Result
1:0
23/11/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 38
- Referee: Rodrigues F. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 5, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 0.73 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (400/462) | 73% (207/282) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 0.73 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.68 | 0.36 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (400/462) | 73% (207/282) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (29/53) | 53% (40/76) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (91/124) | 53% (47/89) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 12% (3/26) | 12% (2/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.65 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (9/12) | 80% (8/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.36 | 1.68 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.36 | 0.68 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 19', Jonathan 🟨,
- 21', Felipinho 🟨,
- 24', Felipinho 🟨,
- 37', Guilherme Lobo 🟨,
- 45+6', Nino Paraiba 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Carlos Alberto ↓, Nathan Cruz ↑,
- 46', Nicolas ↓, Luiz Henrique ↑,
- 46', Guilherme Lobo ↓, Matheus Trindade ↑,
- 50', Nino Paraiba ↓, Jadson ↑,
- 56', Luisao 🟨,
- 57', 1 - 0, David Miguel ⚽,
- 58', David Miguel 🟨,
- 62', Marcinho ↓, Joao Carlos ↑,
- 66', Leo Naldi ↓, Fellipe Mateus ↑,
- 76', Jonathan ↓, Leo Alaba ↑,
- 76', Max Alves ↓, Gabriel Mineiro ↑,
- 82', Luisao ↓, Eduardo Vinicius ↑,
- 82', David Miguel ↓, Marcelo Henrique ↑,
- 82', Marcelo Henrique 🟨,
- 90+3', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cuiabá
25.6% | Draw
30.9% | Criciúma
43.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Cuiabá - Criciúma Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.71 ↓
(4.08) |
3.1 ↓
(3.2) |
2.15 ↑
(1.97) |
5.9%
(6.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Cuiabá - Criciúma?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Cuiabá will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). Criciúma will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 23.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Criciúma: 42% – 87.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Cuiabá (votes: 1 - 20%). Criciúma (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano).
- Cuiabá is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Criciúma has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Criciúma may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Criciúma has had a series of home games.
- Criciúma could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Cuiabá: Alan Empereur
(Inactive)
Alisson Safira
(Inactive)
Bruno Alves
(Inactive)
Jader
(Inactive)
Juan Christian
(Inactive)
Lucas Mineiro
(Inactive)
Martinez A.
(Inactive)
Mateus Pasinato
(Hamstring Injury)
Matheusinho
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Criciúma: Caue
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Heitor Roca
(Knee Injury)
Kaua Moroso
(Back Injury)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cuiabá won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 1.6:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cuiabá won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Cuiabá won against Criciúma?
Cuiabá has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Criciúma won against Cuiabá?
Criciúma has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cuiabá - Criciúma were as follows:
29.07.2025
Criciúma
-
Cuiabá
1:0
31.08.2024
Cuiabá
-
Criciúma
2:1
09.06.2024
Criciúma
-
Cuiabá
2:5
Latest results of Criciúma
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coritiba | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 39:23 | 16 | 68 |
| 2 | Athletico-PR | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 53:43 | 10 | 65 |
| 3 | Chapecoense-SC | 38 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 52:35 | 17 | 62 |
| 4 | Remo | 38 | 16 | 14 | 8 | 51:39 | 12 | 62 |
| 5 | Criciuma | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 47:33 | 14 | 61 |
| 6 | Goias | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 42:37 | 5 | 61 |
| 7 | Novorizontino | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 43:32 | 11 | 60 |
| 8 | CRB | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 45:40 | 5 | 56 |
| 9 | Avai | 38 | 14 | 14 | 10 | 50:40 | 10 | 56 |
| 10 | Cuiaba | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 43:44 | -1 | 54 |
| 11 | Atletico GO | 38 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 39:38 | 1 | 52 |
| 12 | Operario-PR | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 40:44 | -4 | 48 |
| 13 | Vila Nova FC | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 40:44 | -4 | 47 |
| 14 | America MG | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 41:44 | -3 | 46 |
| 15 | Athletic Club | 38 | 12 | 8 | 18 | 43:53 | -10 | 44 |
| 16 | Botafogo SP | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 32:52 | -20 | 42 |
| 17 | Ferroviaria | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 43:52 | -9 | 40 |
| 18 | Amazonas | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 38:55 | -17 | 36 |
| 19 | Volta Redonda | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 26:43 | -17 | 36 |
| 20 | Paysandu PA | 38 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 36:52 | -16 | 28 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
