Result
3:3
19/07/2025 at 23:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Apertura - Round 2
- Referee: Santander Aguirre L. E. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Canal 5, TUDN, VIX+, ViX Premium |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Usa | TUDN App, TUDN, Univision |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.61 | 2.42 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 28% | 72% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 30 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (128/195) | 85% (416/489) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.61 | 2.42 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 2.62 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 30 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 13 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 12 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 14 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 39 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (128/195) | 85% (416/489) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 30% (14/47) | 55% (22/40) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 52% (34/65) | 84% (165/196) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 9% (1/11) | 24% (10/42) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.39 | 1.60 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 48 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.62 | 1.30 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.38 | -1.70 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 17', 1 - 0, Aguirre E. ⚽,
- 22', Lira E. 🟨,
- 31', 2 - 0, Gonzalez D. ⚽, Aguirre E. (A),
- 45', Sanchez A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 55', 2 - 1, Sepulveda A. (Pen),
- 58', 2 - 2, Sepulveda A. ⚽, Bogusz M. (A),
- 60', 3 - 2, Matheus Doria ⚽, Rocha A. (A),
- 62', Hernandez S. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
- 71', Romero L. ↓, Faravelli L. ↑,
- 71', Rotondi C. ↓, Campos O. ↑,
- 74', Gonzalez D. ↓, del Prete G. ↑,
- 74', Gustavo Ferrareis ↓, Orrantia C. ↑,
- 78', Lira E. ↓, Marquez J. ↑,
- 82', Paradela J. 🟨,
- 87', Djurdjevic U. ↓, Coccaro M. ↑,
- 87', Aguirre E. ↓, Serrato J. ↑,
- 87', Bogusz M. ↓, Morales A. ↑,
- 87', Sanchez J. ↓, Levy M. ↑,
- 90', 3 - 3, Sepulveda A. ⚽, Paradela J. (A),
- 90+4', Rocha A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Atlas
24.5% | Draw
25.9% | Cruz Azul
49.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlas's form might have worsened.Cruz Azul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cruz Azul's recent form is better than expected.
Atlas - Cruz Azul Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.88 ↑
(3.03) |
3.62 ↑
(3.48) |
1.9 ↓
(2.14) |
6.2%
(8.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Atlas - Cruz Azul?
Users Predictions:
Cruz Azul will win
(61 of 65 users predict this - 93.85%).
Confidence interval (95%): 88.01% – 99.69%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cruz Azul will win (20 of 21 users predict this - 95.24%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlas won 2.
- Cruz Azul has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Atlas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Cruz Azul is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Atlas: Manotas M.
(Knee Injury)
Zaldivar E.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Cruz Azul: Montano A.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Atlas: Vargas C.
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in Cruz Azul: Fernandez G.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlas won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 24:27. (average 1.2:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atlas won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:14. (average 1.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlas won against Cruz Azul?
Atlas has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cruz Azul won against Atlas?
Cruz Azul has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlas - Cruz Azul were as follows:
11.01.2025
Cruz Azul
-
Atlas
1:1
06.11.2024
Atlas
-
Cruz Azul
2:2
21.04.2024
Cruz Azul
-
Atlas
2:2
01.07.2023
Atlas
-
Cruz Azul
2:0
06.05.2023
Cruz Azul
-
Atlas
0:1
Latest results of Cruz Azul
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Toluca | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Pachuca | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | Club America | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | Atlas | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:5 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Mazatlan FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Santos Laguna | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Tigres UANL | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Necaxa | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Atl. San Luis | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Club Leon | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Club Tijuana | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 12 | Monterrey | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 3 |
| 13 | Cruz Azul | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 2 |
| 14 | Juarez | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 15 | Guadalajara Chivas | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Puebla | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 0 |
| 17 | Queretaro | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
| 18 | UNAM Pumas | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )
