Result
3:2
30/11/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Apertura - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
- Referee: Quintero D. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Canal 5, TUDN, VIX+, ViX Premium |
 Usa | CBS Sports Network, TUDN, Univision |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 2.26 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (267/357) | 83% (333/401) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 2.26 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.60 | 1.79 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (267/357) | 83% (333/401) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (28/77) | 50% (25/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (53/89) | 62% (56/91) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 16% (3/19) | 16% (3/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.53 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (9/12) | 42% (5/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.79 | 1.60 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.21 | -1.40 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 8', 0 - 1, Cowell C. ⚽, Alvarado R. (A),
- 14', 1 - 1, Fernandez G. ⚽, Marquez J. (A),
- 19', Rivero I. 🟨,
- 35', 1 - 2, Gonzalez B. ⚽, Cowell C. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Piovi G. ↓, Orozco J. ↑,
- 46', Faravelli L. ↓, Sanchez J. ↑,
- 57', Alvarez E. ↓, Gutierrez E. ↑,
- 61', Ledezma R. ↓, Mozo A. ↑,
- 69', Rotondi C. ↓, Campos O. ↑,
- 69', Rivero I. ↓, Sepulveda A. ↑,
- 72', 2 - 2, Marquez J. ⚽, Rodriguez C. (A),
- 74', Paradela J. 🟨,
- 75', Gutierrez E. 🟨,
- 76', Alvarado R. ↓, Pulido A. ↑,
- 76', Cowell C. ↓, Sandoval S. ↑,
- 76', Govea O. ↓, Chicharito ↑,
- 83', Lira E. 🟨,
- 83', Orozco J. 🟨,
- 84', Chicharito (Pen),
- 89', Marquez J. ↓, Rodarte J. ↑,
- 90+7', 3 - 2, Rodriguez C. ⚽, Fernandez G. (A),
Chances of winning
Cruz Azul
43.8% | Draw
28.8% | Chivas Guadalajara
27.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Cruz Azul - Chivas Guadalajara Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.17 ↑
(2) |
3.27 ↓
(3.5) |
3.44 ↓
(3.63) |
5.8%
(6.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Cruz Azul - Chivas Guadalajara?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Cruz Azul will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Guadalajara will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cruz Azul: 50.9% – 95.7%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Guadalajara (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 0-0. 2nd leg.
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cruz Azul won 3.
- Cruz Azul has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Guadalajara is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Cruz Azul could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Cruz Azul: Mier K.
(Injury)
Montano A.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Guadalajara: Campillo Del Campo D.
(Foot Injury)
Sepulveda L.
(Ankle Injury)
Tapias M.
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in Guadalajara: Gonzalez B.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cruz Azul won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 28:15. (average 1.4:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cruz Azul won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:5. (average 1.3:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Cruz Azul won against Chivas Guadalajara?
Cruz Azul has won 6 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chivas Guadalajara won against Cruz Azul?
Chivas Guadalajara has won 2 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cruz Azul - Chivas Guadalajara were as follows:
27.11.2025
Chivas Guadalajara
-
Cruz Azul
0:0
30.08.2025
Chivas Guadalajara
-
Cruz Azul
1:2
29.03.2025
Chivas Guadalajara
-
Cruz Azul
0:1
21.09.2024
Cruz Azul
-
Chivas Guadalajara
1:0
21.06.2024
Chivas Guadalajara
-
Cruz Azul
3:3
Latest results of Cruz Azul
Latest results of Chivas Guadalajara
Draw
Apertura - Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Toluca (1) | Juarez (8) | 0 : 0, 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Club America (4) | Monterrey (5) | 2 : 1, 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Tigres UANL (2) | Club Tijuana (7) | 5 : 0, 0 : 3 |
| 4 | Cruz Azul (3) | Guadalajara Chivas (6) | 3 : 2, 0 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Toluca (1) | Monterrey (5) | 3 : 2, 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Tigres UANL (2) | Cruz Azul (3) | 1 : 1, 1 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Toluca (1) | Tigres UANL (2) | |
