Crewe Alexandra vs Newport County: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

08/02/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Alexandra Stadium (Crewe).

ENGLAND: League Two - Round 31
Referee: Oldham J. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.42	1.45
Ball Possession
62%	38%
Goal Attempts
19	6
Shots on Goal
4	4
Shots off Goal
9	2
Blocked Shots
6	0
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
14	4
Shots inside the Box
11	5
Shots outside the Box
8	1
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
1	4
Free Kicks
16	8
Offsides
0	2
Fouls
8	16
Throw-ins
26	24
Touches in the Opposition Box
25	22
Passes
80% (351/440)	69% (193/280)
Passes in the final third
71% (104/146)	53% (42/79)
Crosses
21% (9/42)	33% (5/15)
Tackles
77% (10/13)	50% (10/20)
Clearances Total
26	63
Interceptions
2	6

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 2)
33', 0 - 1, Antwi C. ⚽, Evans C. (A),
45+2', 0 - 2, Ajiboye D. ⚽, Kamwa B. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Sanders M. H. ↓, Lowery T. ↑,
46', Conway M. ↓, Finney C. ↑,
60', Knight-Lebel J. ↓, Thibaut A. ↑,
60', Ajiboye D. 🟨,
66', Thomas J. 🟨,
67', Antwi C. 🟨,
75', Antwi C. ↓, Martin J. ↑,
75', Ajiboye D. ↓, Patten K. ↑,
83', 0 - 3, Baker-Richardson C. ⚽, Thomas J. (A),
87', Finney C. ↓, Billington L. ↑,
89', Kamwa B. ↓, Jameson K. ↑,
90', Evans C. ↓, Spellman M. ↑,
90', Holicek M. ↓, Agius C. ↑,
90', Thibaut A. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Crewe Alexandra
61%

Draw
23.2%

Newport County
15.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67%

20.4%

12.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.1%

19.2%

11.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crewe Alexandra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Crewe Alexandra's form might have worsened.

Newport County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Crewe Alexandra, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Crewe Alexandra - Newport County Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.39)	4.05 ↓ (4.58)	5.97 ↓ (7.44)	6.3% (7.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Crewe Alexandra - Newport County?

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Crewe will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Newport will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Crewe: 15.4% – 84.6%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 17).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Crewe won 1.
Both teams are now playing unstable.
Crewe could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Crewe is a favorite.
Last 12 head-to-head matches Crewe won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 17:18 (average 1.4:1.5).
Including matches at home between the teams Crewe won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10:9 (average 2:1.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Crewe Alexandra won against Newport County?

Crewe Alexandra has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Newport County won against Crewe Alexandra?

Newport County has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Crewe Alexandra - Newport County were as follows:

28.09.2024 Newport County - Crewe Alexandra 2:1

29.12.2023 Newport County - Crewe Alexandra 1:1

15.08.2023 Crewe Alexandra - Newport County 4:2

08.05.2023 Newport County - Crewe Alexandra 2:2

02.12.2022 Crewe Alexandra - Newport County 1:2

Latest results of Crewe Alexandra

01.02.2025 Harrogate Town - Crewe Alexandra 1:1 ✺

28.01.2025 Crewe Alexandra - AFC Wimbledon 1:1 ✺

25.01.2025 Crewe Alexandra - Accrington Stanley 0:1 ✺

18.01.2025 Morecambe - Crewe Alexandra 0:1 ✺

11.01.2025 Swindon Town - Crewe Alexandra 0:0 ✺

Latest results of Newport County

04.02.2025 Newport County - Morecambe 2:1 ✺

01.02.2025 Newport County - Barrow 1:0 ✺

28.01.2025 Salford City - Newport County 1:1 ✺

24.01.2025 Newport County - Swindon Town 1:2 ✺

18.01.2025 Port Vale - Newport County 3:2 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Colchester	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Bristol Rovers	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Cheltenham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Crewe	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Gillingham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Oldham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Swindon	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Tranmere	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Walsall	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Accrington	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Barnet	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Chesterfield	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Grimsby	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	MK Dons	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Notts Co	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Shrewsbury	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Cambridge Utd	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Crawley	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Barrow	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	Bromley	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
21	Newport	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
22	Harrogate	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
23	Fleetwood	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
24	Salford	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ League Two
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League

Which TV channels are streaming of Crewe Alexandra - Newport County?

It is being streamed on various channels, including: