Result
30/08/2025 at 21:07 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Chivas Guadalajara 34.9% | Draw 28.7% | Cruz Azul 36.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chivas Guadalajara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)Cruz Azul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chivas Guadalajara than the current prediction. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruz Azul than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
Chivas Guadalajara - Cruz Azul Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.69 ↓ (2.96) |
3.31 ↑ (3.18) |
2.58 ↑ (2.41) |
6.1% (6.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guadalajara won 1.
- Guadalajara has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Cruz Azul is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Guadalajara won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 16:29. (average 0.8:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Guadalajara won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:14. (average 1:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Chivas Guadalajara won against Cruz Azul?
Chivas Guadalajara has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cruz Azul won against Chivas Guadalajara?
Cruz Azul has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chivas Guadalajara - Cruz Azul were as follows:
29.03.2025
Chivas Guadalajara
-
Cruz Azul
0:1
21.09.2024
Cruz Azul
-
Chivas Guadalajara
1:0
21.06.2024
Chivas Guadalajara
-
Cruz Azul
3:3
02.03.2024
Cruz Azul
-
Chivas Guadalajara
3:0
04.11.2023
Chivas Guadalajara
-
Cruz Azul
1:0
Latest results of Chivas Guadalajara
Latest results of Cruz Azul
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Monterrey | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 13:7 | 6 | 15 |
2 | Cruz Azul | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 13:7 | 6 | 14 |
3 | Pachuca | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11:5 | 6 | 13 |
4 | Club America | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 11 |
5 | Tigres UANL | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 15:8 | 7 | 10 |
6 | Toluca | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 10 |
7 | Club Tijuana | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10:9 | 1 | 9 |
8 | Juarez | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 8 |
9 | Club Leon | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 7 |
10 | Santos Laguna | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 6 |
11 | Atl. San Luis | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 6 |
12 | Mazatlan FC | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 6 |
13 | UNAM Pumas | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 5 |
14 | Atlas | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10:14 | -4 | 5 |
15 | Necaxa | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 5 |
16 | Guadalajara Chivas | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 4 |
17 | Queretaro | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 4 |
18 | Puebla | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:14 | -10 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )