Crusaders vs Larne – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:4
31/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NIFL Premiership - Round 27
  • Referee: Thompson L. (Nir)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Ball possession
43%57%
Total shots
1012
Shots on target
510
Corner kicks
45
Yellow cards
21
Total shots
1012
Shots on target
510
Shots off target
52
Corner kicks
45

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 3', Dibaga M. , Tuffey J. ,
  • 22', 0 - 1, O'Connor T. ,
  • 32', 0 - 2, Tuffey J. (Own goal),
  • 37', Forsythe J. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 38', 1 - 2, Jewitt-White H. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 58', 2 - 2, Bryden F. ,
  • 60', O'Connor T. , McKendry C. ,
  • 60', Millar L. , Lusty M. ,
  • 60', McEneff J. , Magee B. ,
  • 77', 2 - 3, Lusty M. ,
  • 83', Barr L. , James J. ,
  • 84', 🟨,
  • 85', 🟨,
  • 87', 2 - 4, O'Neill P. ,
  • 87', Maguire T. , Nixon S. ,
  • 87', Jewitt-White H. , McCart O. ,
  • 90+4', 🟨,
  • 90+6', O'Neill P. , Sloan D. ,
  • 90+6', Doherty R. , Simpson J. ,

Chances of winning


Crusaders
14.7%
Draw
19.6%
Larne
65.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
14.4% 21.1% 64.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.9% 20.4% 66.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Crusaders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • Larne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crusaders than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Larne than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • Crusaders - Larne Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.25
    (6.35)
    4.69
    (4.35)
    1.4
    (1.42)
    8.8%
    (9.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    Preview Facts
    • Larne is Qualified for NIFL Premiership (Championship Group )
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crusaders won 1.
    • Crusaders is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Larne is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Crusaders may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Larne is the undeniable favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Crusaders won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 16:29. (average 0.8:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Crusaders won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 6:16. (average 0.7:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Crusaders - Larne were as follows:
    20.12.2025 Crusaders - Larne 0:1
    16.09.2025 Larne - Crusaders 4:0
    05.04.2025 Crusaders - Larne 2:2
    08.02.2025 Larne - Crusaders 0:1
    07.01.2025 Crusaders - Larne 1:3
    Latest results of Crusaders
    24.01.2026 Crusaders - Linfield 0:1
    17.01.2026 Coleraine - Crusaders 5:1
    09.01.2026 Coleraine - Crusaders 4:0
    Latest results of Larne
    23.01.2026 Larne - Bangor 2:1
    16.01.2026 Linfield - Larne 0:0
    13.01.2026 Glentoran - Larne 1:4
    02.01.2026 Larne - Coleraine 3:0
    30.12.2025 Larne - Cliftonville 0:0
    Draw
    Relegation

    Final
    1AnnaghCrusaders2 : 3