Brumbies vs Crusaders – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby union Super Rugby Brumbies - Crusaders
Result
31:33
30/05/2025 at 05:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super Rugby - Round 16
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSuperSport Rugby
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiaPremier Sports Rugby Asia
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
brazilBrazilDisney+
canadaCanadaTSN+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 1
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Rugby
peruPeruDisney+
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Rugby
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomFloSports app, Sky Go, Sky Sports Action
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Tries
44
Conversion Goals
42
Conversion Goal Attempts
43
Penalty Goals
12
Penalty Goal Attempts
12
Goals %
10083
Dropped Goals
01
Dropped Goal Attempts
01
Total Runs
90128
Metres Run With Ball
318465

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (14 - 25)
  • 1', Fotuaika F. (Try),
  • 2', Lolesio N. (Conversion Goal),
  • 6', Lio-Willie C. (Try),
  • 7', Reihana R. (Conversion Goal),
  • 10', Reihana R. (Penalty Goal),
  • 12', Blackadder E. (Try),
  • 14', Reihana R. (Missed Conversion),
  • 16', Ikitau L. (Try),
  • 17', Lolesio N. (Conversion Goal),
  • 25', Reihana R. (Try),
  • 26', Reihana R. (Conversion Goal),
  • 37', Reece S. (Drop Goal),
  • 2nd Half (17 - 8)
  • 41', Blackadder E. , Kellow C. ,
  • 44', Aumua L. , Ennor B. ,
  • 46', Reihana R. (Penalty Goal),
  • 46', Fotuaika F. , Van Nek R. ,
  • 49', Slipper J. (Try),
  • 49', Lolesio N. (Conversion Goal),
  • 50', Scott R. , Reimer L. ,
  • 55', Muirhead A. (Try),
  • 56', Lolesio N. (Conversion Goal),
  • 56', Pollard B. , Lonergan L. ,
  • 57', Taylor C. , Bell G. ,
  • 57', Shalfoon A. , Cahill T. ,
  • 57', Hotham N. , Preston K. ,
  • 59', Feliuai D. , Sapsford O. ,
  • 61', Slipper J. , Ieli L. ,
  • 63', McLeod D. , O'Connor J. ,
  • 69', Tualima T. , Shaw L. ,
  • 69', Ikitau L. , Meredith D. ,
  • 70', Williams T. , Calder S. ,
  • 72', Lolesio N. (Penalty Goal),
  • 76', Bell G. (Try),
  • 77', Reihana R. (Missed Conversion),
  • 77', Lonergan R. , Goddard H. ,
  • 79', Bower G. , Ponini L. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Brumbies
50.1%
Draw
4.3%
Crusaders
45.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.5% 4.4% 50.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4% 4.2% 52.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Brumbies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
  • Crusaders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brumbies than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Brumbies that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crusaders than the current prediction. (+7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Crusaders could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Brumbies - Crusaders Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.83
    (2.03)
    21.5
    (21.2)
    2.03
    (1.84)
    8.5%
    (8.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 54.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)
  • What is the prediction for Brumbies - Crusaders?
  • Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Crusaders will win (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Brumbies (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 28:28.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Rugby (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Rugby (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brumbies won 1.
    • At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
    • Brumbies may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Brumbies won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 214:348. (average 19.5:31.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Brumbies won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 126:189. (average 21:31.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Brumbies - Crusaders were as follows:
    18.05.2024 Brumbies - Crusaders 31:24
    24.03.2023 Crusaders - Brumbies 35:17
    Latest results of Brumbies
    17.05.2025 Brumbies - Reds 24:14
    10.05.2025 Western Force - Brumbies 14:33
    03.05.2025 Brumbies - Waratahs 40:17
    26.04.2025 Brumbies - Hurricanes 29:35
    19.04.2025 Moana Pasifika - Brumbies 0:24
    Latest results of Crusaders
    23.05.2025 Crusaders - Highlanders 15:12
    16.05.2025 Waratahs - Crusaders 33:48
    10.05.2025 Crusaders - Chiefs 19:35
    26.04.2025 Highlanders - Crusaders 10:43
    18.04.2025 Crusaders - Blues 25:22
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Crusaders (2)Reds (5)32 : 12
    2Chiefs (1)Blues (6)19 : 20
    3Chiefs (1)Bye
    4Brumbies (3)Hurricanes (4)35 : 28

    Semi-finals
    1Crusaders (2)Blues (6)21 : 14
    2Chiefs (1)Brumbies (3)37 : 17

    Final
    1Crusaders (2)Chiefs (1)16 : 12