Result
2:4
31/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- NIFL Premiership - Round 27
- Referee: Thompson L. (Nir)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 3', Dibaga M. ↓, Tuffey J. ↑,
- 22', 0 - 1, O'Connor T. ⚽,
- 32', 0 - 2, Tuffey J. (Own goal),
- 37', Forsythe J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 38', 1 - 2, Jewitt-White H. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 58', 2 - 2, Bryden F. ⚽,
- 60', O'Connor T. ↓, McKendry C. ↑,
- 60', Millar L. ↓, Lusty M. ↑,
- 60', McEneff J. ↓, Magee B. ↑,
- 77', 2 - 3, Lusty M. ⚽,
- 83', Barr L. ↓, James J. ↑,
- 84', 🟨,
- 85', 🟨,
- 87', 2 - 4, O'Neill P. ⚽,
- 87', Maguire T. ↓, Nixon S. ↑,
- 87', Jewitt-White H. ↓, McCart O. ↑,
- 90+4', 🟨,
- 90+6', O'Neill P. ↓, Sloan D. ↑,
- 90+6', Doherty R. ↓, Simpson J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Crusaders
14.7% | Draw
19.6% | Larne
65.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crusaders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Larne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crusaders than the current prediction. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Larne than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Crusaders - Larne Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.25 ↓
(6.35) |
4.69 ↑
(4.35) |
1.4 ↓
(1.42) |
8.8%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- Larne is Qualified for NIFL Premiership (Championship Group )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crusaders won 1.
- Crusaders is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Larne is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Crusaders may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Larne is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Crusaders won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 16:29. (average 0.8:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Crusaders won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 6:16. (average 0.7:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Crusaders won against Larne?
Crusaders has won 3 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Larne won against Crusaders?
Larne has won 7 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Crusaders - Larne were as follows:
20.12.2025
Crusaders
-
Larne
0:1
16.09.2025
Larne
-
Crusaders
4:0
05.04.2025
Crusaders
-
Larne
2:2
08.02.2025
Larne
-
Crusaders
0:1
07.01.2025
Crusaders
-
Larne
1:3
Latest results of Crusaders
Northern Irish Premiership Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Larne | 35 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 63:26 | 37 | 76 |
| 2 | Glentoran | 35 | 22 | 7 | 6 | 66:32 | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | Coleraine | 35 | 22 | 5 | 8 | 68:33 | 35 | 71 |
| 4 | Linfield | 35 | 19 | 9 | 7 | 60:26 | 34 | 66 |
| 5 | Cliftonville ✔ | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 50:52 | -2 | 47 |
| 6 | Dungannon ✔ | 35 | 15 | 1 | 19 | 42:63 | -21 | 46 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ NIFL Premiership (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Cliftonville is Qualified for NIFL Premiership (Conference League ~ Play Offs )
Dungannon is Qualified for NIFL Premiership (Conference League ~ Play Offs )
