Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks vs New Zealand Warriors, Australian NRL – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
10:40
07/06/2025 at 03:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NRL - Round 14
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaFox League, NRL
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Mix, Sky Sports Mix

Match Stats

Tries
27
Conversion Goals
15
Conversion Goal Attempts
27
Penalty Goals
01
Penalty Goal Attempts
01
Goals %
5075
Dropped Goals
00
Dropped Goal Attempts
00
Total Runs
185179
Metres Run With Ball
15281713

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (10 - 12)
  • 5', Watene-Zelezniak D. (Try),
  • 8', Metcalf L. (Missed Conversion),
  • 10', Pompey A. (Try),
  • 15', Metcalf L. (Conversion Goal),
  • 22', Hiroti M. (Try),
  • 23', Hynes N. (Conversion Goal),
  • 26', Metcalf L. (Penalty Goal),
  • 33', Iro K. (Try),
  • 36', Hynes N. (Missed Conversion),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 28)
  • 42', Fisher-Harris J. (Try),
  • 44', Metcalf L. (Conversion Goal),
  • 55', Vaimauga D. (Try),
  • 55', Metcalf L. (Conversion Goal),
  • 60', Halasima L. (Try),
  • 62', Metcalf L. (Conversion Goal),
  • 68', Harris-Tavita C. (Try),
  • 68', Metcalf L. (Conversion Goal),
  • 77', Harris-Tavita C. (Try),
  • 78', Metcalf L. (Missed Conversion),

Chances of winning


Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks
65.2%
Draw
3.8%
New Zealand Warriors
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.2% 3.7% 35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.8% 3.4% 37.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
  • New Zealand Warriors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks than the current prediction. (-8.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Zealand Warriors than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that New Zealand Warriors could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks - New Zealand Warriors Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.44
    (1.52)
    24.2
    (25.4)
    2.99
    (2.64)
    7.2%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 44.00
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)
    What is the prediction for Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks - New Zealand Warriors?
  • Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Cronulla-Sutherland will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). New Zealand will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -4.5, OT - Cronulla-Sutherland (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cronulla-Sutherland (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 26:19.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cronulla-Sutherland won 1.
    • In recent matches, Cronulla-Sutherland has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • New Zealand is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Cronulla-Sutherland may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Cronulla-Sutherland could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cronulla-Sutherland won 12 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 475:346. (average 23.8:17.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cronulla-Sutherland won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 255:170. (average 25.5:17).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks - New Zealand Warriors were as follows:
    07.02.2025 Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks - New Zealand Warriors 12:12
    31.08.2024 Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks - New Zealand Warriors 28:30
    08.03.2024 New Zealand Warriors - Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks 12:16
    16.07.2023 New Zealand Warriors - Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks 44:12
    02.04.2023 Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks - New Zealand Warriors 30:32
    Australian NRL Table
    Main
    PlWLPts
    1New Zealand Warriors330120:366
    2Penrith Panthers33092:106
    3Canterbury Bulldogs22029:246
    4Melbourne Storm321112:424
    5Wests Tigers21160:364
    6Dolphins32186:644
    7South Sydney Rabbitohs32178:724
    8Newcastle Knights32176:724
    9Parramatta Eels32174:1044
    10Sydney Roosters42281:1164
    11Cronulla Sharks31266:742
    12NQ Cowboys31264:882
    13Brisbane Broncos31250:802
    14Canberra Raiders31245:822
    15Manly Sea Eagles30360:982
    16St. George Illawarra Dragons30354:910
    17Gold Coast Titans30340:980

          Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )