Athletico Paranaense vs CRB Maceio – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie B Athletico Paranaense - CRB Maceio
Result
2:0
20/04/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B - Round 4
  • Referee: Arleu B. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+, ESPN 4
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.080.36
Ball Possession
39%61%
Total shots
109
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
44
Passes
81% (230/283)83% (363/437)
Yellow Cards
14
Expected Goals (xG)
1.080.36
xG on target (xGOT)
1.610.08
Total shots
109
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
33
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
53
Shots outside the Box
56
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
117
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1323
Passes
81% (230/283)83% (363/437)
Long passes
58% (32/55)49% (26/53)
Passes in final third
66% (44/67)64% (49/77)
Crosses
38% (5/13)5% (1/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.850.28
Fouls
2313
Tackles
56% (5/9)68% (13/19)
Duels won
5659
Clearances Total
2614
Interceptions
146
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
0.081.61
Goals prevented
0.08-0.39

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 3', Hayner 🟨,
  • 6', 1 - 0, Alan Kardec , Esquivel L. (A),
  • 12', Anderson Jesus 🟨,
  • 45+1', Zapelli B. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Douglas Baggio , David ,
  • 46', Fernando Henrique , Thiaguinho ,
  • 60', Breno Herculano , Daniel Lima ,
  • 60', Luiz Fernando , Velasco K. ,
  • 61', Alan Kardec , Renan ,
  • 66', Higor Meritao 🟨,
  • 72', Zapelli B. , Tevis ,
  • 73', Felipinho , Patrick ,
  • 78', Anderson Jesus , Darlisson ,
  • 78', Hayner , Mikael ,
  • 82', 2 - 0, Renan , Tevis (A),
  • 83', Esquivel L. , Figueiredo T. ,
  • 89', Darlisson 🟨,

Chances of winning


Athletico Paranaense
63%
Draw
23.7%
CRB Maceio
13.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.2% 26.9% 19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56% 28.3% 18.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Athletico Paranaense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Athletico Paranaense's performance.
  • CRB Maceio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and CRB Maceio might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (-7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Athletico Paranaense that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for CRB Maceio than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that CRB Maceio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Athletico Paranaense - CRB Maceio Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.49
    (1.75)
    3.92
    (3.47)
    7.08
    (4.67)
    6.8%
    (7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Athletico Paranaense - CRB Maceio?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Athletico PR (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent matches Athletico PR is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • CRB is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • CRB could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Athletico PR is absolute favorite.
    • There will not play in Athletico PR: Julimar (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in CRB: Gazao (Inactive)
    • Last 4 head-to-head matches Athletico PR won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:3 (average 1.8:0.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Athletico PR won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:2 (average 3.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Athletico Paranaense - CRB Maceio were as follows:
    12.04.2023 CRB Maceio - Athletico Paranaense 1:0
    Latest results of Athletico Paranaense
    Latest results of CRB Maceio
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coritiba20115422:14838
    2Goias19114424:15937
    3Novorizontino1997323:16734
    4Chapecoense-SC1993725:18730
    5Remo2079422:19330
    6Criciuma2085723:18529
    7Cuiaba1984722:22028
    8Avai1977526:20628
    9Vila Nova FC2083919:20-127
    10Operario-PR2075822:20226
    11CRB1974820:18225
    12Athletico-PR1974824:26-225
    13Athletic Club19721022:26-423
    14Ferroviaria2058720:22-223
    15Atletico GO1958618:20-223
    16America MG19631020:26-621
    17Volta Redonda1956814:21-721
    18Paysandu PA1948718:21-320
    19Amazonas1947818:25-719
    20Botafogo SP1946912:27-1518

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )