Result
0:0
22/04/2026 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Clausura - Round 16
- Referee: Gomez H. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Mexico | Canal 5, TUDN, VIX, ViX Premium |
South-america | ViX Latin America |
Usa | TUDN App, TUDN, Univision |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.11 | 0.93 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (225/314) | 84% (371/444) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.11 | 0.93 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.52 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (225/314) | 84% (371/444) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 27% (17/63) | 57% (33/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 50% (38/76) | 68% (78/114) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (5/17) | 29% (6/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.20 | 0.73 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 84% (16/19) | 89% (8/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.52 | 0.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.52 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 17', Joaquim ↓, Brunetta J. ↑,
- 35', Gorriaran F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Gorriaran F. ↓, Guerrero R. ↑,
- 60', Herrera O. ↓, Flores M. ↑,
- 60', Aguirre R. ↓, Gignac A. ↑,
- 63', Ramirez P. ↓, Garcia M. E. ↑,
- 70', Rocha A. 🟨,
- 72', Aguirre E. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
- 73', Hernandez S. ↓, Zaldivar E. ↑,
- 73', Gonzalez D. ↓, Gamboa L. ↑,
- 79', Angulo J. ↓, Reyes F. ↑,
- 79', Garza J. 🟨,
- 85', Rodriguez J. ↓, Aguirre G. ↑,
- 90+3', Gamboa L. 🟨,
- 90+12', Gustavo Ferrareis 🟥,
Chances of winning
Atlas 18.9% | Draw 26.2% | Tigres UANL 54.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlas's form might have worsened.Tigres UANL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tigres UANL's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlas than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tigres UANL than the current prediction. (-6.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tigres UANL, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Atlas - Tigres UANL Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.94 ↑ (3.65) |
3.57 ↑ (3.4) |
1.73 ↓ (1.83) |
6% (11.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Atlas - Tigres UANL?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tigres (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Tigres UANL will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlas won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Atlas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Tigres is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Atlas: Ortega E.
(Suspended)
- There are questionable in Atlas: Cruz C.
(Knee Injury)
Lozano J.
(Muscle Injury)
Serrato J.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Tigres: Farfan M.
(Thigh Injury)
Lorona V.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlas won 3 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 19:28. (average 1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atlas won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.1:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlas won against Tigres UANL?
Atlas has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tigres UANL won against Atlas?
Tigres UANL has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlas - Tigres UANL were as follows:
24.09.2025
Tigres UANL
-
Atlas
2:0
08.02.2025
Tigres UANL
-
Atlas
2:1
12.07.2024
Atlas
-
Tigres UANL
1:1
24.02.2024
Tigres UANL
-
Atlas
1:1
17.09.2023
Atlas
-
Tigres UANL
2:0
Latest results of Tigres UANL
Draw
Clausura - Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | UNAM Pumas (1) | Club America (8) | 3 : 3 |
| 2 | Pachuca (4) | Toluca (5) | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Guadalajara Chivas (2) | Tigres UANL (7) | 1 : 3 |
| 4 | Cruz Azul (3) | Atlas (6) | 3 : 2 |