Crusaders vs Ballymena United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Northern Irish Premiership Crusaders - Ballymena United
Result
1:1
20/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NIFL Premiership - Round 8
  • Where to Watch on TV:
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
87
Shots on target
23
Corner Kicks
71
Yellow Cards
25
Total shots
87
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
64
Corner Kicks
71

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 38', Hood J. 🟨,
  • 42', O'Donnell S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 51', 0 - 1, McCurry C. ,
  • 53', 🟨,
  • 69', Hood J. , Corbally K. ,
  • 70', 🟨,
  • 78', Jarvis A. 🟨,
  • 80', Edogun S. , Lafferty D. ,
  • 82', Toure D. 🟨,
  • 89', 1 - 1, Bryden F. (Pen),
  • 90+3', Clarke M. 🟨,
  • 90+4', McCurry C. , O’Reilly J. ,

Chances of winning


Crusaders
34.6%
Draw
27.4%
Ballymena United
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.9% 28.3% 29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1% 26.9% 28.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Crusaders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Crusaders's form might have worsened.
  • Ballymena United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ballymena United's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crusaders than the current prediction. (+9.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Crusaders, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ballymena United than the current prediction. (-9.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ballymena United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Crusaders - Ballymena United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.69
    (2.2)
    3.4
    (3.25)
    2.45
    (3.08)
    7.3%
    (8.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 in the zone NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NIFL Premiership (Championship Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crusaders won 5.
    • Crusaders has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Ballymena United has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Crusaders won 15 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 35:15. (average 1.8:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Crusaders won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:8. (average 1.6:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Crusaders - Ballymena United were as follows:
    15.02.2025 Crusaders - Ballymena United 3:1
    26.10.2024 Crusaders - Ballymena United 1:0
    20.08.2024 Ballymena United - Crusaders 0:1
    09.03.2024 Ballymena United - Crusaders 2:4
    13.10.2023 Crusaders - Ballymena United 1:0
    Latest results of Crusaders
    16.09.2025 Larne - Crusaders 4:0
    06.09.2025 Crusaders - Coleraine 0:4
    29.08.2025 Portadown - Crusaders 2:1
    23.08.2025 Crusaders - Glentoran 0:2
    Latest results of Ballymena United
    Northern Irish Premiership Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coleraine1181224:81625
    2Glentoran1072115:6923
    3Larne1071218:41422
    4Bangor FC1160517:18-118
    5Linfield851213:4916
    6Ballymena1251615:16-116
    7Portadown1250715:23-815
    8Dungannon1250713:22-915
    9Carrick Rangers1041512:13-113
    10Cliftonville1032512:15-311
    11Crusaders1031614:20-610
    12Glenavon1210114:23-193

          Promotion ~ NIFL Premiership (Championship Group: )
          NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group: )