | 48 | 103 |
| 2 | Cardiff ✔ | 46 | 27 | 10 | 9 | 90:50 | 40 | 91 |
| 3 | Stockport County | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 71:58 | 13 | 77 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 58:51 | 7 | 77 |
| 5 | Bolton ✔ | 46 | 19 | 18 | 9 | 70:52 | 18 | 75 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 49:46 | 3 | 75 |
| 7 | Luton | 46 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 68:56 | 12 | 74 |
| 8 | Plymouth | 46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 75:63 | 12 | 73 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 46 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 74:64 | 10 | 67 |
| 10 | Mansfield | 46 | 16 | 17 | 13 | 62:50 | 12 | 65 |
| 11 | Wycombe | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 69:58 | 11 | 63 |
| 12 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 64:60 | 4 | 63 |
| 13 | Blackpool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 54:65 | -11 | 60 |
| 14 | Doncaster | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 50:69 | -19 | 60 |
| 15 | Barnsley | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 68:73 | -5 | 59 |
| 16 | Wigan | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 49:58 | -9 | 56 |
| 17 | Burton | 46 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 50:60 | -10 | 54 |
| 18 | Peterborough | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 64:68 | -4 | 53 |
| 19 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 51:72 | -21 | 53 |
| 20 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 59:71 | -12 | 52 |
| 21 | Exeter | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 52:61 | -9 | 49 |
| 22 | Port Vale ✔ | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 36:61 | -25 | 42 |
| 23 | Rotherham ✔ | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41:71 | -30 | 41 |
| 24 | Northampton ✔ | 46 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 39:74 | -35 | 35 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
Clinched Spots for Teams
Lincoln is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Championship
Cardiff is Qualified for Championship
Bolton is Qualified for League One (Play Offs )
Port Vale is Relegated to League Two
Rotherham is Relegated to League Two
Northampton is Relegated to League Two
