Newport County vs Crewe Alexandra – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

29/12/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Rodney Parade (Newport).

League Two - Round 23
Referee: Byrne A. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.51	1.30
Ball Possession
41%	59%
Total shots
19	14
Shots on target
8	3
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
6	4
Passes
64% (178/280)	78% (325/417)
Yellow Cards
1	3
Expected Goals (xG)
1.51	1.30
xG on target (xGOT)
1.85	1.07
Total shots
19	14
Shots on target
8	3
Shots off target
6	7
Blocked Shots
5	4
Shots inside the Box
16	5
Shots outside the Box
3	9
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
6	4
Touches in opposition box
27	21
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	5
Free Kicks
13	10
Passes
64% (178/280)	78% (325/417)
Long passes
26% (19/73)	36% (24/66)
Passes in final third
50% (54/109)	61% (85/139)
Crosses
19% (4/21)	27% (4/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.39	0.88
Throw-ins
14	32
Fouls
10	13
Tackles
70% (14/20)	75% (3/4)
Duels won
55	46
Clearances
32	31
Interceptions
5	3
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	5
xGOT faced
1.07	1.85
Goals prevented
1.07	-0.15

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Baker-Richardson C. ⚽,
40', Driscoll-Glennon A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', Mingi J. J. 🟨,
53', Lunt O. ↓, Holicek M. ↑,
53', Rankine D. ↓, Agius C. ↑,
54', Powell J. ↓, Bogle O. ↑,
69', Mingi J. J. ↓, Finney C. ↑,
73', Moult L. 🟨,
74', Spellman M. ↓, Lloyd B. ↑,
75', Baker-Richardson C. ↓, Opoku N. ↑,
76', 2 - 0, Braybrooke S. ⚽,
85', Smith M. ↓, Brennan C. ↑,
85', Driscoll-Glennon A. ↓, Shephard L. ↑,
90+1', Connolly J. 🟨,
90+2', Kamwa B. ↓, Antwi C. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Newport County
28%

Draw
27.8%

Crewe Alexandra
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.6%

28.2%

43.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.6%

28.2%

43.3%

Newport County - Crewe Alexandra Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.3 ↑ (3.2)	3.36 ↑ (3.25)	2.12 ↑ (2.12)	7.2% (9.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Newport County - Crewe Alexandra?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Crewe (1.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Newport (4.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Crewe Alexandra will win (14 of 14 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Crewe Alexandra will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Newport (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Crewe (votes: 7 - 87.5%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newport won 2.
Newport has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Crewe has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Crewe is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Newport: Patten K. (Broken Leg)
There will not play in Crewe: Tabiner J. (Knee Injury) Tezgel E. (Injury) Tracey S. (Broken Leg)
There are questionable in Newport: Garner G. (Inactive) Warner J. (Injury)
There are questionable in Crewe: Demetriou M. (Inactive) Golding J. (Inactive) Lankester J. (Knee Injury)
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Newport won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 23:19. (average 1.6:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Newport won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 1.3:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Newport County won against Crewe Alexandra?

Newport County has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Crewe Alexandra won against Newport County?

Crewe Alexandra has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Newport County - Crewe Alexandra were as follows:

10.12.2025 Crewe Alexandra - Newport County 2:2

08.02.2025 Crewe Alexandra - Newport County 0:3

28.09.2024 Newport County - Crewe Alexandra 2:1

29.12.2023 Newport County - Crewe Alexandra 1:1

15.08.2023 Crewe Alexandra - Newport County 4:2

Latest results of Newport County

26.12.2025 Newport County - Barnet 0:0 ✺

20.12.2025 Colchester United - Newport County 4:1 ✺

13.12.2025 Newport County - Fleetwood Town 0:2 ✺

10.12.2025 Crewe Alexandra - Newport County 2:2 ✺

07.12.2025 Boreham Wood - Newport County 3:0 ✺

Latest results of Crewe Alexandra

26.12.2025 Walsall - Crewe Alexandra 1:0 ✺

19.12.2025 Crewe Alexandra - Bristol Rovers 1:1 ✺

13.12.2025 Tranmere Rovers - Crewe Alexandra 1:4 ✺

10.12.2025 Crewe Alexandra - Newport County 2:2 ✺

03.12.2025 Crewe Alexandra - Stockport County 1:2 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bromley	30	18	8	4	54:32	22	62
2	Notts Co	30	17	6	7	46:30	16	57
3	Cambridge Utd	30	16	8	6	42:24	18	56
4	Swindon	30	17	4	9	50:34	16	55
5	MK Dons	30	15	9	6	59:33	26	54
6	Salford	29	16	4	9	41:35	6	52
7	Walsall	30	14	7	9	38:31	7	49
8	Chesterfield	30	12	12	6	49:41	8	48
9	Crewe	31	13	8	10	47:38	9	47
10	Barnet	30	12	10	8	40:31	9	46
11	Colchester	29	12	9	8	43:31	12	45
12	Grimsby	29	12	9	8	41:32	9	45
13	Accrington	29	12	7	10	35:30	5	43
14	Gillingham	29	10	11	8	40:36	4	41
15	Fleetwood	29	10	7	12	38:39	-1	37
16	Oldham	28	8	11	9	28:29	-1	35
17	Tranmere	30	8	8	14	43:51	-8	32
18	Cheltenham	29	9	3	17	29:51	-22	30
19	Bristol Rovers	30	8	3	19	28:50	-22	27
20	Crawley	31	6	8	17	32:51	-19	26
21	Shrewsbury	30	6	8	16	25:50	-25	26
22	Barrow	29	6	6	17	30:46	-16	24
23	Newport	29	5	6	18	29:54	-25	21
24	Harrogate	31	5	6	20	22:50	-28	21

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League