Result
16:12
21/06/2025 at 03:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super Rugby - Play Offs - Final
- Referee: Gardner A. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | Premier Sports Rugby Asia |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Brazil | ESPN 2 |
 France | CANAL+ Sport |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport 1 |
 Peru | Movistar Deportes |
 Spain | M+ Deportes |
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports Action |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Conversion Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Conversion Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Penalty Goals |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Penalty Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 80 | 33 |
| Dropped Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total Runs |
|---|
| 146 | 115 |
| Metres Run With Ball |
|---|
| 273 | 232 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (13 - 12)
- 11', Havili D. 🟨,
- 12', Dyer G. (Try),
- 13', McKenzie D. (Conversion Goal),
- 21', Havili D. ↓, McLeod D. ↑,
- 24', McLeod D. ↓, Havili D. ↑,
- 25', Taylor C. (Try),
- 26', Reihana R. (Conversion Goal),
- 28', Reihana R. (Penalty Goal),
- 34', Reihana R. (Penalty Goal),
- 37', Stevenson S. (Try),
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 44', Jacobson L. ↓, Boshier K. ↑,
- 51', Norris O. ↓, Ross A. ↑,
- 51', Taukei'aho S. ↓, McAlister B. ↑,
- 51', Dyer G. ↓, O’Neill R. ↑,
- 55', Christie T. ↓, Grace C. ↑,
- 55', Williams T. ↓, Bower G. ↑,
- 58', Boshier K. ↓, Jacobson L. ↑,
- 61', Ratima C. ↓, Roe X. ↑,
- 64', Taylor C. ↓, Bell G. ↑,
- 64', Shalfoon A. ↓, Hannah J. ↑,
- 64', Ah Kuoi N. ↓, Tupou J. ↑,
- 66', Narawa E. ↓, Nanai-Seturo E. ↑,
- 69', Stevenson S. ↓, Jacomb J. ↑,
- 70', Sititi W. ↓, Boshier K. ↑,
- 71', Ennor B. ↓, McLeod D. ↑,
- 73', Reihana R. (Penalty Goal),
- 73', Hotham N. ↓, Preston K. ↑,
- 80', Reihana R. ↓, O'Connor J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Crusaders
44.6% | Draw
4.4% | Chiefs
51% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crusaders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)Chiefs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crusaders than the current prediction. (+6.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Crusaders, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chiefs than the current prediction. (-6.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chiefs, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Crusaders - Chiefs Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.05 ↑
(1.96) |
21.33 ↑
(19) |
1.78 ↓
(1.89) |
9.8%
(9.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 47.50The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)
What is the prediction for Crusaders - Chiefs?
Users Predictions:
1 users predict this event. Crusaders will win (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 23:25.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Rugby (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Rugby (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crusaders won 2.
- Crusaders has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Chiefs is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Crusaders may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Crusaders won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 559:502. (average 28:25.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Crusaders won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 290:217. (average 29:21.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Crusaders won against Chiefs?
Crusaders has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chiefs won against Crusaders?
Chiefs has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Crusaders - Chiefs were as follows:
10.05.2025
Crusaders
-
Chiefs
19:35
21.02.2025
Chiefs
-
Crusaders
49:24
29.03.2024
Crusaders
-
Chiefs
37:26
23.02.2024
Chiefs
-
Crusaders
33:29
24.06.2023
Chiefs
-
Crusaders
20:25
Latest results of Crusaders
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Crusaders (2) | Reds (5) | 32 : 12 |
| 2 | Chiefs (1) | Blues (6) | 19 : 20 |
| 3 | Chiefs (1) | Bye | |
| 4 | Brumbies (3) | Hurricanes (4) | 35 : 28 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Crusaders (2) | Blues (6) | 21 : 14 |
| 2 | Chiefs (1) | Brumbies (3) | 37 : 17 |
Final| 1 | Crusaders (2) | Chiefs (1) | 16 : 12 |
