Criciúma vs Cuiabá – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie B Criciúma - Cuiabá
Result
1:0
29/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B Superbet - Round 19
  • Referee: Guimaraes L. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.060.65
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
126
Shots on target
20
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
14
Passes
73% (240/330)76% (315/413)
Yellow Cards
51
Expected Goals (xG)
1.060.65
xG on target (xGOT)
1.070.00
Total shots
126
Shots on target
20
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
52
Shots outside the Box
74
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
14
Touches in opposition box
1810
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
05
Free Kicks
1819
Passes
73% (240/330)76% (315/413)
Long passes
43% (34/79)33% (20/61)
Passes in final third
55% (60/109)45% (36/80)
Crosses
22% (2/9)8% (1/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.620.14
Throw-ins
1934
Fouls
1918
Tackles
70% (14/20)60% (12/20)
Duels won
6152
Clearances
3019
Interceptions
910
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
01
xGOT faced
0.001.07
Goals prevented
0.00-0.47

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 14', Guilherme Lobo 🟨,
  • 17', 1 - 0, Jhonata Robert , Felipinho (A),
  • 33', Benevenuto 🟨,
  • 45+3', Nicolas 🟨,
  • 45+3', De Lucca 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Guilherme Lobo , Leo Naldi ,
  • 50', Luciano Castan 🟨,
  • 64', Jhonata Robert , Juninho ,
  • 64', Nicolas , Jean Carlos ,
  • 66', De Lucca , Max Alves ,
  • 68', Benevenuto , Yan Souto ,
  • 72', Denilson Alves , Arthur Rezende ,
  • 72', Carlos Alberto , Juan Christian ,
  • 82', Guilherme Mariano , Luisao ,
  • 83', Leonardo Ataide , Victor Barbara ,
  • 85', Diego Goncalves 🟨,
  • 90+3', Diego Goncalves , Otusanya O. ,

Chances of winning


Criciúma
49%
Draw
30.1%
Cuiabá
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46% 29.2% 24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7% 28.2% 23.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Criciúma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • Cuiabá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Criciúma than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cuiabá than the current prediction. (+3%)
  • Criciúma - Cuiabá Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.92
    (2)
    3.1
    (3.15)
    4.45
    (3.7)
    6.6%
    (8.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Criciúma - Cuiabá?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Criciúma will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Cuiabá will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Criciúma: 21.7%78.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Criciúma (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 6).
    • Criciúma is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Cuiabá has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Criciúma may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Criciúma might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Criciúma: Joao Carlos (Injury) Jonathan (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Cuiabá: Asad Y. (Injury) Bruno Alves (Yellow Cards) Miguel D. (Yellow Cards) Pedrinho (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Criciúma: Gabriel Barros (Inactive) Heitor Roca (Knee Injury) Ze Gabriel (Inactive)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Criciúma won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.8:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Criciúma won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 1:3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Criciúma - Cuiabá were as follows:
    31.08.2024 Cuiabá - Criciúma 2:1
    09.06.2024 Criciúma - Cuiabá 2:5
    Latest results of Criciúma
    24.07.2025 Botafogo SP - Criciúma 0:2
    13.07.2025 Criciúma - Ferroviária 2:1
    08.07.2025 Goiás - Criciúma 1:1
    Latest results of Cuiabá
    23.07.2025 Cuiabá - América Mineiro 3:1
    19.07.2025 Goiás - Cuiabá 3:1
    15.07.2025 Cuiabá - Amazonas 3:1
    05.07.2025 Remo - Cuiabá 0:0
    30.06.2025 Cuiabá - Botafogo SP 0:1
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coritiba20115422:14838
    2Goias19114424:15937
    3Novorizontino1997323:16734
    4Chapecoense-SC1993725:18730
    5Remo1979322:17530
    6Criciuma1985623:17629
    7Cuiaba1984722:22028
    8Avai1977526:20628
    9Vila Nova FC2083919:20-127
    10CRB1974820:18225
    11Athletico-PR1974824:26-225
    12Athletic Club19721022:26-423
    13Operario-PR1965821:20123
    14Atletico GO1958618:20-223
    15America MG19631020:26-621
    16Volta Redonda1956814:21-721
    17Paysandu PA1948718:21-320
    18Ferroviaria1948718:22-420
    19Amazonas1947818:25-719
    20Botafogo SP1946912:27-1518

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