Chivas Guadalajara vs Cruz Azul – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Mexican Liga MX Chivas Guadalajara - Cruz Azul
30/08/2025 at 21:07 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Chivas Guadalajara
34.9%
Draw
28.7%
Cruz Azul
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.6% 29.5% 38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4% 29.3% 39.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chivas Guadalajara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • Cruz Azul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chivas Guadalajara than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruz Azul than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • Chivas Guadalajara - Cruz Azul Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.69
    (2.96)
    3.31
    (3.18)
    2.58
    (2.41)
    6.1%
    (6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guadalajara won 1.
    • Guadalajara has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Cruz Azul is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Guadalajara won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 16:29. (average 0.8:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Guadalajara won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:14. (average 1:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chivas Guadalajara - Cruz Azul were as follows:
    29.03.2025 Chivas Guadalajara - Cruz Azul 0:1
    21.09.2024 Cruz Azul - Chivas Guadalajara 1:0
    21.06.2024 Chivas Guadalajara - Cruz Azul 3:3
    02.03.2024 Cruz Azul - Chivas Guadalajara 3:0
    04.11.2023 Chivas Guadalajara - Cruz Azul 1:0
    Latest results of Chivas Guadalajara
    Latest results of Cruz Azul
    Mexican Liga MX Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Monterrey650113:7615
    2Cruz Azul642013:7614
    3Pachuca641111:5613
    4Club America53209:4511
    5Tigres UANL531115:8710
    6Toluca631213:9410
    7Club Tijuana623110:919
    8Juarez62226:7-18
    9Club Leon62135:9-47
    10Santos Laguna62049:10-16
    11Atl. San Luis62049:10-16
    12Mazatlan FC61328:9-16
    13UNAM Pumas51226:8-25
    14Atlas512210:14-45
    15Necaxa61236:10-45
    16Guadalajara Chivas51138:10-24
    17Queretaro61147:12-54
    18Puebla51044:14-103

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