São Bernardo vs Fortaleza – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
12/04/2026 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B Superbet - Round 4
  • Referee: Ferreira Y. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, Globoplay, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.071.46
Ball possession
48%52%
Total shots
1517
Shots on target
26
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
46
Passes
86% (365/426)88% (399/452)
Yellow cards
13
Expected goals (xG)
1.071.46
xG on target (xGOT)
0.522.05
Total shots
1517
Shots on target
26
Shots off target
99
Blocked shots
42
Shots inside the box
713
Shots outside the box
84
Hit the woodwork
12
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
46
Touches in opposition box
1929
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free kicks
1710
Passes
86% (365/426)88% (399/452)
Long passes
62% (31/50)76% (35/46)
Passes in final third
72% (54/75)72% (59/82)
Crosses
21% (4/19)36% (8/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.260.95
Throw ins
139
Fouls
1017
Tackles
62% (8/13)88% (7/8)
Duels won
4336
Clearances
2014
Interceptions
78
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
53
xGOT faced
2.050.52
Goals prevented
1.050.52

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 19', Para 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Matheus Salustiano , Helder Maciel ,
  • 52', Fuentes G. 🟨,
  • 59', Lucas Emanoel , Miritello J. B. ,
  • 69', Fuentes G. , Mauricio Junior ,
  • 73', Pierre 🟨,
  • 76', Dudu Miraima , Hyoran ,
  • 76', Pedrinho , Echapora ,
  • 76', Foguinho , Luizao ,
  • 83', Ryan , Ronald ,
  • 83', Pochettino T. , Lucca Prior ,
  • 83', Luiz Fernando , Paulo Baya ,
  • 84', Britez E. 🟨,
  • 87', 0 - 1, Miritello J. B. ,
  • 89', Daniel Amorim , Fabricio Daniel ,

Chances of winning


São Bernardo
33%
Draw
30.5%
Fortaleza
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.2% 30% 39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1% 28.9% 41.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • São Bernardo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • Fortaleza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Bernardo than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
  • São Bernardo - Fortaleza Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.82
    (3.09)
    3.05
    (3.11)
    2.55
    (2.35)
    7.3%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for São Bernardo - Fortaleza?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent form of São Bernardo has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Fortaleza is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • São Bernardo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in São Bernardo: Mario Sergio (Inactive) Rodrigo Andrade (Injury)
    • There will not play in Fortaleza: Bruninho (Inactive) Cardona T. (Muscle Injury) Joao Ricardo (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in São Bernardo: Foguinho (Injury)
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of São Bernardo
    Latest results of Fortaleza
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vila Nova FC633011:8312
    2Fortaleza63216:7-111
    3Sao Bernardo63128:5310
    4Criciuma63128:6210
    5Juventude63125:4110
    6Nautico73135:7-210
    7Ceara62408:5310
    8Sport Recife62406:4210
    9Botafogo SP723210:739
    10Operario-PR62314:319
    11Avai62227:618
    12Novorizontino62227:618
    13Athletic Club62228:808
    14Atletico GO62137:8-17
    15Ponte Preta62135:6-17
    16Goias62136:8-27
    17Cuiaba61413:307
    18Londrina61237:8-15
    19CRB60246:11-52
    20America MG60243:10-72

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