Result
2:0
29/12/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 23
- Referee: Byrne A. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.51 | 1.30 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 64% (178/280) | 78% (325/417) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.51 | 1.30 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.85 | 1.07 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 16 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 64% (178/280) | 78% (325/417) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 26% (19/73) | 36% (24/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 50% (54/109) | 61% (85/139) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (4/21) | 27% (4/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.39 | 0.88 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 32 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (14/20) | 75% (3/4) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.07 | 1.85 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.07 | -0.15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 28', 1 - 0, Baker-Richardson C. ⚽,
- 40', Driscoll-Glennon A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 49', Mingi J. J. 🟨,
- 53', Lunt O. ↓, Holicek M. ↑,
- 53', Rankine D. ↓, Agius C. ↑,
- 54', Powell J. ↓, Bogle O. ↑,
- 69', Mingi J. J. ↓, Finney C. ↑,
- 73', Moult L. 🟨,
- 74', Spellman M. ↓, Lloyd B. ↑,
- 75', Baker-Richardson C. ↓, Opoku N. ↑,
- 76', 2 - 0, Braybrooke S. ⚽,
- 85', Smith M. ↓, Brennan C. ↑,
- 85', Driscoll-Glennon A. ↓, Shephard L. ↑,
- 90+1', Connolly J. 🟨,
- 90+2', Kamwa B. ↓, Antwi C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Newport County
28% | Draw
27.8% | Crewe Alexandra
44.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Newport County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Crewe Alexandra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Newport County - Crewe Alexandra Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.3 ↑
(3.2) |
3.36 ↑
(3.25) |
2.12 ↑
(2.12) |
7.2%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Newport County - Crewe Alexandra?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Crewe (1.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- 1X2, 1st Half - Newport (4.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Crewe Alexandra will win
(14 of 14 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Crewe Alexandra will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Newport (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Crewe (votes: 7 - 87.5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newport won 2.
- Newport has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Crewe has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Crewe is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Newport: Patten K.
(Broken Leg)
- There will not play in Crewe: Tabiner J.
(Knee Injury)
Tezgel E.
(Injury)
Tracey S.
(Broken Leg)
- There are questionable in Newport: Garner G.
(Inactive)
Warner J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Crewe: Demetriou M.
(Inactive)
Golding J.
(Inactive)
Lankester J.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Newport won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 23:19. (average 1.6:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Newport won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 1.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Newport County won against Crewe Alexandra?
Newport County has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Crewe Alexandra won against Newport County?
Crewe Alexandra has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Newport County - Crewe Alexandra were as follows:
10.12.2025
Crewe Alexandra
-
Newport County
2:2
08.02.2025
Crewe Alexandra
-
Newport County
0:3
28.09.2024
Newport County
-
Crewe Alexandra
2:1
29.12.2023
Newport County
-
Crewe Alexandra
1:1
15.08.2023
Crewe Alexandra
-
Newport County
4:2
Latest results of Newport County
Latest results of Crewe Alexandra
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 58:35 | 23 | 68 |
| 2 | Cambridge Utd | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 49:27 | 22 | 64 |
| 3 | MK Dons | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 63:34 | 29 | 62 |
| 4 | Swindon | 35 | 19 | 5 | 11 | 57:41 | 16 | 62 |
| 5 | Notts Co | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 52:33 | 19 | 61 |
| 6 | Crewe | 35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 52:41 | 11 | 56 |
| 7 | Salford | 33 | 17 | 4 | 12 | 46:43 | 3 | 55 |
| 8 | Chesterfield | 34 | 13 | 14 | 7 | 52:44 | 8 | 53 |
| 9 | Barnet | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 44:37 | 7 | 53 |
| 10 | Walsall | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 42:36 | 6 | 53 |
| 11 | Grimsby | 33 | 14 | 10 | 9 | 46:37 | 9 | 52 |
| 12 | Colchester | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 48:35 | 13 | 49 |
| 13 | Accrington | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 37:36 | 1 | 46 |
| 14 | Oldham | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 36:30 | 6 | 45 |
| 15 | Fleetwood | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 43:42 | 1 | 45 |
| 16 | Gillingham | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 41:41 | 0 | 44 |
| 17 | Shrewsbury | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 34:54 | -20 | 38 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 34:55 | -21 | 36 |
| 19 | Tranmere | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 46:59 | -13 | 35 |
| 20 | Bristol Rovers | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 33:57 | -24 | 31 |
| 21 | Crawley | 35 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 33:56 | -23 | 28 |
| 22 | Barrow | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 33:51 | -18 | 27 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 35 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 25:52 | -27 | 27 |
| 24 | Newport | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 32:60 | -28 | 25 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
