Result
0:1
12/04/2026 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 4
- Referee: Ferreira Y. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, Globoplay, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
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|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 1.46 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (365/426) | 88% (399/452) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 1.46 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 0.52 | 2.05 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Shots outside the box |
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| 8 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
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| 1 | 2 |
| Big chances |
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| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 4 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 19 | 29 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
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| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
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| 17 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (365/426) | 88% (399/452) |
| Long passes |
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| 62% (31/50) | 76% (35/46) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 72% (54/75) | 72% (59/82) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (4/19) | 36% (8/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.26 | 0.95 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (8/13) | 88% (7/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 36 |
| Clearances |
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| 20 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
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| 7 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
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| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 2.05 | 0.52 |
| Goals prevented |
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| 1.05 | 0.52 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 19', Para 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Matheus Salustiano ↓, Helder Maciel ↑,
- 52', Fuentes G. 🟨,
- 59', Lucas Emanoel ↓, Miritello J. B. ↑,
- 69', Fuentes G. ↓, Mauricio Junior ↑,
- 73', Pierre 🟨,
- 76', Dudu Miraima ↓, Hyoran ↑,
- 76', Pedrinho ↓, Echapora ↑,
- 76', Foguinho ↓, Luizao ↑,
- 83', Ryan ↓, Ronald ↑,
- 83', Pochettino T. ↓, Lucca Prior ↑,
- 83', Luiz Fernando ↓, Paulo Baya ↑,
- 84', Britez E. 🟨,
- 87', 0 - 1, Miritello J. B. ⚽,
- 89', Daniel Amorim ↓, Fabricio Daniel ↑,
Chances of winning
São Bernardo 33% | Draw 30.5% | Fortaleza 36.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
São Bernardo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)Fortaleza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Bernardo than the current prediction. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
São Bernardo - Fortaleza Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.82 ↓ (3.09) |
3.05 ↓ (3.11) |
2.55 ↑ (2.35) |
7.3% (7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for São Bernardo - Fortaleza?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Recent form of São Bernardo has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Fortaleza is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- São Bernardo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in São Bernardo: Mario Sergio
(Inactive)
Rodrigo Andrade
(Injury)
- There will not play in Fortaleza: Bruninho
(Inactive)
Cardona T.
(Muscle Injury)
Joao Ricardo
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in São Bernardo: Foguinho
(Injury)
- The teams have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has São Bernardo won against Fortaleza?
São Bernardo has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fortaleza won against São Bernardo?
Fortaleza has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between São Bernardo - Fortaleza were as follows:
Latest results of São Bernardo
Latest results of Fortaleza
Brazilian Serie B Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vila Nova FC | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11:8 | 3 | 12 |
| 2 | Fortaleza | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:7 | -1 | 11 |
| 3 | Sao Bernardo | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 10 |
| 4 | Criciuma | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 10 |
| 5 | Juventude | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 10 |
| 6 | Nautico | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 10 |
| 7 | Ceara | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8:5 | 3 | 10 |
| 8 | Sport Recife | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 10 |
| 9 | Botafogo SP | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 9 |
| 10 | Operario-PR | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 9 |
| 11 | Avai | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 8 |
| 12 | Novorizontino | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 8 |
| 13 | Athletic Club | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 8 |
| 14 | Atletico GO | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 7 |
| 15 | Ponte Preta | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:6 | -1 | 7 |
| 16 | Goias | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 7 |
| 17 | Cuiaba | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 7 |
| 18 | Londrina | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 5 |
| 19 | CRB | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6:11 | -5 | 2 |
| 20 | America MG | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3:10 | -7 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )