Result
1:1
22/04/2026 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 6
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
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|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 1.24 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (264/355) | 64% (172/267) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
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| 0.78 | 1.24 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 0.90 | 1.01 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
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| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
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| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
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| 5 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
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| 10 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
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| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
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| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
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| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 19 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
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| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
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| 8 | 19 |
| Passes |
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| 74% (264/355) | 64% (172/267) |
| Long passes |
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| 40% (24/60) | 45% (30/67) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 66% (80/122) | 52% (51/98) |
| Crosses |
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| 18% (3/17) | 19% (3/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
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| 0.34 | 0.37 |
| Throw ins |
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| 24 | 31 |
| Fouls |
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| 20 | 7 |
| Tackles |
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| 64% (7/11) | 73% (11/15) |
| Duels won |
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| 53 | 72 |
| Clearances |
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| 18 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
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| 12 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
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| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 1.01 | 0.90 |
| Goals prevented |
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| 0.01 | -0.10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 25', Wallace 🟨,
- 40', Vitor Mendes ↓, Luis Soares ↑,
- 45+4', Rodrigo Rodrigues 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Rodrigo Rodrigues ↓, Eliel ↑,
- 47', Eric Melo 🟨,
- 63', Jefferson Nem ↓, Kelvin ↑,
- 63', Matheus Sales ↓, Leandro Maciel ↑,
- 63', David Miguel ↓, Weverson ↑,
- 63', Pepe ↓, Vinicius Peixoto ↑,
- 64', 1 - 0, Eric Melo ⚽, Hernades (A),
- 77', Weverson 🟨,
- 78', 1 - 1, Luizao (Penalty Awarded),
- 82', Pedro Henrique ↓, Gabriel Inocencio ↑,
- 82', Marco Antonio ↓, Thiago Moraes ↑,
- 84', Hernades ↓, Kauan Cristtyan ↑,
- 85', Raul 🟨,
- 89', Ze Hugo ↓, Marcio Maranhao ↑,
- 90', Leandro Maciel 🟨,
- 90+3', Thiago Moraes 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cuiabá 49.3% | Draw 31.2% | Botafogo SP 19.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cuiabá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cuiabá's performance.Botafogo SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Botafogo SP might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cuiabá than the current prediction. (-6.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cuiabá that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo SP than the current prediction. (+6.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Botafogo SP could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Cuiabá - Botafogo SP Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.91 ↓ (2.21) |
2.98 ↓ (2.99) |
4.75 ↑ (3.52) |
6.9% (7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Cuiabá - Botafogo SP?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Cuiabá will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Botafogo SP (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DNB - Botafogo SP (2.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- EH -1 - Botafogo SP (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75 - Botafogo SP (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Botafogo SP (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25 - Botafogo SP (2.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.25 - Botafogo SP (3.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Botafogo SP (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 15 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cuiabá won 1.
- Cuiabá is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Botafogo SP has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Botafogo SP may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Cuiabá will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Cuiabá: Alan Empereur
(Inactive)
Gabriel Knesowitsch
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Botafogo SP: Carlao
(Injury)
Ericson
(Knee Injury)
Guilherme Mariano
(Inactive)
Guilherme Queiroz
(Inactive)
Jonathan
(Inactive)
Victor Souza
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Botafogo SP: Gabriel Inocencio
(Inactive)
Hygor
(Inactive)
Rafael Gava
(Inactive)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Cuiabá won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:5. (average 1.2:0.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cuiabá won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:2. (average 1.2:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Cuiabá won against Botafogo SP?
Cuiabá has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Botafogo SP won against Cuiabá?
Botafogo SP has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cuiabá - Botafogo SP were as follows:
19.10.2025
Botafogo SP
-
Cuiabá
2:2
30.06.2025
Cuiabá
-
Botafogo SP
0:1
Latest results of Botafogo SP
Brazilian Serie B Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vila Nova FC | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11:8 | 3 | 12 |
| 2 | Fortaleza | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:7 | -1 | 11 |
| 3 | Sao Bernardo | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 10 |
| 4 | Criciuma | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 10 |
| 5 | Juventude | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 10 |
| 6 | Ceara | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8:5 | 3 | 10 |
| 7 | Sport Recife | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 10 |
| 8 | Nautico | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 9 |
| 9 | Operario-PR | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 9 |
| 10 | Botafogo SP | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:6 | 3 | 8 |
| 11 | Avai | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 8 |
| 12 | Novorizontino | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 8 |
| 13 | Athletic Club | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 8 |
| 14 | Atletico GO | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 7 |
| 15 | Ponte Preta | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:6 | -1 | 7 |
| 16 | Goias | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 7 |
| 17 | Cuiaba | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 7 |
| 18 | Londrina | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 5 |
| 19 | CRB | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6:11 | -5 | 2 |
| 20 | America MG | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3:10 | -7 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )