Result
1:2
11/08/2025 at 23:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Apertura - Round 4
- Referee: Arce V. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | TUDN App, TUDN |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.28 | 1.79 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (199/274) | 87% (392/450) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.28 | 1.79 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 1.90 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 23 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (199/274) | 87% (392/450) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (27/65) | 60% (27/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 50% (38/76) | 64% (58/90) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (3/10) | 22% (4/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.29 | 0.69 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 23 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 68% (15/22) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.90 | 0.95 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.10 | -0.05 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 7', Rodrigo Dourado 🟨,
- 10', Orozco J. 🟨,
- 38', Lira E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 52', 0 - 1, Rotondi C. ⚽, Paradela J. (A),
- 57', 0 - 2, Sepulveda A. (Pen),
- 61', Joao Pedro Galvao 🟥,
- 66', Galdames B. ↓, Yan Phillipe ↑,
- 66', Rodrigo Dourado ↓, Salles-Lamonge S. ↑,
- 66', Klimowicz M. ↓, Cruz A. ↑,
- 66', Suarez J. ↓, Torres R. ↑,
- 74', Lira E. ↓, Romero L. ↑,
- 74', Bogusz M. ↓, Faravelli L. ↑,
- 74', Paradela J. ↓, Marquez J. ↑,
- 83', Sepulveda A. ↓, Levy M. ↑,
- 85', Rotondi C. ↓, Campos O. ↑,
- 85', 1 - 2, Torres R. ⚽,
- 90+4', Orozco J. 🟨,
- 90+8', Piovi G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Atlético San Luis
21.3% | Draw
24.3% | Cruz Azul
54.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético San Luis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Cruz Azul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético San Luis than the current prediction. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cruz Azul than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Atlético San Luis - Cruz Azul Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.4 ↑
(4.33) |
3.86 ↑
(3.5) |
1.73 ↑
(1.71) |
6.4%
(10.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Atlético San Luis - Cruz Azul?
Users Predictions:
Cruz Azul will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético San Luis won 1.
- Recent performances by Atlético San Luis have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Cruz Azul is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Atlético San Luis has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Cruz Azul is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Atlético San Luis: Boli F.
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Cruz Azul: Montano A.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Atlético San Luis: Klimowicz M.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Cruz Azul: Fernandez G.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Atlético San Luis won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 11:20. (average 0.9:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atlético San Luis won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1.2:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético San Luis won against Cruz Azul?
Atlético San Luis has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cruz Azul won against Atlético San Luis?
Cruz Azul has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético San Luis - Cruz Azul were as follows:
15.03.2025
Cruz Azul
-
Atlético San Luis
3:0
17.09.2024
Atlético San Luis
-
Cruz Azul
3:1
10.02.2024
Cruz Azul
-
Atlético San Luis
3:0
29.09.2023
Atlético San Luis
-
Cruz Azul
1:2
18.03.2023
Cruz Azul
-
Atlético San Luis
1:0
Latest results of Atlético San Luis
Latest results of Cruz Azul
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Toluca | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 31:14 | 17 | 25 |
| 2 | Monterrey | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 23:17 | 6 | 25 |
| 3 | Club America | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 23:11 | 12 | 24 |
| 4 | Cruz Azul | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 21:12 | 9 | 24 |
| 5 | Tigres UANL | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 19:9 | 10 | 19 |
| 6 | Juarez | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 18 |
| 7 | Pachuca | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15:13 | 2 | 17 |
| 8 | Club Tijuana | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 19:11 | 8 | 16 |
| 9 | Guadalajara Chivas | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | UNAM Pumas | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14:17 | -3 | 13 |
| 11 | Club Leon | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10:18 | -8 | 12 |
| 12 | Atl. San Luis | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 16:18 | -2 | 10 |
| 13 | Santos Laguna | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 13:18 | -5 | 10 |
| 14 | Atlas | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 18:26 | -8 | 10 |
| 15 | Necaxa | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11:20 | -9 | 9 |
| 16 | Mazatlan FC | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 13:20 | -7 | 8 |
| 17 | Queretaro | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11:18 | -7 | 8 |
| 18 | Puebla | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9:26 | -17 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )
