Result
2:1
21/02/2026 at 22:05 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Clausura - Round 7
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, Zapping |
 Mexico | Canal 5, TUDN, VIX+, ViX Premium |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Usa | CBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+, TUDN App, TUDN, Univision |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 1.19 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (168/249) | 81% (321/397) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 1.19 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 0.73 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (168/249) | 81% (321/397) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (20/60) | 49% (26/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 52% (48/93) | 72% (75/104) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 45% (5/11) | 13% (2/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 1.55 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 27 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 40% (6/15) | 58% (11/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.73 | 0.72 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.27 | -1.28 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 6', Rotondi C. 🟨,
- 6', Aguirre D. 🟨,
- 31', Lira E. 🟨,
- 33', Govea O. 🟨,
- 34', 1 - 0, Fernandez G. ⚽, Palavecino A. (A),
- 38', Gudino A. 🟨,
- 40', Piovi G. 🟨,
- 41', Ledezma R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 51', Paradela J. 🟨,
- 54', Alvarez E. ↓, Gutierrez B. ↑,
- 54', Govea O. ↓, Camberos H. ↑,
- 54', Castillo J. ↓, Sepulveda A. ↑,
- 57', Lira E. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
- 67', Fernandez G. ↓, Ibanez N. ↑,
- 80', Rodarte J. ↓, Campos O. ↑,
- 80', Paradela J. ↓, Romero L. ↑,
- 80', Gonzalez A. ↓, Marin R. ↑,
- 81', 1 - 1, Sepulveda A. ⚽, Marin R. (A),
- 85', 2 - 1, Rodriguez C. ⚽, Palavecino A. (A),
- 90', Ledezma R. ↓, Sandoval S. ↑,
- 90+2', Rodriguez C. 🟨,
- 90+3', Romero L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cruz Azul
41.4% | Draw
27.2% | Chivas Guadalajara
31.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cruz Azul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)Chivas Guadalajara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cruz Azul than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cruz Azul that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chivas Guadalajara than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
Cruz Azul - Chivas Guadalajara Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.29 ↓
(2.46) |
3.45 ↑
(3.24) |
2.98 ↑
(2.67) |
6.3%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Cruz Azul - Chivas Guadalajara?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Cruz Azul will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Guadalajara will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 54.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 25.1% – 83.9%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DNB - Guadalajara (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Guadalajara (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cruz Azul won 4.
- Each of the two teams have built a series of wins lately.
- Guadalajara may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Cruz Azul: Mier K.
(Injury)
Orozco J.
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in Guadalajara: Perez J.
(Thigh Injury)
Romo L.
(Thigh Injury)
Sepulveda G.
(Ankle Injury)
Sepulveda L.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Guadalajara: Ledezma R.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cruz Azul won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 28:16. (average 1.4:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cruz Azul won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:7. (average 1.5:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Cruz Azul won against Chivas Guadalajara?
Cruz Azul has won 7 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chivas Guadalajara won against Cruz Azul?
Chivas Guadalajara has won 2 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cruz Azul - Chivas Guadalajara were as follows:
30.11.2025
Cruz Azul
-
Chivas Guadalajara
3:2
27.11.2025
Chivas Guadalajara
-
Cruz Azul
0:0
30.08.2025
Chivas Guadalajara
-
Cruz Azul
1:2
29.03.2025
Chivas Guadalajara
-
Cruz Azul
0:1
21.09.2024
Cruz Azul
-
Chivas Guadalajara
1:0
Latest results of Cruz Azul
Latest results of Chivas Guadalajara
Mexican Liga MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Guadalajara Chivas ✔ | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 28:17 | 11 | 31 |
| 2 | Cruz Azul | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 25:15 | 10 | 28 |
| 3 | Pachuca | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 21:13 | 8 | 28 |
| 4 | UNAM Pumas | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 26:15 | 11 | 27 |
| 5 | Toluca | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 20:9 | 11 | 27 |
| 6 | Tigres UANL | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 22:16 | 6 | 20 |
| 7 | Club America | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15:13 | 2 | 19 |
| 8 | Atlas | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 14:18 | -4 | 19 |
| 9 | Club Leon | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 16:24 | -8 | 19 |
| 10 | Club Tijuana | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 15:15 | 0 | 18 |
| 11 | Juarez | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 16 |
| 12 | Necaxa | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 17:20 | -3 | 16 |
| 13 | Monterrey | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 19:17 | 2 | 15 |
| 14 | Atl. San Luis | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 21:23 | -2 | 15 |
| 15 | Queretaro | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 13:18 | -5 | 15 |
| 16 | Puebla | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 11:17 | -6 | 13 |
| 17 | Mazatlan FC | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 16:28 | -12 | 11 |
| 18 | Santos Laguna | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 17:35 | -18 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Guadalajara Chivas is Qualified for Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
