Chivas Guadalajara vs Cruz Azul – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Mexican Liga MX Chivas Guadalajara - Cruz Azul
Result
1:2
30/08/2025 at 21:07 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga MX - Apertura - Round 7
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video
usaUsaNBC Universo, Peacock TV, Telemundo, UNIVERSO NOW

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.180.47
Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
1812
Shots on target
57
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
71
Passes
81% (355/439)68% (191/282)
Yellow Cards
51
Expected Goals (xG)
2.180.47
xG on target (xGOT)
1.550.79
Total shots
1812
Shots on target
57
Shots off target
102
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
101
Shots outside the Box
811
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
71
Touches in opposition box
249
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
24
Free Kicks
1017
Passes
81% (355/439)68% (191/282)
Long passes
55% (30/55)39% (32/82)
Passes in final third
70% (87/125)50% (39/78)
Crosses
36% (9/25)25% (1/4)
Expected assists (xA)
1.660.39
Throw-ins
2625
Fouls
1710
Tackles
80% (12/15)75% (21/28)
Duels won
5568
Clearances
1325
Interceptions
66
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
54
xGOT faced
0.791.55
Goals prevented
-1.210.55

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 2', 0 - 1, Paradela J. , Sepulveda A. (A),
  • 6', Sepulveda G. 🟨,
  • 11', 1 - 1, Campillo Del Campo D. , Tapias M. (A),
  • 18', Sepulveda A. , Fernandez G. ,
  • 45', 1 - 2, Rotondi C. , Rivero I. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Rodriguez C. , Romero L. ,
  • 55', Sanchez J. 🟨,
  • 59', Paradela J. , Bogusz M. ,
  • 59', Rivero I. , Faravelli L. ,
  • 64', Tapias M. , Cowell C. ,
  • 64', Campillo Del Campo D. , Gomez M. ,
  • 70', Gonzalez A. 🟨,
  • 71', Sandoval S. , Chicharito ,
  • 79', Alvarez E. , Padilla Y. ,
  • 79', Alvarado R. , Camberos H. ,
  • 80', Gutierrez E. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Cowell C. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Rotondi C. , Campos O. ,
  • 90+4', Romo L. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Chivas Guadalajara
31.4%
Draw
28.6%
Cruz Azul
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.6% 29.5% 38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4% 29.3% 39.2%

Chivas Guadalajara - Cruz Azul Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.97
(2.96)
3.29
(3.18)
2.34
(2.41)
6.8%
(6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Chivas Guadalajara - Cruz Azul?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cruz Azul (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Cruz Azul will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.03%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guadalajara won 1.
    • In recent matches, Guadalajara has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Cruz Azul is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Guadalajara may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Guadalajara: Castillo J. (Muscle Injury) Chicharito (Calf Injury) Govea O. (Muscle Injury) Pulido A. (Muscle Injury) Sepulveda L. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Cruz Azul: Montano A. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Guadalajara: Aguirre D. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Guadalajara won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 16:29. (average 0.8:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Guadalajara won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:14. (average 1:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chivas Guadalajara - Cruz Azul were as follows:
    29.03.2025 Chivas Guadalajara - Cruz Azul 0:1
    21.09.2024 Cruz Azul - Chivas Guadalajara 1:0
    21.06.2024 Chivas Guadalajara - Cruz Azul 3:3
    02.03.2024 Cruz Azul - Chivas Guadalajara 3:0
    04.11.2023 Chivas Guadalajara - Cruz Azul 1:0
    Latest results of Chivas Guadalajara
    Latest results of Cruz Azul
    Mexican Liga MX Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Toluca ✔ 15103241:182333
    2Tigres UANL ✔ 1595131:141732
    3Cruz Azul ✔ 1595127:171032
    4Club America ✔ 1594231:161531
    5Monterrey ✔ 1593330:24630
    6Guadalajara Chivas1572624:20423
    7Pachuca1564521:19222
    8Club Tijuana1556426:19721
    9Juarez1555524:25-120
    10Santos Laguna1552820:24-417
    11Atl. San Luis1551923:24-116
    12Atlas1544724:33-916
    13UNAM Pumas1536617:22-515
    14Queretaro1542916:28-1214
    15Mazatlan FC1527619:27-813
    16Necaxa1534819:30-1113
    17Club Leon1534813:27-1413
    18Puebla15231019:38-199

          Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Toluca is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Tigres UANL is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Cruz Azul is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Club America is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Monterrey is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)