Result
1:2
10/12/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- FIFA Intercontinental Cup - Quarter-finals
- Referee: Nyberg G. (Swe)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports, DSports 1 |
 Brazil | Caze TV, SporTV, TV Globo |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Chile | DirecTV Sports |
 Ecuador | DirecTV Sports |
 France | beIN Sports 2 |
 North-central-america | DirecTV Sports Caribbean |
 Peru | DirecTV Sports |
 South-america | DGO Latin America |
 Uruguay | DirecTV Sports, DSports 1 |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | DirecTV Sports, DSports 1 |
 World | FIFA+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 1.37 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (372/450) | 84% (399/473) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 1.37 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 1.62 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (372/450) | 84% (399/473) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (25/47) | 55% (24/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (80/110) | 65% (69/106) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (2/16) | 44% (4/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 0.79 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 44% (8/18) | 62% (16/26) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 62 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.62 | 0.45 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.38 | -0.55 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 15', 0 - 1, de Arrascaeta G. ⚽,
- 36', Lira E. 🟨,
- 44', 1 - 1, Sanchez J. ⚽, Rodriguez C. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Samuel Lino ↓, Plata G. ↑,
- 67', Carrascal J. ↓, Everton ↑,
- 71', 1 - 2, de Arrascaeta G. ⚽,
- 73', Paradela J. ↓, Romero L. ↑,
- 77', Jorginho 🟨,
- 81', Marquez J. ↓, Faravelli L. ↑,
- 81', Rivero I. ↓, Campos O. ↑,
- 81', de Arrascaeta G. ↓, Luiz Araujo ↑,
- 81', Jorginho ↓, de la Cruz N. ↑,
- 87', Sanchez J. ↓, Sepulveda A. ↑,
- 87', Rotondi C. ↓, Bogusz M. ↑,
- 87', Pulgar E. ↓, Niguez S. ↑,
- 90+4', Alex Sandro 🟨,
- 90+5', Everton 🟨,
- 90+6', Piovi G. 🟨,
- 90+6', de la Cruz N. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/yc5h5j4k
Chances of winning
Cruz Azul
16.7% | Draw
25.5% | Flamengo
57.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Cruz Azul - Flamengo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.61 ↑
(5) |
3.67 ↓
(4) |
1.62 ↓
(1.63) |
6.9%
(6.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Cruz Azul - Flamengo?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Cruz Azul will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). Flamengo will win (votes: 12 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Flamengo: 53.8% – 96.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Cruz Azul (votes: 1 - 50%). Flamengo (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Neutral location - Ahmad bin Ali Stadium.
- Cruz Azul has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Flamengo is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Flamengo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Flamengo is considered a favorite.
- Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
How many head-to-head matches has Cruz Azul won against Flamengo?
Cruz Azul has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Flamengo won against Cruz Azul?
Flamengo has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cruz Azul - Flamengo were as follows:
Latest results of Cruz Azul
Latest results of Flamengo
Draw
20251/8-finals| 1 | PSG | Bye | |
| 5 | Cruz Azul | Bye | |
| 6 | Bye | Flamengo RJ | |
| 7 | Al Ahli SC | Bye | |
| 8 | Pyramids | Auckland City | 3 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | PSG | Bye | |
| 3 | Cruz Azul | Flamengo RJ | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Al Ahli SC | Pyramids | 1 : 3 |
Semi-finals| 1 | PSG | Bye | |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | Pyramids | |
Final
