Atlas vs Cruz Azul – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

02/05/2026 at 23:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Atlas
21.6%
Draw
26.5%
Cruz Azul
51.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
19.1% 23.7% 57.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.7% 23.3% 58.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • Cruz Azul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cruz Azul might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlas than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruz Azul than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cruz Azul could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Atlas - Cruz Azul Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.31
    (4.94)
    3.51
    (3.98)
    1.8
    (1.65)
    7.3%
    (6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • First leg.
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlas won 0.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • In this match, Cruz Azul is the team to beat.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlas won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 23:29. (average 1.2:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Atlas won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:16. (average 1.4:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlas - Cruz Azul were as follows:
    14.01.2026 Cruz Azul - Atlas 2:0
    19.07.2025 Atlas - Cruz Azul 3:3
    11.01.2025 Cruz Azul - Atlas 1:1
    06.11.2024 Atlas - Cruz Azul 2:2
    21.04.2024 Cruz Azul - Atlas 2:2
    Latest results of Atlas
    25.04.2026 Club América - Atlas 0:1
    22.04.2026 Atlas - Tigres UANL 0:0
    19.04.2026 Santos Laguna - Atlas 0:1
    11.04.2026 Atlas - Monterrey 0:0
    04.04.2026 Club León - Atlas 2:0
    Latest results of Cruz Azul
    26.04.2026 Cruz Azul - Necaxa 4:1
    21.04.2026 Querétaro - Cruz Azul 1:1
    18.04.2026 Cruz Azul - Tijuana 1:1
    14.04.2026 Cruz Azul - Los Angeles 1:1
    11.04.2026 Club América - Cruz Azul 1:1
    Mexican Liga MX Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1UNAM Pumas17106134:171736
    2Guadalajara Chivas17113333:171636
    3Cruz Azul1796231:181333
    4Pachuca1794425:19631
    5Toluca1786328:161230
    6Atlas1775516:18-226
    7Tigres UANL1774628:181025
    8Club America1774620:17325
    9Club Tijuana1758419:17223
    10Club Leon1771922:32-1022
    11Queretaro1748517:21-420
    12Juarez1754826:32-619
    13Monterrey1753922:24-218
    14Atl. San Luis1753924:27-318
    15Necaxa1753919:25-618
    16Mazatlan FC17431022:37-1515
    17Puebla17341013:26-1313
    18Santos Laguna17331120:38-1812

          Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)