Newport County vs Crewe Alexandra – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

29/12/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Rodney Parade (Newport).

League Two - Round 23
Referee: Byrne A. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.51	1.30
Ball Possession
41%	59%
Total shots
19	14
Shots on target
8	3
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
6	4
Passes
64% (178/280)	78% (325/417)
Yellow Cards
1	3
Expected Goals (xG)
1.51	1.30
xG on target (xGOT)
1.85	1.07
Total shots
19	14
Shots on target
8	3
Shots off target
6	7
Blocked Shots
5	4
Shots inside the Box
16	5
Shots outside the Box
3	9
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
6	4
Touches in opposition box
27	21
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	5
Free Kicks
13	10
Passes
64% (178/280)	78% (325/417)
Long passes
26% (19/73)	36% (24/66)
Passes in final third
50% (54/109)	61% (85/139)
Crosses
19% (4/21)	27% (4/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.39	0.88
Throw-ins
14	32
Fouls
10	13
Tackles
70% (14/20)	75% (3/4)
Duels won
55	46
Clearances
32	31
Interceptions
5	3
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	5
xGOT faced
1.07	1.85
Goals prevented
1.07	-0.15

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Baker-Richardson C. ⚽,
40', Driscoll-Glennon A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', Mingi J. J. 🟨,
53', Lunt O. ↓, Holicek M. ↑,
53', Rankine D. ↓, Agius C. ↑,
54', Powell J. ↓, Bogle O. ↑,
69', Mingi J. J. ↓, Finney C. ↑,
73', Moult L. 🟨,
74', Spellman M. ↓, Lloyd B. ↑,
75', Baker-Richardson C. ↓, Opoku N. ↑,
76', 2 - 0, Braybrooke S. ⚽,
85', Smith M. ↓, Brennan C. ↑,
85', Driscoll-Glennon A. ↓, Shephard L. ↑,
90+1', Connolly J. 🟨,
90+2', Kamwa B. ↓, Antwi C. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Newport County
28%

Draw
27.8%

Crewe Alexandra
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.6%

28.2%

43.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.6%

28.2%

43.3%

Newport County - Crewe Alexandra Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.3 ↑ (3.2)	3.36 ↑ (3.25)	2.12 ↑ (2.12)	7.2% (9.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Newport County - Crewe Alexandra?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Crewe (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Crewe (1.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Newport (4.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Crewe Alexandra will win (14 of 14 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Newport (votes: 1 - 25%). Crewe (votes: 3 - 75%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newport won 2.
Newport has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Crewe has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Crewe is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Newport: Patten K. (Broken Leg)
There will not play in Crewe: Tabiner J. (Knee Injury) Tezgel E. (Injury) Tracey S. (Broken Leg)
There are questionable in Newport: Garner G. (Inactive) Warner J. (Injury)
There are questionable in Crewe: Demetriou M. (Inactive) Golding J. (Inactive) Lankester J. (Knee Injury)
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Newport won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 23:19. (average 1.6:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Newport won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 1.3:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Newport County won against Crewe Alexandra?

Newport County has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Crewe Alexandra won against Newport County?

Crewe Alexandra has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Newport County - Crewe Alexandra were as follows:

10.12.2025 Crewe Alexandra - Newport County 2:2

08.02.2025 Crewe Alexandra - Newport County 0:3

28.09.2024 Newport County - Crewe Alexandra 2:1

29.12.2023 Newport County - Crewe Alexandra 1:1

15.08.2023 Crewe Alexandra - Newport County 4:2

Latest results of Newport County

26.12.2025 Newport County - Barnet 0:0 ✺

20.12.2025 Colchester United - Newport County 4:1 ✺

13.12.2025 Newport County - Fleetwood Town 0:2 ✺

10.12.2025 Crewe Alexandra - Newport County 2:2 ✺

07.12.2025 Boreham Wood - Newport County 3:0 ✺

Latest results of Crewe Alexandra

26.12.2025 Walsall - Crewe Alexandra 1:0 ✺

19.12.2025 Crewe Alexandra - Bristol Rovers 1:1 ✺

13.12.2025 Tranmere Rovers - Crewe Alexandra 1:4 ✺

10.12.2025 Crewe Alexandra - Newport County 2:2 ✺

03.12.2025 Crewe Alexandra - Stockport County 1:2 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bromley	26	15	7	4	44:27	17	52
2	Swindon	25	14	4	7	41:29	12	46
3	Walsall	25	14	4	7	35:24	11	46
4	Salford	25	14	4	7	38:33	5	46
5	MK Dons	26	12	8	6	48:28	20	44
6	Cambridge Utd	25	12	8	5	30:20	10	44
7	Notts Co	25	12	6	7	38:27	11	42
8	Chesterfield	26	10	11	5	42:35	7	41
9	Colchester	25	10	9	6	39:28	11	39
10	Crewe	26	11	6	9	42:34	8	39
11	Grimsby	25	10	7	8	36:30	6	37
12	Oldham	25	8	11	6	26:20	6	35
13	Barnet	25	9	8	8	32:27	5	35
14	Gillingham	25	8	11	6	34:30	4	35
15	Fleetwood	25	9	7	9	33:32	1	34
16	Accrington	25	9	6	10	27:28	-1	33
17	Tranmere	26	8	8	10	40:42	-2	32
18	Cheltenham	26	9	3	14	26:43	-17	30
19	Barrow	25	6	6	13	27:38	-11	24
20	Shrewsbury	25	5	7	13	22:41	-19	22
21	Bristol Rovers	25	6	3	16	21:45	-24	21
22	Crawley	26	4	7	15	29:47	-18	19
23	Harrogate	26	4	6	16	19:41	-22	18
24	Newport	25	4	5	16	26:46	-20	17

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League