Result
1:2
30/08/2025 at 21:07 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Apertura - Round 7
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video |
 Usa | NBC Universo, Peacock TV, Telemundo, UNIVERSO NOW |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.18 | 0.47 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (355/439) | 68% (191/282) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.18 | 0.47 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 0.79 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (355/439) | 68% (191/282) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (30/55) | 39% (32/82) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (87/125) | 50% (39/78) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (9/25) | 25% (1/4) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.66 | 0.39 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (12/15) | 75% (21/28) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 68 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.79 | 1.55 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.21 | 0.55 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 2', 0 - 1, Paradela J. ⚽, Sepulveda A. (A),
- 6', Sepulveda G. 🟨,
- 11', 1 - 1, Campillo Del Campo D. ⚽, Tapias M. (A),
- 18', Sepulveda A. ↓, Fernandez G. ↑,
- 45', 1 - 2, Rotondi C. ⚽, Rivero I. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Rodriguez C. ↓, Romero L. ↑,
- 55', Sanchez J. 🟨,
- 59', Paradela J. ↓, Bogusz M. ↑,
- 59', Rivero I. ↓, Faravelli L. ↑,
- 64', Tapias M. ↓, Cowell C. ↑,
- 64', Campillo Del Campo D. ↓, Gomez M. ↑,
- 70', Gonzalez A. 🟨,
- 71', Sandoval S. ↓, Chicharito ↑,
- 79', Alvarez E. ↓, Padilla Y. ↑,
- 79', Alvarado R. ↓, Camberos H. ↑,
- 80', Gutierrez E. 🟨,
- 90+2', Cowell C. 🟨,
- 90+4', Rotondi C. ↓, Campos O. ↑,
- 90+4', Romo L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Chivas Guadalajara
31.4% | Draw
28.6% | Cruz Azul
40% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chivas Guadalajara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)Cruz Azul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)The ML Model estimate for Chivas Guadalajara aligns with the current prediction.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cruz Azul than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Chivas Guadalajara - Cruz Azul Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.97 ↑
(2.96) |
3.29 ↑
(3.18) |
2.34 ↓
(2.41) |
6.8%
(6.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Chivas Guadalajara - Cruz Azul?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cruz Azul (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Cruz Azul will win
(9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guadalajara won 1.
- In recent matches, Guadalajara has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Cruz Azul is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Guadalajara may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Guadalajara: Castillo J.
(Muscle Injury)
Chicharito
(Calf Injury)
Govea O.
(Muscle Injury)
Pulido A.
(Muscle Injury)
Sepulveda L.
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in Cruz Azul: Montano A.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Guadalajara: Aguirre D.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Guadalajara won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 16:29. (average 0.8:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Guadalajara won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:14. (average 1:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Chivas Guadalajara won against Cruz Azul?
Chivas Guadalajara has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cruz Azul won against Chivas Guadalajara?
Cruz Azul has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chivas Guadalajara - Cruz Azul were as follows:
29.03.2025
Chivas Guadalajara
-
Cruz Azul
0:1
21.09.2024
Cruz Azul
-
Chivas Guadalajara
1:0
21.06.2024
Chivas Guadalajara
-
Cruz Azul
3:3
02.03.2024
Cruz Azul
-
Chivas Guadalajara
3:0
04.11.2023
Chivas Guadalajara
-
Cruz Azul
1:0
Latest results of Chivas Guadalajara
Latest results of Cruz Azul
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Monterrey | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 18:9 | 9 | 21 |
| 2 | Cruz Azul | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 16:8 | 8 | 20 |
| 3 | Club America | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16:8 | 8 | 17 |
| 4 | Toluca | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 19:11 | 8 | 16 |
| 5 | Tigres UANL | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 16:8 | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | Club Tijuana | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14:10 | 4 | 13 |
| 7 | Pachuca | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11:8 | 3 | 13 |
| 8 | UNAM Pumas | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 12 |
| 9 | Juarez | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 12 |
| 10 | Club Leon | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 11 |
| 11 | Santos Laguna | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11:13 | -2 | 7 |
| 12 | Guadalajara Chivas | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11:13 | -2 | 7 |
| 13 | Atl. San Luis | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11:14 | -3 | 7 |
| 14 | Mazatlan FC | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 6 |
| 15 | Atlas | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 14:21 | -7 | 6 |
| 16 | Necaxa | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7:14 | -7 | 6 |
| 17 | Queretaro | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7:16 | -9 | 4 |
| 18 | Puebla | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7:21 | -14 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )
