Crusaders vs Ballymena United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Northern Irish Premiership Crusaders - Ballymena United
Result
1:1
20/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NIFL Premiership - Round 8
  • Where to Watch on TV:
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
87
Shots on target
23
Corner Kicks
71
Yellow Cards
25
Total shots
87
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
64
Corner Kicks
71

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 38', Hood J. 🟨,
  • 42', O'Donnell S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 51', 0 - 1, McCurry C. ,
  • 53', 🟨,
  • 69', Hood J. , Corbally K. ,
  • 70', 🟨,
  • 78', Jarvis A. 🟨,
  • 80', Edogun S. , Lafferty D. ,
  • 82', Toure D. 🟨,
  • 89', 1 - 1, Bryden F. (Pen),
  • 90+3', Clarke M. 🟨,
  • 90+4', McCurry C. , O’Reilly J. ,

Chances of winning


Crusaders
34.6%
Draw
27.4%
Ballymena United
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.9% 28.3% 29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1% 26.9% 28.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Crusaders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Crusaders's form might have worsened.
  • Ballymena United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ballymena United's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crusaders than the current prediction. (+9.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Crusaders, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ballymena United than the current prediction. (-9.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ballymena United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Crusaders - Ballymena United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.69
    (2.2)
    3.4
    (3.25)
    2.45
    (3.08)
    7.3%
    (8.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 in the zone NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NIFL Premiership (Championship Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crusaders won 5.
    • Crusaders has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Ballymena United has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Crusaders won 15 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 35:15. (average 1.8:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Crusaders won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:8. (average 1.6:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Crusaders - Ballymena United were as follows:
    15.02.2025 Crusaders - Ballymena United 3:1
    26.10.2024 Crusaders - Ballymena United 1:0
    20.08.2024 Ballymena United - Crusaders 0:1
    09.03.2024 Ballymena United - Crusaders 2:4
    13.10.2023 Crusaders - Ballymena United 1:0
    Latest results of Crusaders
    16.09.2025 Larne - Crusaders 4:0
    06.09.2025 Crusaders - Coleraine 0:4
    29.08.2025 Portadown - Crusaders 2:1
    23.08.2025 Crusaders - Glentoran 0:2
    Latest results of Ballymena United
    Northern Irish Premiership Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Glentoran862012:3920
    2Larne861116:21419
    3Coleraine861116:51119
    4Linfield751113:21116
    5Ballymena941412:10213
    6Cliftonville932412:13-111
    7Carrick Rangers731310:10010
    8Crusaders931513:18-510
    9Bangor FC830510:16-69
    10Dungannon93068:17-99
    11Portadown930610:21-119
    12Glenavon90092:17-150

          Promotion ~ NIFL Premiership (Championship Group: )
          NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group: )